Yarmouth 16:45 RESULTED
Class 6 17 Sep 2026

Last Thursday White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap Stakes

White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap Stakes · 0m7f3y

Official Result

White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Anton Mauve (GB) Jack Mitchell · Kevin & Lauren Frost
    12/1
  2. 33/1
  3. 15/8F
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16:20–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 11 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Emery Down silks
Emery Down
Age 4 · 10-0
442615
65
67
69
4
10-0
4/1 7/2 10/3
Emery Down landed a win two starts back and has experience of both today's trip and going, giving her a solid platform from stall three carrying 140 lb; the risk is that fifth on her latest start suggests she may need to bounce back sharply.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Split Elevens silks
Split Elevens
Age 8 · 9-13
541241
64
64
68
8
9-13
11/1 7/1 17/2
Split Elevens won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but his figures trail the top-rated rivals and a 35-day break adds a fitness query for a gelding who has been inconsistent in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Middleton View silks
Middleton View
Age 4 · 9-13
957945
64
44
66
4
9-13
16/1 FCST 14/1
Winless in his last six starts and off the track for 87 days, Middleton View faces a stiff task from stall four carrying 139 lb, though he has run over today's trip before and a rating of 66 offers faint encouragement for a midfield effort at best.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

4
Wise Crack silks
Wise Crack
Age 3 · 9-11
568144
65
56
71
3
9-11
11/1 8/1 17/2
Wise Crack arrives on the back of a win three starts back and steps out after just 17 days, suggesting he is in fine fettle; he has run over today's trip and going, and his rating of 71 marks him as a clear danger, though consecutive fourth-placed finishes since that win give the main cause for concern.
AI verdict

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

5
Hint of The Jungle silks
Hint of The Jungle
Age 5 · 9-11
152221
62
60
66
5
9-11
12/1 17/2 11/1
Hint of The Jungle arrives on the back of a win last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, but 94 days off the track is a fitness query, and carrying 137 lb from stall 10 asks questions of a horse rated just 62 officially.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Noble Guest silks
Noble Guest
Age 4 · 9-11
563748
62
62
75
4
9-11
6/1 11/2 5/1
Noble Guest is yet to win in recent starts but rates top of these on our figures, and having run over today's trip and going he arrives fit on an 18-day break; the risk is that his recent form figures make it hard to know when the penny will drop.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Portman Blue silks
Portman Blue
Age 4 · 9-11
486667
62
52
66
4
9-11
9/1 10/1 17/2
Winless in his last six starts, Portman Blue has at least run over today's trip and returns on a quick 17-day turnaround carrying 137 lb from stall five, though consistent sixth-place finishes suggest he finds one or two too good most days.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

8
Anton Mauve silks
Anton Mauve
Age 3 · 9-10
890
64
49
63
3
9-10
14/1 18/1 12/1
Winless in his last three starts and ranked well down the field on our figures, Anton Mauve arrives after a 125-day absence with little recent form to recommend him; he has run over today's trip and carries 136 lb from stall seven, but those are slim positives against a tough ask here.
AI verdict

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Viking Glory silks
Viking Glory
Age 3 · 9-9
070317
63
57
72
3
9-9
10/1 6/1 10/1
A winner two starts back and placed three starts back, Viking Glory arrives on a sharp eight-day turnaround in good order and has run over today's trip, giving him a solid profile for this assignment despite a modest latest effort.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Pickering Castle silks
Pickering Castle
Age 4 · 9-8
8-7761
59
62
66
4
9-8
4/1 3/1 7/2
Pickering Castle won last time out but that sole victory in his last five starts underlines the inconsistency to overcome, and while he has run over today's trip and going before, a mark of 59 and carrying 134 lb from stall two makes life no easier.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Currahee silks
Currahee
Age 4 · 9-7
-96447
58
54
65
4
9-7
8/1 6/1 15/2
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of thirteen on our figures, Currahee faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and returns after 22 days, but 133 lb from stall 13 does him no favours.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Bizarre Law silks
Bizarre Law
Age 7 · 8-9
170486
46
34
59
7
8-9
22/1 FCST 18/1
Bizarre Law has finished sixth and eighth in his last two starts, and our figures rank him 12th of 13 in this field, making him hard to fancy despite a win in his last six starts and the fitness edge of a 14-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

