Gowran Park 13:20 RESULTED
Class 1 3 Oct 2026

Today Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed)

Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed) · 2m0f60y

Official Result

Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed)

Confirmed
  1. Winner El Cairos (FR) Jack Kennedy · Gordon Elliott
    11/8
  2. Second Gaucher (GB)
    6/5F
  3. Third Samui (GB)
    50/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 42 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Gaucher silks
Gaucher
Age 7 · 11-9
4/451-
150
148
148
7
11-9
★★★★☆
—
11/8 3/2 5/4
Gaucher is the one to beat after winning last time out, just 21 days ago, so he arrives fit and in form, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 163 lb off a mark of 150 is the one reservation, but our 148 rating still ranks him top of six.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Balko d'Ange silks
Balko d'Ange
Age 6 · 11-2
3F6F0-
129
96
130
6
11-2
★☆☆☆☆
—
22/1 16/1 22/1
Balko d'Ange has a case as a leading danger, having run over today's trip and going before, with a third five starts back showing his ability and our rating of 130 ranking him third of six. The risk is a patchy profile: unplaced last time, two falls in his last five starts and 158 days off, carrying 156 lb.
AI verdict

SR 96 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

3
Ebony King silks
Ebony King
Age 5 · 11-2
11F2-
126
131
126
5
11-2
★★★★☆
—
11/2 5/1 11/2
Ebony King was beaten into second last time out eight days ago, with a fall two starts back sandwiched between that and back-to-back wins, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 156 lb and ranked fifth of six on our figures, he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
El Cairos silks
El Cairos
Age 6 · 11-2
F154-7
143
146
138
6
11-2
★★★★☆
—
6/4 6/5 18/13
El Cairos won four starts back and has run over today's trip, so he has a leading chance on that evidence and sits second of six on our rating, though a seventh last time out and 65 days off the track temper the case.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Mister Pessimistic silks
Mister Pessimistic
Age 5 · 11-2
11698-
126
113
117
5
11-2
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 FCST 8/1
Mister Pessimistic has finished eighth and ninth in his last two starts and returns from a 157-day break, and he is out of sorts, though he did win four and five starts back and has run over today's trip. Carrying 156 lb off 126, he looks hard to fancy, with our figures ranking him last of six.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Samui silks
Samui
Age 7 · 11-2
707/25
131
116
129
7
11-2
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 12/1 20/1
Samui comes here fresh from a fifth last time out, 26 days ago, and a second two starts back shows he can bounce back; he has run over today's trip and on this going. The main risk is that he is yet to win in his last five starts, and 156 lb is a stern burden.
AI verdict

SR 116 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Gaucher 11/8 open 3.25 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.75 5/4 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.75 11/8 Bet365
2 Balko d'Ange 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Paddy Power
3 Ebony King 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 Bet365
4 El Cairos 6/4 open 2.38 6/4 open 2.20 11/8 open 2.25 11/8 open 2.25 11/8 open 2.25 11/8 open 2.25 6/4 Bet365
5 Mister Pessimistic 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 9/1 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
6 Samui 28/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 13.00 28/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Gaucher

High conviction

Gaucher owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 W. P. Mullins Paul Townend
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

El Cairos

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/4 · Gordon Elliott
✓ Value Signal

Samui

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Gordon Elliott
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +6.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Gaucher
73.1 11/8
2 4. El Cairos
72.5 6/4
3 3. Ebony King
64.7 11/2
4 5. Mister Pessimistic
57.9 9/1
5 6. Samui
49.4 28/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Gaucher
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 11-9
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 148 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 6 · 11-2
6/4
★★★★☆ SR 146 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 5 · 11-2
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 131 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 5 · 11-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾 —

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Gaucher
Confidence: Speculative

Gaucher (SR 148, 7/4) is the clear standout in this small Listed field. The Mullins/Townend combination is formidable — Mullins operates at 26% career strike rate with nearly 3,000 runners and Townend at 38% — and the market has shortened 6% since opening, confirming confidence behind the selection. GoingFit:+ confirms Gaucher handles today's good ground well, and the MarkMv:+49 is the only concern, but at Listed level there is no handicap mark in play — this is a conditions race, so that field is contextual only. The 11-9 weight is heavier than rivals on 11-2 but the SR 148 comfortably leads this field by 2lb over El Cairos (SR 146), and with tongue-tie fitted and 21 days since last run suggesting a fresh, targeted campaign, Gaucher represents the most compelling multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Ebony King. Main danger: El Cairos — El Cairos (SR 146, 11/8) is the market's second choice and sits only 2 points below Gaucher on SR at equal weight (11-2 vs 11-9), meaning it actually carries a 7lb weight advantage — if Gordon Elliott's runner finds its best form after a 65-day break and sheds the poor recent finishes (7th last time), it has the ability to challenge.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 4/451- with a win last time out but the slash suggests a long absence before that run; the '-' ending means last run was a defeat, and the sequence shows inconsistency at this level.
  • El Cairos (SR 146, 11/8) is actually the market FAVOURITE at shorter odds, suggesting the market collectively disagrees with Gaucher as the standout — money has drifted OUT 5% on El Cairos but it sti…
  • Gaucher carries 7lb more than El Cairos (11-9 vs 11-2) in a conditions race where weight is live — that is a substantial concession in a small field where margins are tight.
  • The MarkMv:+49 is the largest in the field by a wide margin, indicating Gaucher has been reassessed sharply upward, implying assessors believe it has already shown its best — potential ceiling concer…
Shortlist Gaucher, El Cairos, Ebony King
Each-way: Ebony King Danger: El Cairos

🗺 The Course Class 1

2m0f60y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Gowran Park Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade