Racing Tv Ebf Stallions Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 7f
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bombora | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Cagney | 40/1 open 21.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Charted Course | 11/10 open 2.63 | 11/10 open 2.75 | evn open 2.63 | evn open 2.63 | 11/10 open 2.38 | 10/11 open 2.25 | 11/10 Bet365 |
| 4 Crystal Dark | 6/1 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Green Star | 9/4 open 3.50 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 9/4 | 2/1 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Leabank | 50/1 open 15.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Northern Crown | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Green Star owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Green Star leads the field on SR (156) by a meaningful margin over Crystal Dark (151) and Bombora (147), and at 5/2 the market is broadly aligned with that ability edge. The Boughey yard runs at 18% strike rate — matching Bethell's — and Pat Cosgrave is a reliable booking at this level. Crucially, Green Star has NOT drifted (no Mkt:out flag), standing alone among the top-SR horses whose prices have all moved against them, suggesting no negative stable confidence issues. Dropping one class from its debut second gives it a form line of '2' off a higher-grade race, making this a straightforward class relief assignment on debut promise. Each-way alternative: Crystal Dark. Main danger: Crystal Dark — Crystal Dark's SR of 151 is the second-highest in the field, Bethell runs at 18% and Sam James at 14%, and a debut second at the same class level (ClassMv:=) shows it has already handled this grade — if the drift (out34%) reflects market noise rather than a genuine negative signal, it has the raw ability to reverse the SR gap on Green Star.