Fontwell 16:25 RESULTED
Class 5 3 Oct 2026

Today Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle · 2m1f162y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Birthday Angel (IRE) Rex Dingle · Lydia Richards
    3/1F
  2. 100/30
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 42 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Desert Halo silks
Desert Halo Non-Runner
Age 7 · 11-8
7312-4
97
—
97OR
7
11-8
—
—
SP FCST 7/2
—
1
King of The Bronx silks
King of The Bronx
Age 5 · 12-0
0751/6
103
69
99
5
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
28/1 14/1 28/1
King of The Bronx showed he can win when successful two starts back, and he's fresh enough after 15 days off, while our rating has him third of eight. The main risk is a sixth last time out and a hefty 168 lb to carry.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Birthday Angel silks
Birthday Angel
Age 6 · 11-10
/P115-
99
99
99
6
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 3/1 7/2
Birthday Angel won two starts back and three starts back, and he returns just 24 days after a fifth last time out, so he looks fit and in form. Carrying 164 lb off an official mark of 99, the main risk is that the weight could stop him building on that run.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Devon Red silks
Devon Red
Age 7 · 11-8
/42429
97
95
98
7
11-8
★★★☆☆
—
5/1 11/4 5/1
Devon Red has been competitive, with a second four starts back and another two starts back, but he is yet to win in his last five and faded to ninth last time out. He has run over today's trip and is back quickly after eight days, though 162 lb is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Begin The Luck silks
Begin The Luck
Age 10 · 11-7
51-238
96
79
102
10
11-7
★★☆☆☆
—
22/1 20/1 22/1
Begin The Luck arrives fresh from a run 15 days ago, having finished a third two starts back and a second three starts back after a win four starts back; he has run over today's trip, and that profile makes him our pick despite an eighth last time out. Carrying 161 lb off 96 is the one concern.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Crown of India silks
Crown of India
Age 5 · 11-6
-91226
95
105
98
5
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/2 11/4
Crown of India showed solid form with a second two starts back, another second three starts back and a win four starts back, though he was only sixth last time out and returns after 41 days off. He has run over today's trip and our rating of 98 ranks him sixth of eight, while 160 lb is a stiff burden.
AI verdict

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Black Dakota silks
Black Dakota
Age 7 · 11-6
2-5464
95
83
90
7
11-6
★★★☆☆
—
17/2 11/2 8/1
Black Dakota is winless in his last five, finishing fourth last time out and a sixth two starts back, so he's hard to fancy under 160 lb. A second five starts back and a quick 15-day turnaround are small positives, but our figures rank him last of eight.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Diamond Egg silks
Diamond Egg
Age 8 · 11-3
160P2/
92
95
106
8
11-3
★★★☆☆
—
13/2 6/1 13/2
Diamond Egg bounced back to finish second last time out and has a win five starts back, while our rating of 106 ranks him top of eight. The risk is a 596-day absence, which makes fitness the big question carrying 157 lb.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
A Tickatickatiming silks
A Tickatickatiming
Age 8 · 10-13
3P-454
88
93
97
8
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 9/2 11/4
Winless in her last five and absent 83 days, A Tickatickatiming is hard to fancy, though a fourth last time out, a fifth, then another fourth show she is competitive, and she has run over today's trip. Carrying 153 lb, she sits seventh of eight on our rating.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Desert Halo 7/2 5/1 — — — — 5/1 Paddy Power
1 King of The Bronx 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 Paddy Power
2 Birthday Angel 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Devon Red 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 Betfred
5 Begin The Luck 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 22/1 Bet365
6 Crown of India 7/2 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 Bet365
7 Black Dakota 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 9/1 open 6.50 9/1 Paddy Power
8 Diamond Egg 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 Bet365
9 A Tickatickatiming 10/3 open 8.00 3/1 open 5.50 10/3 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Crown of India

Live signal

Crown of India owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 Alex Hales Bryan Carver
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Diamond Egg

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Neil Mulholland
✓ Value Signal

Begin The Luck

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Daisy Hitchins
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Crown of India
61.8 7/2
2 8. Diamond Egg
56.6 13/2
3 2. Birthday Angel
55.4 7/2
4 3. Devon Red
54.9 5/1
5 9. A Tickatickatiming
54.9 10/3
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Crown of India
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 8 · 10-13
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 6 · 11-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾 —

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 11-6
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 105 🐾 —

SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-8
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 8 · 11-3
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾 —

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 7 · 11-6
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾 —

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Crown of India
Confidence: Speculative

Crown of India (SR 105, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a manageable 11-6, giving it a meaningful SR-per-pound advantage over Birthday Angel (SR 99, 11-10) and Diamond Egg (SR 95, 11-3). The market has firmed 17% since opening — the strongest inbound move in the field — which corroborates the form case rather than contradicting it. Running off a mark 6lb above its last win is a concern, but at Class 5 level the raw ability edge over rivals is significant. Alex Hales (11% yard strike rate) with Bryan Carver (13%) is a competent pairing, and the moderate GoingFit:~ on good ground is not a disqualifier given the class advantage. Each-way alternative: Birthday Angel. Main danger: A Tickatickatiming — A Tickatickatiming (SR 93, 4/1) has steamed in 28% in the market — the joint-largest inbound move in the race — carries the lightest weight at 10-13, and is proven at this distance (DistFit:+), which could offset the GoingFit:- concern if the ground rides better than advertised.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads -91226: Crown of India has finished 6th on most recent start and hasn't won since, suggesting a horse trending the wrong way rather than building to a peak.
  • 41-day absence is the longest layoff in the field — fitness doubts are real, especially for a 5yo still developing, and Alex Hales' 11% yard strike rate offers limited confidence on returns.
  • Running 6lb above last winning mark at a track (Fontwell) where course specialists and regular runners tend to hold a significant layout advantage — Crown of India has no course form listed.
  • A Tickatickatiming (SR 93, 4/1) has shown a 28% market move IN — identical strength to Crown of India — while Birthday Angel (SR 99, 7/2) boasts the superior trainer/jockey pairing (Richards 16%, Din…
Shortlist Crown of India, Birthday Angel, Diamond Egg, A Tickatickatiming
Each-way: Birthday Angel Danger: A Tickatickatiming

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m1f162y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade