Gowran Park 17:25 RESULTED
3 Oct 2026

Today Sign up to – GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Steeplechase

Sign up to – GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Steeplechase · 2m4f0y

Official Result

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Confirmed
  1. Winner Luimneach (IRE) Charlie O'Dwyer · Conor O'Dwyer
    7/2
  2. 2/1F
  3. Third Astley (IRE)
    8/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 7 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Its Bilbo silks
Its Bilbo
Age 5 · 11-12
43103-
129
119
130
5
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
7/4 32/17 7/4
Its Bilbo is the one to beat, a third last time out and a winner three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. He carries 166 lb off a mark of 129, and the 181-day absence is the only real question.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Idy Wood silks
Idy Wood
Age 8 · 11-8
100P-9
125
82
124
8
11-8
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 12/1 22/1
Idy Wood has run over today's trip and on this going, and his sole win in his last five starts came five starts back, while our rating of 124 ranks him second of nine. The risk is clear, though: a ninth last time, a pulled up before that, 78 days off and a stable out of form.
AI verdict

SR 82 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

3
Drumgill silks
Drumgill
Age 7 · 11-1
483450
118
101
119
7
11-1
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1
Drumgill bounces back quickly after seven days, has run over today's trip and going, and a third four starts back shows he can get involved off 155 lb and an official mark of 118. The risk is that he's yet to win in his last six and was unplaced last time.
AI verdict

SR 101 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Killeemore Lad silks
Killeemore Lad
Age 8 · 11-1
2/F221
118
113
121
8
11-1
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 5/2 13/2
Killeemore Lad arrives in cracking nick, a winner last time out and second in two of the three starts before that, and he has run over today's trip and on this going before. The risk is the 155 lb he carries after that win, with 33 days since his last run.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Jupiter Du Gite silks
Jupiter Du Gite
Age 7 · 10-12
46-229
115
106
118
7
10-12
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 13/2 9/2
Jupiter Du Gite signed off with a ninth last time out after a second two starts back and another second three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Winless in his last five and carrying 152 lb, he looks a solid but not outstanding sort, with our rating of 118 ranking him fifth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Banjaxed silks
Banjaxed
Age 9 · 10-11
/4486-
114
92
116
9
10-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
20/1 14/1 18/1
Banjaxed returns from 293 days off after a sixth last time out, an eighth two starts back and a pair of fourths before that, so he is winless in his last four. He has run over today's trip and going, but the long absence and 151 lb temper enthusiasm, despite our rating of 116 sitting just above his 114 mark.
AI verdict

SR 92 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
One Last Tango silks
One Last Tango
Age 9 · 10-8
45U-88
111
92
116
9
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 6/1 12/1
One Last Tango is winless in his last five, with back-to-back eighth-placed finishes and an unseated rider three starts back, so he is hard to fancy off 148 lb. He is back quickly after 13 days and has run over this trip and going, though our rating ranks him seventh of nine.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Astley silks
Astley
Age 6 · 10-7
535-54
110
104
112
6
10-7
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 8/1 6/1
Astley is winless in his last five, finishing fourth last time out and fifth in three of those runs, so he is hard to fancy as the eighth-ranked of nine on our figures. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip, and a third four starts back shows he can reach the frame.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Luimneach silks
Luimneach
Age 9 · 10-2
2P-512
105
109
104
9
10-2
★★★★☆
—
7/2 11/2 3/1
Luimneach looks in good heart, with a second last time out and a win two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Even so, our figures rank him last of nine, and 142 lb after 36 days off is a tall order.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Its Bilbo 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.00 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 Bet365
2 Idy Wood 22/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Paddy Power
3 Drumgill 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 Bet365
4 Killeemore Lad 13/2 open 3.75 13/2 open 3.50 13/2 open 3.50 13/2 open 3.50 13/2 open 3.50 13/2 open 4.00 13/2 Bet365
5 Jupiter Du Gite 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 open 8.50 11/2 William Hill
6 Banjaxed 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
7 One Last Tango 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 7.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Astley 13/2 open 10.00 6/1 open 15.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 Bet365
9 Luimneach 7/2 open 6.50 3/1 open 9.00 10/3 open 7.50 10/3 open 7.50 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.50 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Its Bilbo

Live signal

Its Bilbo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Henry de Bromhead Darragh O'Keeffe
78% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Killeemore Lad

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · A. Slattery
✓ Value Signal

Banjaxed

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Mrs Lorna Fowler
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Its Bilbo
65.1 7/4
2 4. Killeemore Lad
59.3 13/2
3 8. Astley
59.0 13/2
4 9. Luimneach
58.2 7/2
5 5. Jupiter Du Gite
57.2 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Luimneach
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 11-12
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾 —

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 9 · 10-2
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 109 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 10-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 7 · 10-12
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 11-1
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 6 · 10-7
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾 —

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-1
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 101 🐾 —

SR 101 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 10-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 9 · 10-11
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾 —

SR 92 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Luimneach
Confidence: Speculative

Luimneach (SR:109, 4/1, Wgt:10-2) is the standout on a multi-signal basis. The market has moved in aggressively — 39% shorter since opening — which is the strongest market move in the field and represents real informed money in a nine-runner handicap chase. The weight assignment of 10-2 gives a meaningful lbs advantage over top-weight Its Bilbo (11-12) and Killeemore Lad (11-1), both of whom need to lug considerably more around 2m4f on good ground. The 2P-512 form string shows a win last time out and a consistent pattern of competitive runs at this level, and the tongue-tie headgear suggests connections are serious about producing a peak effort today. The four-star AI probability rating is the highest in the field and corroborates the market confidence. Each-way alternative: Killeemore Lad. Main danger: Its Bilbo — Its Bilbo (SR:119, 11/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2,340 runners) — the class edge is real even if the 19% market drift and untested distance/going flags are reasons for caution.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Luimneach is 9 years old carrying 10-2 — the lowest weight in the field — yet its SR of 109 is still 10 points below Its Bilbo (SR:119), suggesting the ratings gap is real and not fully bridged by th…
  • The form string 2P-512 includes a pull-up (P) which raises jumping soundness questions over 2m4f chase fences; connections adding tongue-tie AND hood (ht) simultaneously signals they are masking an i…
  • Killeemore Lad (2/F221, SR:113) has won twice in recent form, is only 33 days since last run versus Luimneach's 36, and despite a market drift out 26% represents a fresher, in-form rival at a compara…
  • Trainer Conor O'Dwyer strikes at only 10% from a small yard (170 runners coded) and jockey Charlie O'Dwyer (claim) is a 3lb claimer rated at just 10% — that rider/trainer combination is modest relati…
Shortlist Luimneach, Its Bilbo, Killeemore Lad, Drumgill
Each-way: Killeemore Lad Danger: Its Bilbo

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m4f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Gowran Park Track and setting