Southwell (AW) 17:55 RESULTED
Class 4 3 Oct 2026

Today Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes

Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes · 1m0f14y

Official Result

Bettingsites.co.uk Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Nostrum (GB) Andrew Mullen · Michael Appleby
    3/1F
  2. Second Wid (IRE)
    7/2
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 42 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Cristo silks
Cristo
Age 4 · 9-12
2U7124
80
88
89
4
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 5/1 7/1
Cristo arrives with a fourth last time out, a second two starts back, and a win three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Our rating has him top of the 13, but 71 days off is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Nostrum silks
Nostrum
Age 6 · 9-12
800052
80
86
88
6
9-12
★★★☆☆
—
3/1 11/2 11/4
Runner-up last time out and back quickly after just three days, Nostrum is our pick on overall profile, with fitness in his favour and experience of today's trip. He is yet to win in his last six starts, but the 88 rating backs him from stall one off 138 lb.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Vincent Rocks silks
Vincent Rocks
Age 4 · 9-11
302509
79
59
87
4
9-11
★☆☆☆☆
—
33/1 25/1 22/1
Vincent Rocks is back quickly after 11 days and has run over today's trip and going, with a second four starts back and a third six starts back showing he can get involved; our rating of 86 ranks him third of 13. The main risk is a ninth last time out, and he is yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

4
Kalamunda silks
Kalamunda
Age 6 · 9-10
46-257
78
50
80
6
9-10
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 18/1 33/1
Winless in his last five, Kalamunda was seventh last time out after a fifth two starts back, which makes him hard to fancy, though a second three starts back shows he can get involved. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 80 still ranks him only tenth of 13 from stall 12.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Wid silks
Wid
Age 3 · 9-9
7-214
80
86
81
3
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
5/2 5/2 9/4
Wid arrives with a win two starts back and a second three starts back, and she was a fourth last time out, though 67 days off the track is a concern and she has run over today's trip before. Carrying 135 lb from draw 3 off a mark of 80, she looks a midfield sort, ranked eighth of 13 by our rating.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Nakaaha silks
Nakaaha
Age 4 · 9-9
561020
77
60
84
4
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 22/1 25/1
Nakaaha was unplaced last time out but is a second two starts back and a winner four starts back, and she has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 135 lb from stall nine after 33 days off, she needs to bounce back, though our rating of 84 ranks her fifth of 13.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Franschhoek silks
Franschhoek
Age 3 · 9-7
316
78
79
83
3
9-7
★★★☆☆
—
11/1 9/1 8/1
Franschhoek won two starts back and was third three starts back, but he was only sixth last time out, and he returns after 30 days. He has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 83 ranks him sixth of 13 off 133 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Magic Trip silks
Magic Trip
Age 3 · 9-7
-35052
78
76
79
3
9-7
★★☆☆☆
—
5/1 7/1 9/2
Magic Trip was second last time out but is winless in his last five, with fifths two and four starts back, and he has been off for 36 days. Carrying 133 lb from draw 6, he has run over today's trip, yet our figures rank him 11th of 13.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Siwa Oasis silks
Siwa Oasis
Age 3 · 9-6
2-7541
77
81
82
3
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 10/3 6/1
Siwa Oasis won last time out and has run over today's trip, but he's had 66 days off and the stable's form is poor at 1/22 over the last 14 days. Our rating of 82 ranks him seventh of 13, and he carries 132 lb from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Golden Pharaoh silks
Golden Pharaoh
Age 5 · 9-5
-28083
73
54
81
5
9-5
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 14/1 28/1
Golden Pharaoh signed off with a third last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he returns after 206 days off, and his yard is 0/22 in the last fortnight. Our rating of 81 sits above his official 73, though he is yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Dovey Moon silks
Dovey Moon
Age 4 · 9-4
103563
72
64
85
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
18/1 10/1 16/1
Fresh from a third last time out just 12 days ago, Dovey Moon has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 85 makes him a leading threat from draw 5. The main risk is a stable struggling for form, with just one winner from 22 in the last 14 days.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Camino Del Ray silks
Camino Del Ray
Age 4 · 9-4
5-6148
72
63
76
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 16/1 25/1
Camino Del Ray was eighth last time out and has finished fifth or worse in three of his last five, with a trainer cold at 1/25 and a 42-day break, so he is hard to fancy. In his favour, he won three starts back and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Wield silks
Wield
Age 3 · 9-0
250729
71
53
77
3
9-0
★★☆☆☆
—
33/1 18/1 22/1
Winless in his last six, Wield was beaten into ninth last time out 22 days ago, though a second two starts back shows he can go close; he has run over today's trip and going, but carrying 126 lb from stall 13, he is hard to fancy as the 12th-ranked of 13 on our figures.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Cristo 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 Coral
2 Nostrum 3/1 open 8.00 10/3 open 6.50 11/4 open 6.50 11/4 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 open 6.50 10/3 Paddy Power
3 Vincent Rocks 33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 22/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
4 Kalamunda 40/1 open 21.00 35/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365
5 Wid 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 5/2 open 3.75 5/2 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 5/2 Bet365
6 Nakaaha 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 25/1 open 23.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Franschhoek 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
8 Magic Trip 5/1 open 9.50 9/2 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 5/1 Bet365
9 Siwa Oasis 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 open 4.50 13/2 Coral
10 Golden Pharaoh 33/1 open 15.00 30/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
11 Dovey Moon 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 Bet365
12 Camino Del Ray 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
13 Wield 33/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Nostrum

