SIS Supporting Irish Racing Beginners Steeplechase · 2m4f0y
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 90 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 78 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 89 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 99 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Arcadian Emperor | 13/8 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 3.25 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 3.00 | 6/4 open 3.00 | 13/8 Bet365 |
| 2 Bon Viveur | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 11/4 William Hill |
| 3 Champagne Jury | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Daydream Nation | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 open 19.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Forty Coats | 11/4 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 11/4 | 5/2 open 3.75 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Good Option | 80/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 open 81.00 | 100/1 Paddy Power |
| 7 I Started A Joke | 11/4 open 7.00 | 11/4 open 8.00 | 5/2 | 5/2 | 11/4 open 3.25 | 5/2 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 8 Lemmy Caution | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Leni's Law | 80/1 open 126.00 | 66/1 open 201.00 | 66/1 open 201.00 | 66/1 open 201.00 | 66/1 open 201.00 | 66/1 open 201.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Mullaghgloss | 33/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Siege Of Carthage | 18/1 open 41.00 | 14/1 open 51.00 | 14/1 open 51.00 | 14/1 open 51.00 | 14/1 open 51.00 | 14/1 open 51.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Sir Allen | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Forty Coats owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 89 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 99 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
I Started A Joke (SR:132, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field that the market is actively backing — a 21% market shortening is a meaningful signal in a 12-runner beginners' chase where stable form can be opaque. His SR of 132 is the joint-highest in the field alongside nothing else above 129 that has market confidence, and at 11/4 he is reasonably priced given that edge. The form string 41233- shows consistent finishing and progressive chasing experience, and trainer C Byrnes at 12% with Philip Byrnes (11%) is a functional yard that doesn't load up a beginners' chase without a live chance. The absence of DistFit and GoingFit data is a minor concern but shared across most of the field, making it a neutral factor rather than a negative. Each-way alternative: Forty Coats. Main danger: Arcadian Emperor — Arcadian Emperor (SR:124) carries DistFit:+ — the only runner with a confirmed proven distance record — and is the Mullins yard's #1 by virtue of Harry Cobden booking, but the 15% drift and a 172-day absence with tongue-tie first applied means I Started A Joke is preferred; if Arcadian Emperor returns fit, that DistFit:+ edge over 2m4f on good ground is a genuine threat.