13
Victorian Rose silks
Victorian Rose
Age 3 · 8-6
800
46
20
38
3
8-6
80/1 40/1 80/1
Winless in her last three starts and rated 38 on our figures — well below the level required here — Victorian Rose faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's distance and going before and draws stall one carrying 118 lb.
AI verdict

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Emery Down 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 10/3 open 5.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
2 Split Elevens 11/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 11.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.50 14/1 Paddy Power
3 Middleton View 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Wise Crack 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 Bet365
5 Hint of The Jungle 12/1 open 9.50 11/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Noble Guest 6/1 11/2 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
7 Portman Blue 9/1 open 15.00 17/2 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
8 Anton Mauve 14/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 19.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Viking Glory 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 11/1 open 7.50 11/1 Coral
10 Pickering Castle 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
11 Currahee 8/1 open 7.00 15/2 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 Coral
12 Bizarre Law 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 25/1 Paddy Power
13 Victorian Rose 80/1 open 41.00 100/1 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 100/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Pickering Castle

Speculative

Pickering Castle owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (34) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 David Simcock Jack Dace(5)
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Emery Down

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · John Ryan
✓ Value Signal

Victorian Rose

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Mike Murphy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +13.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
63 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Pickering Castle
48.6 4/1
2 1. Emery Down
48.4 4/1
3 6. Noble Guest
46.3 6/1
4 2. Split Elevens
45.1 11/1
5 7. Portman Blue
44.0 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Noble Guest
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 10-0
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-11
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 4 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-11
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

9
Age 3 · 9-9
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 8 · 9-13
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-11
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 11/1.

5
Age 5 · 9-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-10
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 44 🐾

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Noble Guest
Confidence: Speculative

Noble Guest (SR:62, 6/1) posts the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Pickering Castle but carries a clear weight advantage over Emery Down (10-0) and Split Elevens (9-13), running off 9-11 with a mark 8lb below last win — a genuinely favourable MarkMv:-8 signal. The GoingFit:+ rating is decisive in a field where most rivals show GoingFit:? or GoingFit:-, confirming he handles today's good-to-soft conditions at Yarmouth better than the majority. Course:W2P3 at this track is a standout record — a proven Yarmouth specialist who knows how to win here. Oisin Murphy (22% career strike rate) is a formidable booking, and while there is a slight 9% market drift, the underlying data case here is stronger than the drift suggests. Each-way alternative: Emery Down. Main danger: Pickering Castle — Pickering Castle shares Noble Guest's SR:62, has Course:W1P1 at Yarmouth, and ran a recent win (form 8-7761 with rightmost digit 1) — if the going suits better than GoingFit:? implies, David Simcock's runner at 4/1 has the profile to win.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Noble Guest's recent form reads 563748 — that '8' finish is the most recent run, a poor effort that suggests current form is deteriorating rather than building into today.
  • Trainer George Margarson strikes at just 8% — the weakest trainer strike rate among the leading fancies, materially undermining the Oisin Murphy booking's impact.
  • Emery Down holds a higher SR (67 vs 62) and despite carrying 10-0, has a MarkMv:+9 suggesting progressive form; Noble Guest's MarkMv:-8 advantage may be offset by Emery Down's sharper current traject…
  • The 9% market drift out on Noble Guest in a competitive 13-runner handicap is a mild but genuine negative signal — money has moved away from this horse on raceday.
Shortlist Noble Guest, Emery Down, Pickering Castle, Hint of The Jungle
Each-way: Emery Down Danger: Pickering Castle

🗺 The Course Class 6

0m7f3y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Yarmouth Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade