Redcar 14:50 RESULTED
Class 5 3 Oct 2026

Today Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 1m2f1y

Official Result

Prohibition Bar Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Lady Hornblower (GB) Connor Beasley · Jedd O'Keeffe
    85/40F
  2. 10/1
  3. 4/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Newmarket

12:25–15:50 · 7 races

Ascot

13:15–16:10 · 6 races

Gowran Park

13:20–17:25 · 8 races

Redcar

13:42–17:40 · 8 races

Fontwell

14:02–17:35 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:45–20:30 · 8 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 41 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hostility silks
Hostility
Age 4 · 10-0
215139
68
69
73
4
10-0
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 7/2 9/2
Won twice in his last six starts, and was third two runs back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, so a 24-day break shouldn't concern him. Our rating of 73 ranks him second of 9, but a ninth last time out is the worry.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Alessia Fernanda silks
Alessia Fernanda
Age 6 · 9-13
672676
67
57
74
6
9-13
★★☆☆☆
—
12/1 8/1 11/1
Alessia Fernanda has run over today's trip and going, returns after 19 days, and is rated 74 by us, top of nine, so she has a real chance despite being winless in her last six. The risk is a run of sixth and seventh finishes, with a second four starts back her only top-three effort.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Bay Dream Believer silks
Bay Dream Believer
Age 7 · 9-9
761533
63
64
61
7
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
15/2 9/2 7/1
Bay Dream Believer has finished third in each of her last two starts and won four starts back, but she's rated 61 and ranked eighth of nine on our figures, with 135 lb a hefty burden off a mark of 63. She has run over today's trip and going before, and 24 days since her last run is no concern.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Lady Hornblower silks
Lady Hornblower
Age 3 · 9-8
698371
66
72
67
3
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
9/4 18/13 36/17
Fresh from a win last time out 24 days ago, Lady Hornblower has run over today's trip and on this going, and her 67 rating makes her a leading threat from stall five. The main risk is the 134 lb she carries, with a seventh two starts back showing her form can dip.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Recobella silks
Recobella
Age 5 · 9-6
251215
60
65
58
5
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
6/1 9/2 11/2
Recobella has won twice in her last six, including two starts back, but she was only fifth last time out, and a yard going 0/21 is a concern. Rated 58 and ranked ninth of nine on our figures, she has run over today's trip and going, though that's thin comfort from stall seven.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Kartini silks
Kartini
Age 4 · 9-4
-60654
58
63
69
4
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 6/1 13/2
Kartini is our pick on profile: she's back after just 16 days, has run over today's trip and going, and her fourth last time out came after a fifth and a sixth. Winless in her last five, though a 69 rating, third best of nine, backs her from stall 8.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Tommo's Ginjaninja silks
Tommo's Ginjaninja
Age 3 · 9-3
230940
61
52
65
3
9-3
★★☆☆☆
—
11/1 12/1 10/1
Tommo's Ginjaninja is winless in his last six, with a fourth two starts back and a third five starts back the best of recent form, and he was unplaced last time out 22 days ago. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 65 ranks him fifth of nine, but a yard 0/29 lately is a concern.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Kitsune Power silks
Kitsune Power
Age 7 · 9-1
134006
55
53
63
7
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 10/1 7/1
Kitsune Power has faded since winning six starts back, finishing a sixth last time out and unplaced in the two runs before, which makes him hard to fancy. He has run over today's trip and going, and a 17-day break keeps him fresh enough, but that is about all in his favour from draw 9.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Eagles Dream silks
Eagles Dream
Age 4 · 8-12
-88050
52
53
64
4
8-12
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 20/1 10/1
Eagles Dream is winless in her last five, with an unplaced effort last time out and a fifth two starts back, though she's back quickly after eight days and has run over today's trip and going. Our rating of 64 ranks her sixth of nine, so she looks a midfield type from stall 1.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hostility 11/2 open 4.50 9/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
2 Alessia Fernanda 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Bay Dream Believer 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Lady Hornblower 9/4 open 3.00 11/4 open 3.25 9/4 open 2.63 9/4 open 2.63 85/40 open 2.38 5/2 open 2.38 11/4 Paddy Power
5 Recobella 6/1 open 5.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 6/1 6/1 11/2 open 7.00 6/1 Bet365
6 Kartini 15/2 open 9.50 7/1 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
7 Tommo's Ginjaninja 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
8 Kitsune Power 9/1 open 26.00 9/1 open 21.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 12.00 9/1 Bet365
9 Eagles Dream 14/1 open 26.00 10/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 23.00 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Lady Hornblower

Speculative

Lady Hornblower owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Jedd O'Keeffe Connor Beasley
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Hostility

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · David O'Meara
✓ Value Signal

Eagles Dream

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Tristan Davidson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Lady Hornblower
51.5 9/4
2 1. Hostility
50.8 11/2
3 5. Recobella
49.2 6/1
4 3. Bay Dream Believer
48.4 15/2
5 6. Kartini
43.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Lady Hornblower
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-8
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 9-6
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 9-9
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾 —

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾 —

SR 63 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 7 · 9-1
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾 —

SR 52 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-13
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾 —

SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 8-12
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 53 🐾 —

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Lady Hornblower
Confidence: Speculative

Lady Hornblower (SR:72, 9/4) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and is the only runner with a course win at Redcar (W1P1), confirming she handles the track. GoingFit:+ is the single best going indicator on today's good ground, and her recent form string 698371 shows a progressive climb to a last-time-out win. Despite running off a mark 4lb higher (MarkMv:+4), the weight advantage over Hostility — 8lb less to carry at 9-8 versus 10-0 — more than compensates, particularly against a top-weight whose market has drifted 10%. The market has drifted 23% which is a concern, but this likely reflects the higher mark rather than a genuine form doubt; the underlying evidence across SR, course, going and recent win is the strongest alignment in the race. Each-way alternative: Hostility. Main danger: Hostility — Hostility (SR:69, 5/1) is the second-highest rated runner with a trainer strike rate of 13% at a yard that fires at Redcar, and while the market has drifted 10%, the Course:W0P2 record shows consistent placing at this track — enough to finish second if Lady Hornblower fails to handle the higher mark.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 23% market drift is substantial and atypical for a 9/4 favourite — connections or market movers have cooled significantly, suggesting insider doubt about today's readiness or handicapper's assessment…
  • HG:v (very soft/heavy preferred going) versus today's good ground is a notable mismatch — her course win and best form may have come on softer conditions, making today's faster surface a genuine unkn…
  • Running off a mark 4lb higher after last-time-out win as a 3yo in October handicap company — the BHA has already reacted and rivals' handlers will have targeted this race knowing she is potentially v…
  • Jockey Connor Beasley's 13% strike rate is respectable but the trainer Jedd O'Keeffe's 13% from 582 runs in a handicap context where the horse is going up in class/mark compounds the risk of the upli…
Shortlist Lady Hornblower, Hostility, Recobella, Bay Dream Believer
Each-way: Hostility Danger: Hostility

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m2f1y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Redcar Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade