Newmarket 13:35 RESULTED
Class 1 3 Oct 2026

Today Betmgm Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1)

Betmgm Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Betmgm Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Blue Bolt (IRE) Colin Keane · Andrew Balding
    1/4F
  2. 25/1
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 41 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Blue Bolt silks
Blue Bolt
Age 4 · 9-5
-11111
119
135
123
4
9-5
★★★★☆
—
1/3 2/5 5/17
Blue Bolt arrives unbeaten in her last five starts, winning last time out and in each of the four runs before, and she returns fresh after 21 days having run over today's trip and going. Carrying 131 lb from draw 3, she is the one to beat, with our rating of 123 topping the field.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
City of Memphis silks
City of Memphis
Age 4 · 9-5
5-1112
110
117
112
4
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 6/1
City of Memphis arrives in cracking form, a second last time out following a hat-trick of wins, and she has run over today's trip before after a fresh 21-day break. The main risk is the 131 lb she carries from draw 4, with our rating of 112 ranking her only fourth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Kon Tiki silks
Kon Tiki
Age 4 · 9-5
7-2419
108
94
112
4
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
25/1 12/1 22/1
Kon Tiki makes plenty of appeal, a winner two starts back who has run over today's trip and on this going, and our rating of 112 ranks her third of seven. The risk is a ninth last time out, so she must bounce back after 35 days off carrying 131 lb from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Calendar Girl silks
Calendar Girl
Age 3 · 9-2
211-16
105
103
111
3
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
14/1 18/1 11/1
Three wins in her last five starts is a strong profile, though she was only sixth last time out and returns after 35 days. She has run over today's trip and going before, carries 128 lb from stall 5, and our rating of 111 ranks her fifth of seven.
AI verdict

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Evolutionist silks
Evolutionist
Age 3 · 9-2
-12844
110
99
115
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 20/1 22/1
Evolutionist is a leading threat, having finished fourth in each of her last two starts and with a win five starts back, plus experience over today's trip and going, from stall 1. The main risk is a 62-day absence, and she carries 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 99 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Moon Target silks
Moon Target
Age 3 · 9-2
38-433
110
85
109
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 12/1 28/1
Moon Target has been placed in three of her last five, including a third last time out, but she's yet to win in that spell and sits sixth of seven on our figures. She has run over today's trip and going, yet 128 lb from stall seven and a 35-day break make her hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Secret of Life silks
Secret of Life
Age 3 · 9-2
1-114
104
89
106
3
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 25/1 28/1
Three wins in her last four starts is a strong profile, but a fourth last time out ended the run, and she has had 35 days off. She has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank her last of seven, and 128 lb from draw six is a lot to ask.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Blue Bolt 1/3 open 1.44 1/3 open 1.44 2/7 open 1.44 2/7 open 1.44 3/10 open 1.44 1/3 open 1.40 1/3 Bet365
2 City of Memphis 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 Betfred
3 Kon Tiki 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 15.00 25/1 Bet365
4 Calendar Girl 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Evolutionist 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Moon Target 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 13.00 33/1 Paddy Power
7 Secret of Life 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Blue Bolt

Live signal

Blue Bolt owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (75) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

1/3 Andrew Balding Colin Keane
85% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

City of Memphis

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · P. Twomey
✓ Value Signal

Kon Tiki

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · Jane Chapple-Hyam
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
75 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +28.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Blue Bolt
69.1 1/3
2 2. City of Memphis
60.4 6/1
3 4. Calendar Girl
55.8 14/1
4 3. Kon Tiki
46.6 25/1
5 6. Moon Target
44.5 28/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Blue Bolt
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 9-5
1/3
★★★★☆ SR 135 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 4 · 9-5
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 117 🐾 —

SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-2
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 103 🐾 —

SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Blue Bolt
Confidence: High

Blue Bolt (SR 135, 3/10) is simply in a different class to every other runner in this field — the next-best SR is City of Memphis at 117, an 18-point gulf that is enormous at this level. The form line of -11111 is as emphatic as it gets, five consecutive wins culminating in a Group 1 success, and today represents a ClassMv:= assignment so there is no step into the unknown. Newmarket course form (W1P2), DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ on good to firm confirm every surface and distance box is ticked, while the market has shortened a further 9% to an already dominant 3/10 — the money is fully committed. Andrew Balding runs at an 18% strike rate from over 3,000 runners and Colin Keane is an accomplished big-race pilot; connections carry no concerns. Each-way alternative: City of Memphis. Main danger: City of Memphis — City of Memphis (SR 117, 6/1) is the only runner within plausible striking distance on ability, has DistFit:+ and a recent form line of 1112 suggesting consistent competitiveness, with trainer P. Twomey striking at 24% — though the 21% market drift and GoingFit:? on today's ground temper any real optimism.

Case against 3
  • At 3/10, Blue Bolt is priced so short that City of Memphis (SR 117, drifting 21% in market) gaining even 2-3lbs in conditions could collapse the expected margin — the massive 18pt SR gap means punter…
  • Days:21 since last run is fine, but five consecutive wins including a Group 1 means Blue Bolt is now a known quantity; rivals' trainers will have specifically targeted this race with tailored prepara…
  • Carrying 9-5 at Newmarket's stiff finish, a 4yo who has been campaigned hard through five straight wins risks a marginal energy deficit at the business end, particularly if City of Memphis (same weig…
Shortlist Blue Bolt, City of Memphis, Calendar Girl
Each-way: City of Memphis Danger: City of Memphis

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade