Gaucher
High convictionGaucher owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Gowran Park Hurdle (Listed) · 2m0f60y
Favourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 96 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 116 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Gaucher | 11/8 open 3.25 | 11/8 open 2.75 | 11/8 open 2.75 | 11/8 open 2.75 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.75 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 2 Balko d'Ange | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Ebony King | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 4 El Cairos | 6/4 open 2.38 | 6/4 open 2.20 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 11/8 open 2.25 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Mister Pessimistic | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 8/1 open 10.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Samui | 28/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Gaucher owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Gaucher (SR 148, 7/4) is the clear standout in this small Listed field. The Mullins/Townend combination is formidable — Mullins operates at 26% career strike rate with nearly 3,000 runners and Townend at 38% — and the market has shortened 6% since opening, confirming confidence behind the selection. GoingFit:+ confirms Gaucher handles today's good ground well, and the MarkMv:+49 is the only concern, but at Listed level there is no handicap mark in play — this is a conditions race, so that field is contextual only. The 11-9 weight is heavier than rivals on 11-2 but the SR 148 comfortably leads this field by 2lb over El Cairos (SR 146), and with tongue-tie fitted and 21 days since last run suggesting a fresh, targeted campaign, Gaucher represents the most compelling multi-signal case in the race. Each-way alternative: Ebony King. Main danger: El Cairos — El Cairos (SR 146, 11/8) is the market's second choice and sits only 2 points below Gaucher on SR at equal weight (11-2 vs 11-9), meaning it actually carries a 7lb weight advantage — if Gordon Elliott's runner finds its best form after a 65-day break and sheds the poor recent finishes (7th last time), it has the ability to challenge.