Elphin Handicap · 0m7f94y
SR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.
SR 48 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 45 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 44 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Givehertilxmas | 4/1 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Phoenix Pairc | 15/2 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Angel Of Promise | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Shamanka | 17/2 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Brains | 10/1 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 6 Cisterna | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 Coral |
| 7 James Henry | 33/1 | 35/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | — | 35/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Glen Breeze | 11/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Whatswrongnow | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 Coral |
| 10 Oitentinha | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Queen Of Newark | 33/1 open 51.00 | 35/1 open 34.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 35/1 Paddy Power |
| 12 Tamazu | 22/1 open 26.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Sunday Sovereign | 25/1 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 14 La Campanella | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Bullet Bourbon | 7/1 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 16 Gordon Bennett | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 17 Draiocht | 7/1 | 11/1 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 18 Distillate | 25/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Givehertilxmas owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 56 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.
SR 48 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 17/2.
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 47 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Givehertilxmas carries the joint-top weight of 10-2 but holds the highest SR in the field at 56 (joint with Bullet Bourbon), and crucially has Colin Keane in the saddle — a 16% strike-rate jockey on 1,065 career rides, clearly the yard's number-one booking over stablemate La Campanella who gets James Ryan at 5%. At 4/1 the market is marginally the shortest in the field, suggesting some confidence. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are concerns, but in a field of 18 where nobody posts strong fitness signals and the top SR is only 56, the Colin Keane booking and market position tip the balance — in a low-quality handicap like this, jockey calibre and market intelligence carry outsized weight. Each-way alternative: Bullet Bourbon. Main danger: Bullet Bourbon — Bullet Bourbon matches Givehertilxmas on SR:56 but carries 1-6 less weight at 8-10, has a MarkMv:-7 (running off a mark 7lb below last win) and GoingFit:~ suggesting some tolerance for today's conditions — the weight relief and lower mark make it a genuine each-way threat at 7/1.