Pontefract 15:08 RESULTED
Class 4 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f5y

Official Result

Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sea Lantern (GB) Rowan Scott · Brian Ellison
    13/8F
  2. Second Morbeh (GB)
    2/1
  3. 9/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Ayr

13:30–17:01 · 8 races

Naas

13:50–17:32 · 8 races

Pontefract

14:08–17:08 · 7 races

Yarmouth

14:15–17:15 · 7 races

Southwell (AW)

16:20–20:30 · 9 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sea Lantern silks
Sea Lantern
Age 4 · 10-2
31-3
85
92
91
4
10-2
11/4 9/4 5/2
Sea Lantern won two starts back and returns here as the top-rated runner on our figures, with experience of both today's trip and going in his favour; the 141-day absence is the one query, but he shaped with credit when third last time out.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Morbeh silks
Morbeh
Age 3 · 9-9
142113
85
90
82
3
9-9
15/8 5/2 7/4
Morbeh arrives here with three wins in his last six starts, including back-to-back victories two and three starts back, and he has experience of both today's trip and going — a potent profile at 135 lb; the main risk is whether 69 days off has left him short of peak sharpness.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Alma Latina silks
Alma Latina
Age 3 · 9-2
321334
78
92
85
3
9-2
4/1 5/2 7/2
Alma Latina arrives here in decent nick, finishing third two starts back and third again three starts back, with a win four starts back boosting her claims at this trip and on this ground; the concern is whether she can convert promising runs into victory under 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Lightening Company silks
Lightening Company
Age 8 · 9-2
-00118
71
71
76
8
9-2
14/1 FCST 12/1
Lightening Company brings back-to-back wins into this — a winner two starts back and a winner three starts back — and has experience over today's trip and conditions, carrying 128 lb off an official mark of 71, with our rating suggesting he merits respect; the concern is a disappointing eighth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Traveling Man silks
Traveling Man
Age 3 · 8-13
93631
75
83
71
3
8-13
7/2 18/13 7/2
Ranked last on our figures and carrying 125 lb, Traveling Man faces a stiff ask, though he does return from a 28-day break in decent enough nick having won last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sea Lantern 11/4 5/2 open 3.75 11/4 11/4 11/4 11/4 open 3.25 11/4 Bet365
2 Morbeh 15/8 open 4.50 2/1 open 3.50 2/1 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 7/4 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.50 2/1 Paddy Power
3 Alma Latina 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 3.50 4/1 Bet365
4 Lightening Company 14/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Traveling Man 7/2 open 2.38 7/2 open 3.00 7/2 open 2.62 7/2 open 2.63 7/2 open 2.62 7/2 open 3.25 7/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sea Lantern

Speculative

Sea Lantern owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Brian Ellison Rowan Scott
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Morbeh

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/8 · Roger Varian
✓ Value Signal

Lightening Company

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Ben Haslam
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Sea Lantern
57.8 11/4
2 2. Morbeh
56.0 15/8
3 3. Alma Latina
54.6 4/1
4 5. Traveling Man
54.0 7/2
5 4. Lightening Company
44.4 14/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Alma Latina
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-9
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 8-13
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 83 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 3 · 9-2
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 8 · 9-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Alma Latina
Confidence: Speculative

Alma Latina (SR:92, 10/3) carries the joint-lowest weight in the field at 9-2, matching Lightening Company but with far superior ability, and the market has steamed in a striking 29% from opening — the most aggressive move in this field by some distance. Ralph Beckett's 19% strike rate is elite for a 5-runner handicap, and the cheekpieces (HG:p) suggest connections have found a key to unlock this 3yo. A course record of W1P1 at Pontefract is a concrete advantage over a field with mostly unproven course credentials, and GoingFit:+ confirms she handles today's good ground. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) alongside the weight pull over Sea Lantern (10-2) and the market confidence combine to make this a compelling case. Each-way alternative: Sea Lantern. Main danger: Sea Lantern — Sea Lantern (SR:92, 9/4) matches Alma Latina on SR, has steamed 15% in the market, drops in class, and carries 10-2 — manageable in a 5-runner field — with a proven recent form line of 31-3 suggesting consistent competitiveness, making it the clearest alternative.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reading 321334 shows Alma Latina has not won in her last six starts — a persistent inability to convert placed efforts into victories is a concrete red flag in a race she is expected to spearhea…
  • Rhys Clutterbuck's 11% strike rate is the weakest booking among the principals; in a tight 5-runner handicap, jockey quality edge matters and Sea Lantern's Rowan Scott and Morbeh's Cieren Fallon are…
  • Morbeh (Roger Varian, 20% strike rate, SR:90, 69 days since last run, headgear already applied) has strong recent form 142113 and represents a live danger at 4/1 that the 29% steam into Alma Latina m…
  • The cheekpieces (first-time headgear flag HG:p) are an unknown factor — if the hood was the assumed 'key', the market has already priced it in, and headgear that fails to produce an immediate win oft…
Shortlist Alma Latina, Sea Lantern, Morbeh
Each-way: Sea Lantern Danger: Sea Lantern

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m4f5y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade