Ayr 15:00 RESULTED
Class 2 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' Kilkerran Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' Kilkerran Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f

Official Result

Ladbrokes 'Bet £5 Get £30 New Customer Offer' Kilkerran Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Wild Thoughts (IRE) Saffie Osborne · Richard Spencer
    11/4F
  2. 33/1
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Dain Ma Nut In silks
Dain Ma Nut In
Age 5 · 10-0
-17020
97
62
94
5
10-0
22/1 16/1 20/1
Dain Ma Nut In brings distance and going experience to the table and shaped with plenty of promise when second two starts back, the concern being that he has been unplaced on either side of that effort and must bounce back to his best from stall nine off 140 lb.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

2
Glittering Surf silks
Glittering Surf
Age 4 · 9-9
/157-0
92
67
89
4
9-9
22/1 16/1 14/1
Glittering Surf won four starts back and has shown ability at this level, but three subsequent runs without a win and a lengthy 173-day absence leave plenty to prove on return, carrying 135 lb from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Have Secret silks
Have Secret
Age 6 · 9-8
150004
91
75
98
6
9-8
16/1 14/1 15/1
Have Secret has run over today's trip and going before and, rated 98 on our figures, shapes as the one to beat in this field of 11; fourth last time out on a quick 11-day turnaround and a winner six starts back, he carries 134 lb from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Dark Moon Rising silks
Dark Moon Rising
Age 7 · 9-4
450160
87
63
93
7
9-4
33/1 14/1 33/1
Dark Moon Rising won three starts back and lines up here just 11 days later, fit and ready, with experience of both today's trip and the prevailing ground; at 130 lb, the weight he carries is the main threat to his chance of repeating.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Tiernan silks
Tiernan
Age 4 · 9-3
602152
86
96
92
4
9-3
6/1
Tiernan showed well last time out when runner-up, and a winner three starts back, but he has been inconsistent in recent starts and his 129 lb burden from stall 11 gives the handicapper plenty of say; experience over today's trip and going at least counts in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Impartiality silks
Impartiality
Age 4 · 9-3
982222
86
98
93
4
9-3
4/1
Impartiality has finished second in four consecutive starts and has run over today's distance and going, making him a clear and consistent threat at the head of affairs; the single concern is that he remains yet to win in his last six starts, raising questions about his ability to convert.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Altareq silks
Altareq
Age 4 · 9-2
031000
85
83
86
4
9-2
9/1 13/2 8/1
Altareq has gone unplaced in three straight starts and ranks ninth of eleven on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite that win four starts back and third five starts back; experience over today's distance and going is a plus, but his recent form gives little encouragement at 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Galyx silks
Galyx
Age 5 · 9-2
3-0461
85
89
89
5
9-2
4/1 11/4 7/2
Galyx arrives here on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but he carries 128 lb from stall 8 and his trainer has struck at just 4% over the past fortnight, which clouds the picture considerably.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Wild Thoughts silks
Wild Thoughts
Age 3 · 9-1
127923
89
94
90
3
9-1
5/2
Wild Thoughts showed up well last time out, finishing third, and was second two starts back, but patchy efforts deeper in his recent form temper expectations; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 127 lb from stall one, and rates a midfield prospect at best.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Financer silks
Financer
Age 5 · 8-10
214721
79
80
83
5
8-10
11/1 7/1 17/2
Financer arrives here in reasonable nick — a winner last time out and second two starts back — but that seventh three starts back is harder to ignore, and he ranks tenth of eleven on our figures, making him difficult to fancy despite the experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Steel Raven silks
Steel Raven
Age 3 · 8-9
33160
83
63
82
3
8-9
20/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and unplaced last time out, Steel Raven makes this a tough pitch, though he has experience over today's trip and going, won three starts back, and 26 days off may have freshened him from stall two at 121 lb.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Dain Ma Nut In 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 Bet365
2 Glittering Surf 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 20/1 22/1 Bet365
3 Have Secret 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 15/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Dark Moon Rising 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 William Hill
5 Tiernan 6/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 Paddy Power
6 Impartiality 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
7 Altareq 9/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 7.50 9/1 open 8.50 10/1 Paddy Power
8 Galyx 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 9/2 open 4.00 7/2 9/2 Coral
9 Wild Thoughts 5/2 3/1 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 5/2 3/1 Paddy Power
10 Financer 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 William Hill
11 Steel Raven 20/1 open 34.00 33/1 open 26.00 25/1 28/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 33/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tiernan

Speculative

Tiernan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 Iain Jardine Andrew Mullen
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Galyx

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Jack Channon
✓ Value Signal

Dark Moon Rising

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Kevin Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Tiernan
57.7 6/1
2 8. Galyx
57.5 4/1
3 6. Impartiality
56.3 4/1
4 9. Wild Thoughts
56.0 5/2
5 10. Financer
48.3 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Impartiality
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 9-1
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-3
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-3
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 96 🐾

SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 5 · 8-10
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 9-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Age 3 · 8-9
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Impartiality
Confidence: Speculative

Impartiality (SR 98, 9/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a workable 9-3, sharing that weight with Tiernan but holding a 2lb edge on Galyx and 7lb on Wild Thoughts. The form string 982222 shows relentless consistency — four consecutive runner-up finishes — suggesting a horse knocking hard on the door and likely to convert at any moment. Proven at today's distance (DistFit:+) and course experience with W0P2 at Ayr adds further relevance. Running off a mark 12lb higher than last win is a concern, but the class step-up is just one tier and the consistent placing pattern indicates the horse is performing at a competitive level rather than flatlining. The trainer Phillip Makin (12%) and jockey Sam James (14%) are a reliable combination, and the 9/2 price offers fair value for the SR leader. Each-way alternative: Tiernan. Main danger: Tiernan — Tiernan (SR 96, 13/2) has shortened 15% in the market suggesting stable confidence, shares the same weight as Impartiality at 9-3, and the recent form 602152 shows a progressive profile stepping up just one class tier — local trainer Iain Jardine knows this track well.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 982222 reveals four consecutive second-place finishes — a horse that habitually finds one too good may lack the decisive change of gear needed to convert, especially under a 12lb higher m…
  • HG:p flag suggests Impartiality has a preference for good/faster ground; if Ayr is softer in September conditions, this could blunt its finishing effort at a critical moment.
  • Tiernan (SR:96, 13/2) is market-drifting in (in15%) at the same weight 9-3, suggesting bookmakers and informed money see a genuine threat at level weights — Impartiality holds no weight advantage ove…
  • Wild Thoughts (11/4 favourite, in5% market move, MarkMv:+12) is attracting the sharpest market support in the field; a 3-year-old on a lenient 9-1 receiving 2lb from Impartiality and backed with conv…
Shortlist Impartiality, Tiernan, Wild Thoughts, Galyx
Each-way: Tiernan Danger: Tiernan

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m2f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Ayr Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade