Winless in her last four starts, Strassia nonetheless heads this field on our ratings and has run over today's trip and going, giving her every chance to outrun recent disappointing form carrying 144 lb.
Form last 6/606-9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR91RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Ashnak shaped with plenty of promise when second three starts back, and having run over today's trip and going he arrives on a sharp 12-day turnaround in good order carrying 135 lb; the concern is that his two most recent efforts have seen him fade to seventh and eighth, so he needs to rediscover that earlier spark.
Form last 6834278
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
89SR87RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Placed third last time out and a winner six starts back, Elsass returns on a snappy 12-day turnaround with both distance and going experience to call upon, and his 132 lb burden is the main obstacle to reversing a patchy recent run of form.
Form last 6103773
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR84RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Minstrel Knight arrives 109 days since his last outing and winless in his last five starts, though he did finish second three starts back, showing some ability; experience over today's trip and going helps, but 130 lb is a stern ask off a mark of 83.
Form last 64020-0
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
87SR84RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in her last five starts and not seen on track for 123 days, Azahara Palace faces questions about fitness, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a second four starts back shows she retains ability worth respecting at a rating of 84.
Form last 65279-6
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR84RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Northwest Passage ran a cracking second three starts back and returns here in excellent nick just 12 days later, with experience of today's trip and conditions and a rating of 85 that ranks him third of the 11; the worry is he has been winless in recent starts and must prove he can convert.
Form last 6-05255
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
77SR85RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out suggests he retains form, and a winner three starts back shows he can find the front, but a fourth and finishes further back in recent starts hint at inconsistency; has run over today's trip and going, and 126 lb is manageable.
Form last 6-57143
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR80RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Golden West is hard to fancy despite carrying a manageable 124 lb; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a second two starts back offers a crumb of hope.
Form last 6/42925
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR78RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
High Point has run over today's trip and going, and landed a win four starts back, but three straight unplaced efforts since are hard to ignore; at 124 lb off a mark of 77, he needs to rediscover that form quickly.
Form last 6301000
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR79RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Pearl Eye has finished sixth in two of his last three starts and ranks bottom of the field on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite the fitness edge of just a fortnight since his last run and experience of today's going.
Form last 6361466
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
70SR76RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, with a pair of seconds his only encouragement, Humble Spark has been finishing mid-to-rear in recent outings and ranks ninth of eleven on our figures; he has run over today's trip and going, and 54 days off at least means he returns fresh.
Form last 6262966
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR78RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Spirit of Acklam owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/1Michael & David EasterbyJoanna Mason
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Minstrel Knight
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
13/2 · Edward Bethell✓ Value Signal
High Point
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Iain Jardine◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Spirit of Acklam (SR 90, 7/2) is the joint-highest rated runner in the field and carries the lightest weight of the top-SR horses at 9-0, giving it a meaningful pounds advantage over Ashnak (SR 89, 9-9) and Elsass (SR 82, 9-6). Critically, it holds two wins and three places at Ayr — the strongest course record in the field — and is proven at today's distance (DistFit:+), ticking both the course-specialist and trip-suitability boxes simultaneously. The market has shortened 18% since opening, confirming stable confidence in a yard (Michael & David Easterby) that fires at 10% across a large sample, and the last-run form figure of 3 (a place effort) at Class 4 before stepping back up to Class 3 suggests it is primed after a sharpener. The one reservation is stepping up a class tier (ClassMv:↑1), but the SR, weight, course form and market support collectively outweigh that concern.
Each-way alternative: Minstrel Knight.
Main danger: Ashnak — Ashnak (SR 89, 3/1) has steamed in 35% in the market with Daniel Tudhope booked — clearly the O'Meara yard's number-one runner — and at 9-9 is dropping a class tier, though the unknown distance and going fit (both DistFit:? and GoingFit:?) at this 1m5f trip on good-to-soft is the only thing keeping it from being the outright selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Recent form reads -57143: the '7' and '5' finishes show Spirit of Acklam has been beaten well in its last two starts before the place, suggesting patchy consistency at this level.
Ashnak (SR 89, 3/1) has drifted in 35% in the market — far more aggressively than Spirit of Acklam's 18% — and carries only 9-9 with a 12-day turnaround from a yard (O'Meara/Tudhope) that fires at hi…
Class rise from Class 4 to Class 3 is a genuine risk: the last win came at a lower grade, and today's field average SR is stiffer, with Ashnak just 1lb below on SR but 9lb worse off in weight terms o…
Trainer Michael & David Easterby fires at only 10% — one of the lower strike rates in the field — and the MarkMv is flat (=), suggesting the market move may have already plateaued with no fresh money…
ShortlistSpirit of Acklam, Ashnak, Minstrel Knight, Elsass