Third last time out shows So Darn Hot retains a competitive edge, and having run over today's trip before, he arrives with experience at the distance; however, winless in his last six starts and drawn in stall 11 carrying 135 lb, the concern is whether he can finally convert.
Midnight Thunder arrives here in good nick after finishing second last time out, and his experience over today's trip and going is a useful asset; yet to win in his last four starts, but carrying 101 on our ratings he is the one to beat from stall 5.
Form last 6/40-52
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
99SR101RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kodi Lion shaped as the chief threat here, a winner last time out and back quickly on 13 days' rest, carrying 137 lb from stall seven with experience over today's trip; the risk is that his two runs prior to that success were disappointing nines, so consistency remains the question.
Form last 605-991
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR96RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Purosangue nonetheless rates 9 lb above his official mark and shapes as a serious danger over a trip and going he has experience of, drawn in stall four carrying 136 lb; the risk is that recent form has been disappointingly modest.
Form last 6-44589
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
92SR100RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Another Abbot has won twice in his last six starts but the pattern is inconsistent, with three sevenths and an eighth punctuating those successes, and our figures rank him last of ten here; has run over today's trip and the trainer is striking at 28% recently, but it is hard to get enthusiastic.
Form last 6717718
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR87RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dapper Valley comes into this ranked eighth of ten on our figures, and an unplaced effort last time out makes him hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going before and does bring two wins in his last six starts to the table.
Form last 6703110
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR88RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, God of War has nonetheless shown consistent mid-division form with three fourth-place finishes in recent outings; he arrives fresh on 19 days' rest, has distance and going experience, but 133 lb from stall eight may test his resolve.
Form last 6440574
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
81SR93RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pilu won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but his record in recent starts shows inconsistency, and 131 lb from stall one will test his resolve against stronger company.
Form last 6-62581
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR94RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Westport has back-to-back wins three and four starts back but has failed to recapture that form since, finishing unplaced then fifth then ninth in his last three, and ranked second-bottom of this field on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite an 88 official rating and experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6111059
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
83SR88RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last five starts, Art Lover has shown consistency with two seconds in that sequence and arrives on a quick eight-day turnaround with experience over today's trip and conditions; a trainer firing at 28% adds appeal, though stall 12 and a speed figure of 79 may limit his prospects.
Form last 687-242
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
91SR90RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Midnight Thunder owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (55) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Saeed bin SuroorOisin Murphy
74%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Pilu
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Roger Teal✓ Value Signal
Dapper Valley
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Michael Keady◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Midnight Thunder (SR 99, 5/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a meaningful margin and carries the market's most emphatic endorsement — a 39% inward move is serious money talking in a 9-runner Class 3. The 9-13 weight is the heaviest in the field but SR 99 represents a genuine class edge over rivals clustered in the 81-95 range, and the Saeed bin Suroor/Oisin Murphy combination (20%/22% strike rates) on a horse returning after just 12 days suggests confident connections. Course form of W1P1 at Yarmouth is a real asset on this specialist track, and DistFit:~ combined with a form string showing a win two runs back (the '5' and '2' in /40-52 show progressive engagement) gives a workable recent profile.
Each-way alternative: Another Abbot.
Main danger: Purosangue — Purosangue (SR 92, 13/2) has steamed in 31% in the market, drops a class, runs off a mark 13lb below last win (the most favourable MarkMv in the field), and carries a light 9-10 — if the cheekpieces sharpen him up on the drop in class, that massive mark drop could see him outrun his recent poor form string.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form string /40-52 shows a '4' and '0' (last two runs before the win), meaning recent form is patchy and the win two runs back may flatter current fitness heading into Class 3 company.
Top weight of 9-13 is the heaviest burden in the field by a margin — on Yarmouth's flat, galloping track this extra weight against lighter rivals like Pilu (9-5) and Art Lover (9-2) is a real competi…
Pilu (SR 95, 5/1) is only 4 SR points behind and carries 8lbs less; a 3yo with a recent win and less weight to carry on a sharp seasonal track represents a serious pace and weight-for-age threat at a…
DistFit marked '~' (approximate/uncertain) is a flag — if Midnight Thunder is not confirmed suited to today's exact trip, the top weight and patchy recent form combine into a genuine risk rather than…
ShortlistMidnight Thunder, Purosangue, Another Abbot, Pilu