Ayr 14:30 RESULTED
Class 4 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday British Stallion Studs Scottish Premier Series EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

British Stallion Studs Scottish Premier Series EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f

Official Result

British Stallion Studs Scottish Premier Series EBF Fillies' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Geo (IRE) Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie
    15/2
  2. Second Krissy (IRE)
    9/1
  3. 12/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Darzah silks
Darzah
Age 3 · 9-9
518152
81
86
83
3
9-9
13/8 Evs 31/19
Darzah returns in excellent yard form — her trainer striking at 28% in the past fortnight — and a runner-up last time out keeps her firmly in the picture, with two wins in her last six starts underlining her ability; the chief concern is whether a 135 lb burden from stall one blunts her finishing effort.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Krissy silks
Krissy
Age 5 · 9-8
061492
75
72
75
5
9-8
15/2 7/2 15/2
Placed last time out and a winner four starts back, Krissy has experience of today's trip and going, but her inconsistency — including a ninth two starts back — gives pause; 134 lb is no featherweight assignment for a mare rated 75.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Valley of Flowers silks
Valley of Flowers
Age 8 · 9-7
241461
74
76
79
8
9-7
9/2 4/1 7/2
Valley of Flowers brings a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, suggesting she arrives well-suited by conditions; the worry is that 133 lb could test her stamina when the race gets serious.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Thankfully silks
Thankfully
Age 3 · 9-3
150897
75
74
86
3
9-3
8/1 10/1 8/1
Thankfully has run over today's trip and going, and her experience there gives her an edge in this seven-runner affair; rated 86 by us and the one to beat on ratings, though recent finishes have been modest and she will need to recapture the form of her win further back.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Geo silks
Geo
Age 4 · 9-1
422346
68
67
78
4
9-1
9/1 15/2 8/1
Placed third three starts back and runner-up on two occasions in recent starts, Geo arrives here fresh on 14 days' rest, carrying 127 lb from stall 2 with experience of today's trip and conditions; the concern is she remains yet to win.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Mudita silks
Mudita
Age 3 · 8-9
533046
67
72
71
3
8-9
8/1 FCST 15/2
Winless in her last six starts and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Mudita is hard to fancy on these terms; she has run over today's trip before and comes here on a fresh enough 18-day break, but that is about as far as the case for her goes.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Sweet Kiss silks
Sweet Kiss
Age 4 · 8-9
562622
61
72
71
4
8-9
6/1
Winless in her last six starts despite three runner-up finishes, Sweet Kiss ranks last on our figures here and faces a stiff ask, though she returns on a quick turnaround, has run over today's trip and going, and that placed consistency at least suggests she won't be disgraced.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Darzah 13/8 open 2.50 13/8 open 2.10 13/8 open 2.37 13/8 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.38 7/4 open 2.00 7/4 William Hill
2 Krissy 15/2 open 4.50 8/1 open 6.00 8/1 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 9/1 open 5.00 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 William Hill
3 Valley of Flowers 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.50 9/2 Bet365
4 Thankfully 8/1 open 26.00 17/2 open 19.00 17/2 open 23.00 17/2 open 23.00 8/1 open 23.00 8/1 open 11.00 17/2 Paddy Power
5 Geo 9/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 10.00 17/2 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365
6 Mudita 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 15/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 8.50 8/1 Bet365
7 Sweet Kiss 6/1 13/2 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Darzah

Speculative

Darzah owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 William Haggas Daniel Tudhope
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Thankfully

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · K. R. Burke
✓ Value Signal

Thankfully

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

8/1 · K. R. Burke
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Darzah
53.2 13/8
2 4. Thankfully
51.8 8/1
3 3. Valley of Flowers
51.7 9/2
4 6. Mudita
48.9 8/1
5 7. Sweet Kiss
48.7 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Darzah
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 8 · 9-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 8-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-8
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-3
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 8-9
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Geo
Age 4 · 9-1
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Darzah
Confidence: Speculative

Darzah (SR:86, 6/5) is clearly the class standout in this field — her SR of 86 sits 10+ points clear of every rival, which is a meaningful gap in a Class 4 handicap at this level. She drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), which is a positive signal, and the market has backed her in 7% since opening, confirming confidence from connections. William Haggas (23% strike rate, 2,024 runners) is one of the strongest trainers in the field, and Daniel Tudhope (18%, 1,876) is a proven pilot at Ayr. The +3 mark rise is a mild concern, and the unknown distance/going fit (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) introduces some uncertainty over 1m2f on good to soft, but a horse of her class dropping in grade tends to overcome those unknowns far more often than not in a field this modest. Each-way alternative: Mudita. Main danger: Mudita — Mudita (SR:72, 15/2) has steamed in 29% in the market, carries a favourable 8-9, drops a class (↓1), and the headgear change (first-time hood) combined with that strong market support suggests connections expect a sharply improved performance today.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are unknown for Darzah — 1m2f on good to soft at Ayr is a genuine query, and if either doesn't suit a 3yo filly dropping in class, the class edge evaporates quickly.
  • The +3 mark rise means she runs off a higher rating than her last outing, and her recent form string (518152) shows inconsistency including a '1' that may already be priced in — she hasn't won in her…
  • At 6/5 in a Class 4 handicap with unknowns over trip and going, the market may be over-pricing class alone; Valley of Flowers (W2P3 at Ayr) and Thankfully (drifted then backed in 47%) represent cours…
  • A 32-day absence for a 3yo filly stepping into 1m2f handicap company on potentially soft ground for Haggas — who often needs a run to peak — raises a fitness/readiness doubt on a day when the going c…
Shortlist Darzah, Mudita, Thankfully
Each-way: Mudita Danger: Mudita

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade