Cartmel 14:35 RESULTED
Class 4 31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Sticky Toffee Pudding Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Sticky Toffee Pudding Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race) · 2m1f46y

Official Result

Sticky Toffee Pudding Juvenile Hurdle Race (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Wicksey (GB) Richie McLernon · Ben Haslam
    7/4
  2. 12/1
  3. 22/1
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14:35–17:30 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Royal Baroness silks
Royal Baroness Non-Runner
Age 3 · 10-5
3
10-5
SP
1
Vietnorm silks
Vietnorm
Age 3 · 11-5
12
100
92
3
11-5
SP 11/10 10/11
Vietnorm shaped with real promise when runner-up last time out, and a winner two starts back, so he arrives in fine nick off a 36-day break; the chief concern is whether 159 lb tests his resolve under pressure.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Wicksey silks
Wicksey
Age 3 · 11-5
1
95
96
3
11-5
11/8 2/3 18/13
Wicksey heads this six-runner field on a rating of 96 and arrives on the back of a win last time out, with experience over today's trip adding to his claims; the 63-day absence is the sole query, but the form reads well.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Jambearee silks
Jambearee
Age 3 · 10-12
5
42
72
3
10-12
28/1 20/1 28/1
Jambearee has run over today's trip and was fifth last time, and carries 152 lb today, with our rating of 72 marking him out as a live threat in this field; the main concern is a lengthy 86-day absence leaving his fitness on trust.
AI verdict

SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

4
Lynxman silks
Lynxman
Age 3 · 10-12
65
3
10-12
66/1 40/1 50/1
Unexposed and open to improvement on debut, Lynxman has had a significant break of 130 days since last seen and steps in carrying 152 lb, leaving plenty to discover about his potential.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

5
Time Twister silks
Time Twister
Age 3 · 10-12
82
3
10-12
12/1 16/1 15/2
Unexposed and open to improvement on debut, Time Twister steps into the unknown here carrying 152 lb after a 23-day absence, and with no public form to dissect, he remains an intriguing unknown quantity.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Watcha Snoop silks
Watcha Snoop
Age 3 · 10-12
63
3
10-12
12/1 20/1 9/1
Unexposed and open to plenty of improvement on debut, Watcha Snoop steps into the unknown here but a 30-day freshener leaves him likely to strip fit, and connections will be hoping he makes a promising opening statement carrying 152 lb.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Royal Baroness
1 Vietnorm evn open 2.38 1/1 open 2.38 evn open 2.10 evn open 2.10 10/11 open 2.10 10/11 open 2.10 evn Bet365
2 Wicksey 11/8 open 1.67 13/8 open 1.67 13/8 open 1.80 13/8 open 1.80 7/4 open 1.91 13/8 open 1.83 7/4 William Hill
3 Jambearee 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 21.00 33/1 Paddy Power
4 Lynxman 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365
5 Time Twister 12/1 open 29.00 8/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 15/2 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
6 Watcha Snoop 12/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 23.00 10/1 open 21.00 12/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Wicksey

Speculative

Wicksey owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/8 Ben Haslam Richie McLernon
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Vietnorm

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

evn · Adrian Keatley
✓ Value Signal

Lynxman

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Mike Sowersby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Wicksey
57.4 11/8
2 1. Vietnorm
52.4 evn
3 5. Time Twister
49.2 12/1
4 6. Watcha Snoop
46.5 12/1
5 4. Lynxman
38.6 66/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Vietnorm
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 11-5
11/8
★★★★☆ SR 95 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 3 · 10-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 10-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Vietnorm
Confidence: Speculative

Vietnorm (SR 100, 11/10) leads the ability ratings by a clear margin over the next-best runner and has a live form line of 1-2, showing he has already won over hurdles and finished second on his most recent start — genuine juvenile hurdle form that none of the three unexposed horses can match. The market has shortened 9% since opening, confirming that money is coming in despite him carrying top-weight of 11-5 alongside Wicksey; importantly, 11-5 is the joint-top weight rather than an isolated burden. Wicksey (SR 95) has drifted a massive 27% from opening and that move cannot be ignored — whatever the camp know, the market is actively fading them. Vietnorm's SR 100 in a juvenile hurdle of this class is firmly in the competitive range, and with no proven runners among the unexposed trio, his experience and ability edge make him the standout. Each-way alternative: Time Twister. Main danger: Time Twister — Time Twister (SR 82, 12/1) has steamed in 34% in the market — the strongest move in the field — suggesting connections expect a big run on debut over hurdles despite the two-class rise, and the Easterby yard's 900-runner sample gives their 9% strike rate genuine credibility.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jockey Oakley Brown has only 5 career wins and a modest 5% strike rate — on a horse needing to prove itself again, this is a significant pilot concern at a tricky track like Cartmel.
  • Time Twister has moved in 34% in the market from opening and is only 23 days off its last run — that sharp gamble from a fresh horse with Easterby yard backing warrants serious respect.
  • Vietnorm's form reads 1-2 but the '2' came last time out, meaning he was beaten on his most recent start; at 11/10, punters are being asked to back a horse that just lost.
  • Trainer Adrian Keatley's 15% strike rate sounds reasonable but across 239 runners suggests volume over quality; Cartmel is a specialist track and Keatley has no obvious course profile advantage.
Shortlist Vietnorm, Time Twister, Wicksey
Each-way: Time Twister Danger: Time Twister

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m1f46y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade