Betmgm Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3) · 1m3f211y
Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 97 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Plage de Havre | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 7/1 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 7/1 | 15/2 William Hill |
| 1 Al Aasy | 4/1 open 4.00 | 9/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 9/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 By The Book | 9/2 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Royal Playwright | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Royal Power | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Tenability | evn open 2.88 | 1/1 open 2.75 | 11/10 open 3.00 | 11/10 open 3.00 | 11/10 open 2.75 | 11/10 open 2.88 | 11/10 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Al Aasy owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 97 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Tenability (SR 128, 10/11) is the standout on every meaningful signal. The SR of 128 is comfortably the highest in this five-runner Group 3 field, and the market has hammered it in by 34% — the strongest single market move in the race by a wide margin. Course form of W3P4 at Ascot is exceptional and directly relevant; no other runner matches that course record. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm today's 1m3f211y on good-to-firm is squarely in the horse's wheelhouse, and the recent form string of 2-3131 shows a progressive four-year-old in peak form. The tongue-tie (HG:t) is clearly a positive addition given the market confidence behind it, and trainer William Haggas (23% strike rate, 2,079 runners) is plainly sending this one out as the yard's number one over the stablemate Al Aasy, who is nine years old, has drifted 52%, and carries a materially inferior SR of 120. Each-way alternative: By The Book. Main danger: By The Book — By The Book (SR 116, 9/2) carries the same weight as Tenability at 9-5, has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed, and Charlie Appleby's 33% career strike rate means the yard's number one runner is always a live threat — the form string of -33622 shows consistency at this level even if a win has been elusive recently.