Pontefract 14:38 RESULTED
Class 4 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday Safe Point Sprint Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Safe Point Sprint Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Safe Point Sprint Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Our Son Oscar (IRE) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan
    4/6F
  2. 9/2
  3. 33/1
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Albert Mooney silks
Albert Mooney
Age 2 · 9-7
147
2
9-7
17/2 11/4 17/2
SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Our Son Oscar silks
Our Son Oscar
Age 2 · 9-7
3
152
2
9-7
6/4 31/19 5/4
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Ubettanotblink silks
Ubettanotblink
Age 2 · 9-7
8
121
2
9-7
125/1 66/1 100/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
World Star silks
World Star
Age 2 · 9-7
6
121
2
9-7
66/1 16/1 50/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Ashina silks
Ashina
Age 2 · 9-2
63
154
2
9-2
9/4 2/1 9/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
What A Girl Wants silks
What A Girl Wants
Age 2 · 9-2
220443
77
89
77OR
2
9-2
11/4 3/1 11/4
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Albert Mooney 17/2 open 4.00 9/1 open 3.75 9/1 open 3.75 9/1 open 3.75 9/1 open 3.75 9/1 open 3.75 9/1 Paddy Power
2 Our Son Oscar 6/4 open 3.50 11/8 open 2.63 11/8 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.00 11/8 open 3.00 5/4 open 3.00 6/4 Bet365
3 Ubettanotblink 125/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 125/1 Bet365
4 World Star 66/1 open 17.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 26.00 50/1 open 26.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365
5 Ashina 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 9/4 Bet365
6 What A Girl Wants 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 5.50 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 5.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Our Son Oscar

High conviction

Our Son Oscar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Kevin Ryan Shane Gray
72% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ashina

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · David O'Meara
✓ Value Signal

World Star

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Ollie Sangster
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Our Son Oscar
73.6 6/4
2 5. Ashina
70.4 9/4
3 1. Albert Mooney
67.3 17/2
4 6. What A Girl Wants
58.4 11/4
5 4. World Star
52.5 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ashina
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-7
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 152 🐾

SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-7
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 147 🐾

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ashina
Confidence: Speculative

Ashina (SR 154, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner in a small novice field and carries a favourable 5lb weight advantage over the similarly-priced Albert Mooney and Our Son Oscar by virtue of the 9-2 vs 9-7 comparison. Cieren Fallon's 18% career strike rate is comfortably the best jockey booking in the race, and David O'Meara's 13% strike rate from nearly 2,900 runners is a consistently productive yard. Her form line of 6-3 (third most recently) shows improvement and while both runs are moderate on the surface, the SR of 154 places her well above the competitive threshold for a Class 4 novice over 6f at Pontefract. The market drift of 20% is a mild concern but in a field where the market leader (What A Girl Wants) carries an SR of just 89, the drift likely reflects punters following a steamer rather than genuine negative intelligence about Ashina. Each-way alternative: Our Son Oscar. Main danger: Our Son Oscar — Our Son Oscar (SR 152, 5/2) holds the second-highest SR in the field, has course form (W0P1 at Pontefract), and Kevin Ryan's yard at 12% from 1,648 runners is a reliable outfit — the combination of course familiarity and near-equal ability makes him the most credible threat to Ashina.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Ashina's two runs produced only a 6th and a 3rd — her SR of 154 is projection-based, not earned form, and she has never actually won a race, making her a dubious favourite in a win-or-bust novice con…
  • Market has drifted 20% out to 5/2 while What A Girl Wants has steamed in 38% to 2/1 — that magnitude of market move in a small 6-runner field is hard to dismiss as mere noise and suggests informed mo…
  • Our Son Oscar (SR 152, 5/2) has a course placing at Pontefract and is trained by Kevin Ryan whose 12% yard strike rate with Shane Gray (14% jockey) represents a sharper local combination than O'Meara…
  • Ashina's last run was 38 days ago and her form figures of 6-3 show she has never led or threatened to lead — at 6f on Pontefract's stiff straight finish, a horse with no proven front-running or stron…
Shortlist Ashina, Our Son Oscar, Albert Mooney
Each-way: Our Son Oscar Danger: Our Son Oscar

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade