Redcar 15:55 RESULTED
Class 1 3 Oct 2026

Today John Smith's Ebf Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed Race)

John Smith's Ebf Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed Race) · 7f

Official Result

John Smith's Ebf Stallions Guisborough Stakes (Listed Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sondad (GB) Joanna Mason · Michael & David Easterby
    7/2
  2. 8/1
  3. Third Myal (GB)
    16/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 42 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Audience silks
Audience
Age 7 · 9-2
923325
105
105
108
7
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
7/1 4/1 7/1
Audience is a consistent sort, with a second, two thirds and another second in the four runs before a fifth last time out, and he's back quickly after just eight days, having run over today's trip and going. Yet to win in his last six, though, so finding the final bit remains the concern.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Elarak silks
Elarak
Age 4 · 9-2
442323
105
114
107
4
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 FCST 9/2
Elarak has been consistent, finishing third last time out, a second two starts back and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Fit after 15 days off, he's yet to win in recent starts, and a yard in poor form (1/22) is the main risk.
AI verdict

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Myal silks
Myal
Age 5 · 9-2
512774
104
95
107
5
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 14/1
Myal returns just 15 days after a fourth last time out, has run over today's trip and on this going, and his 107 rating is a notch above his official 104, making him a leading threat from stall three. The risk is a pair of sevenths in the two runs before that, so consistency is the question.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sondad silks
Sondad
Age 5 · 9-2
191714
108
116
106
5
9-2
★★★★☆
—
4/1 10/3 7/2
Sondad has won three of his last six, including two starts back, and was fourth last time out 20 days ago, with experience of today's trip and going. Against that, the yard is 0/29 over the last 14 days, and our rating of 106 ranks him fifth of eight.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Vafortino silks
Vafortino
Age 8 · 9-2
078932
101
100
103
8
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 11/1 8/1
Vafortino comes in on an upswing, second last time out and third the start before, and he has run over today's trip and going, but he is yet to win in his last six starts and has been well beaten in the three runs before that. Our rating of 103 ranks him sixth of eight, so he looks a midfield sort from stall 8.
AI verdict

SR 100 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Valvano silks
Valvano
Age 5 · 9-2
033-61
101
107
99
5
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 13/2 7/2
Valvano won last time out and has a pair of thirds in his last five, but a sixth two starts back and 48 days off the track make him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our figures rank him seventh of eight.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Witness Stand silks
Witness Stand
Age 5 · 9-2
826365
111
106
111
5
9-2
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 11/4 5/1
Witness Stand has been placed twice without a win, with a third three starts back and a second five starts back, and he returns fresh after 21 days having run over today's trip and going before. Our top-rated runner at 110, he carries 128 lb from draw 7, though a fifth last time out continues a run of mostly unplaced efforts.
AI verdict

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Oolong Poobong silks
Oolong Poobong
Age 4 · 8-11
4-5031
92
97
94
4
8-11
★★★☆☆
—
9/1 14/1 9/1
Won last time out and was third two starts back, so the form is respectable, and she has run over today's trip and going after 28 days off. Still, our figures rank her last of eight, and 123 lb from draw 5 leaves plenty to prove.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Audience 7/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 6.00 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 Paddy Power
2 Elarak 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 5.50 9/2 9/2 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 5/1 Bet365
3 Myal 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 14/1 18/1 William Hill
4 Sondad 4/1 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 Bet365
5 Vafortino 9/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 12.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
6 Valvano 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 8.00 7/2 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 4/1 Bet365
7 Witness Stand 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 3.75 11/2 Paddy Power
8 Oolong Poobong 9/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Elarak

Live signal

Elarak owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Charles Hills M. P. Sheehy
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sondad

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Michael & David Easterby
✓ Value Signal

Myal

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Steph Hollinshead
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Elarak
62.6 5/1
2 4. Sondad
62.2 4/1
3 7. Witness Stand
59.7 5/1
4 1. Audience
59.0 7/1
5 6. Valvano
58.9 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Valvano
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 5 · 9-2
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 116 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 5 · 9-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾 —

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 4 · 9-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 114 🐾 —

SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 5 · 9-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 106 🐾 —

SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 9-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 8 · 9-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 100 🐾 —

SR 100 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 8-11
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾 —

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Valvano
Confidence: Speculative

Valvano (SR 107, 9/2) is the most compelling profile in this Listed field. The DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ combination confirms he handles today's 7f on good ground, and the 34% market move in (steaming from what would have been closer to 7/1) signals strong stable confidence ahead of a ClassMv:↑2 step up to Listed level. Trainer Ralph Beckett hits at 19% strike rate — the best of any handler in this field — and jockey Oisin Orr adds further quality. The form string 033-61, read right-to-left, shows a recent win (1), a break, then a pattern of modest runs that likely reflect trip or ground mismatches now corrected by today's conditions. The visor switch on Sondad and the heavy drift on Witness Stand (out 71%) both reduce their threat, leaving Valvano as the clear market-mover with conditions firmly in his favour. Each-way alternative: Oolong Poobong. Main danger: Sondad — Sondad (SR 116, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries the visor first-time switch which regularly unlocks improvement, and despite a ClassMv:↑1 rise his yard (Easterby) knows this track well — if the headgear works, he's the most talented individual on ratings.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 48-day absence is the longest lay-off in the field; Valvano has not been seen since mid-August and fitness at first run back at Listed level is a genuine question mark.
  • ClassMv:↑2 is a significant step up — Valvano's lone win in the form string (the '1') came at a lower class, and he has yet to prove he can compete at Listed standard.
  • Elarak (SR:114) is rated 7lbs superior on speed ratings and is also showing market support (in 6%), presenting a higher-rated rival at the same odds who is race-fit with only 15 days since last run.
  • Sondad (SR:116) tops the ratings by 9lbs over Valvano; even with the visor switch concern, a 9lb ratings edge in a flat-weight race at this level is a substantial real-world gap to bridge.
Shortlist Valvano, Sondad, Oolong Poobong, Elarak
Each-way: Oolong Poobong Danger: Sondad

🗺 The Course Class 1

7f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade