Dan Hague, Rails Bookmaker Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f3y
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Spirit of Lyra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Soldier of The Sea | 7/2 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 7.50 | 10/3 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Bill The Bull | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Dubai Charm | 15/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 open 7.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Mirzimaan | 6/1 open 9.50 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Catching Dreams | 3/1 open 2.50 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 2.87 | 7/2 open 2.88 | 7/2 open 2.75 | 7/2 open 2.88 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
| 7 Conciliate | 18/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Eighth Immortal | 11/2 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 8.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 8.50 | 5/1 open 9.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Easy Answer | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 9.50 | 6/1 open 9.50 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 9.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Sydney Grace | 7/1 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 | 6/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Troublesome Guest | 16/1 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Soldier of The Sea owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 78 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mirzimaan (SR:89, 11/2) has steamed in 35% from its opening price — the most significant market move in the race by a clear margin — and that money is almost certainly informed given trainer George Boughey's 18% strike rate and jockey Billy Loughnane's 18% career record, a formidable partnership. The SR:89 matches Soldier of The Sea at the top of the field but Mirzimaan carries 5lb less (9-5 vs 9-10), a meaningful weight advantage on good-to-soft ground. The form reads 0120: a recent win, with the last run a wide-margin defeat that is clearly excused by the handicapper given this class drop of two tiers. The combination of top SR, lightest competitive weight among the leading horses, elite market confidence, and a strong trainer-jockey booking makes this the standout pick. Each-way alternative: Soldier of The Sea. Main danger: Catching Dreams — Charlie Appleby's 33% trainer strike rate is the best in the field by a distance, and Catching Dreams (SR:84, 2/1) is the market favourite — a yard of that calibre firing at a Class 4 nursery with a horse running off the same class mark is a genuine threat even with an apprentice booking and only two career runs.