Speculative

Nostrum owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Michael Appleby Andrew Mullen
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Wid

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Ralph Beckett
✓ Value Signal

Camino Del Ray

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Julie Camacho
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Nostrum
54.5 3/1
2 5. Wid
52.7 5/2
3 9. Siwa Oasis
52.4 6/1
4 1. Cristo
49.8 15/2
5 7. Franschhoek
48.1 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Nostrum
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Wid
Age 3 · 9-9
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 9-12
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾 —

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 9-6
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾 —

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-12
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾 —

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-7
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 9-4
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Nostrum
Confidence: Speculative

Nostrum (SR 86, 3/1) is one of three co-leaders on Saturday Rating but carries the strongest single market signal in the race — a 37% inward move to 3/1 is significant money talking, particularly for a Michael Appleby yard that fires at 13% strike rate. Running off a mark 33lb below his last win, the drop in the handicap mark is the standout data point in the entire field and gives him a huge theoretical edge over rivals at a similar SR. His GoingFit:- on Good is a genuine concern given last-run form of 52 on worse going, but Appleby specialises in Southwell AW and the MarkMv:-33 combined with the 37% market move is too compelling to ignore. Cristo and Wid share the same SR-86 ceiling but Cristo is rising 4lb from last win and Wid has drifted 21% — the market is clearly choosing Nostrum among the top-rated trio. Each-way alternative: Cristo. Main danger: Cristo — Cristo shares the SR-86 ceiling, carries the same 9-12 weight as Nostrum, has a proven DistFit:+ record and a course placing (W0P1), while Richard Hannon's yard runs at 12% — a confirmed each-way threat if Nostrum's going concerns materialise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 800052 — the '2' was on a mark 33lb higher but the recent '800' and '05' finishes show Nostrum has been badly out of form for most of this campaign, with just one placing in his last six r…
  • GoingFit:- on Good is flagged, but this is Southwell AW (Fibresand) — the concern is whether his last-run score of 52 reflects a horse that is simply not firing at all right now, regardless of going.
  • Andrew Mullen's 10% overall strike rate is modest, and Nostrum ran just 3 days ago — an unusually quick turnaround for a 6-year-old whose recent form is poor, raising doubts about recovery and rider…
  • Wid (SR:86, Ralph Beckett 19% strike rate, 3yo with a fresher 67-day break and form 7-214) represents a serious rival with a superior trainer strike rate, and the market drift may simply reflect punt…
Shortlist Nostrum, Cristo, Wid, Siwa Oasis
Each-way: Cristo Danger: Cristo

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade