Southwell (AW) 17:00 RESULTED
Class 5 31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Gents Evening Saturday 24th October Handicap Stakes

Gents Evening Saturday 24th October Handicap Stakes · 6f16y

Official Result

Gents Evening Saturday 24th October Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Classy Clarets (IRE) Shay Farmer · Iain Jardine
    5/1
  2. 9/1
  3. Third Hectic (GB)
    11/1
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Southwell (AW)

13:32–17:35 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:45–17:45 · 8 races

Epsom

13:50–17:15 · 7 races

Ripon

13:55–17:50 · 8 races

Downpatrick

14:12–17:39 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:35–17:30 · 6 races

Roscommon

16:50–19:55 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Classy Clarets silks
Classy Clarets
Age 5 · 9-9
511112
70
75
68
5
9-9
6/1 5/1 6/1
Ranked bottom three on our figures and rated below his official mark, Classy Clarets faces a stiff ask, though his recent sequence — second last time out after four wins in his last six — at least signals he arrives in fine fettle, with distance and going experience adding modest encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Hierarchy silks
Hierarchy
Age 7 · 9-9
934065
70
67
82
7
9-9
11/1 9/1 10/1
Hierarchy has run over today's trip and going and shaped with enough promise to earn a top rating among these twelve, and at 135 lb from stall 12, he goes into this fresh enough on a 16-day break — though yet to win in recent starts, he is the one to side with.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Marianne Mozart silks
Marianne Mozart
Age 4 · 9-9
5-55
70
61
66
4
9-9
14/1 5/1 14/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of this field on our figures, Marianne Mozart faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's distance and going before and 31 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Travel Agent silks
Travel Agent
Age 4 · 9-7
245775
68
62
70
4
9-7
9/1 9/1 8/1
Travel Agent has experience over today's trip and ground, and his second in recent starts offers some encouragement, but he has been winless in his last six outings and that sequence of fifths and sevenths suggests he is capable of mixing it midfield rather than threatening at the finish.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sole Spirit silks
Sole Spirit
Age 4 · 9-6
/1161-
67
74
67
4
9-6
12/1 13/2 11/1
Sole Spirit returns from a lengthy 354-day absence, which makes him very hard to trust despite a sharp recent profile of three wins in his last four starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, but ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, he faces a stiff task on reappearance.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Cairdeas silks
Cairdeas
Age 4 · 9-6
-25204
67
73
74
4
9-6
12/1 15/2 11/1
Cairdeas has finished second twice in his last five starts and returns on a freshening break of 25 days with experience of today's trip and going, and our rating of 74 marks him as a genuine threat in this field; the risk is he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Dicko The Legend silks
Dicko The Legend
Age 6 · 9-5
634563
66
75
73
6
9-5
3/1 11/4 3/1
Placed third last time out but winless in his last six starts, Dicko The Legend has experience of today's trip and going and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround; drawing stall one and carrying 131 lb are the weights to factor in.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Hectic silks
Hectic
Age 6 · 9-5
407539
66
58
74
6
9-5
10/1 12/1 9/1
Hectic was third two starts back and returns on a quick turnaround of just 14 days, bringing distance and going experience to the table; our rating of 74 marks him out as a leading danger, though he remains winless in recent starts and will need to find more from stall five.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Baba Reza silks
Baba Reza
Age 8 · 9-4
06-234
65
65
75
8
9-4
12/1 17/2 12/1
SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Jesse Luc silks
Jesse Luc
Age 6 · 9-3
535367
64
59
71
6
9-3
11/1 FCST 10/1
Jesse Luc arrives here winless in his last six starts, with a seventh last time out and a sixth two starts back suggesting a horse that keeps finding a handful in front of him; a third three starts back hints at ability, however, and he has experience over today's trip and going, carrying 129 lb from stall 11.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Thunderous Love silks
Thunderous Love
Age 5 · 9-2
696922
63
71
67
5
9-2
15/2 13/2 7/1
Winless in her last six starts, with a pair of seconds her only consolation, Thunderous Love has run over today's trip and going before, but ranked 11 of 12 on our figures she faces a stiff task from stall 8 off 128 lb.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Fantasy Obsessor silks
Fantasy Obsessor
Age 4 · 9-1
225275
62
58
70
4
9-1
10/1 11/1 10/1
Fantasy Obsessor has shown ability in recent starts, second three starts back, but has been disappointing in her last two outings and remains yet to win in recent form; experience over today's trip and going offers some hope, though her rating of 70 leaves her with plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Classy Clarets 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 6/1 Bet365
2 Hierarchy 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Marianne Mozart 14/1 open 6.00 16/1 open 7.00 18/1 open 6.50 18/1 open 6.50 18/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 6.50 18/1 Coral
4 Travel Agent 9/1 8/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 17/2 open 11.00 10/1 Coral
5 Sole Spirit 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 7.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 9.50 12/1 Bet365
6 Cairdeas 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 Bet365
7 Dicko The Legend 3/1 open 4.50 3/1 open 5.00 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 Coral
8 Hectic 10/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 15.00 10/1 Bet365
9 Baba Reza 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
10 Jesse Luc 11/1 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 12/1 Coral
11 Thunderous Love 15/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 7.50 8/1 8/1 open 8.50 15/2 7/1 8/1 Coral
12 Fantasy Obsessor 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 11/1 11/1 10/1 open 13.00 11/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dicko The Legend

Speculative

Dicko The Legend owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Liam Bailey Billy Loughnane
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Classy Clarets

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Iain Jardine
✓ Value Signal

Sole Spirit

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Bryan Smart
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Dicko The Legend
50.6 3/1
2 1. Classy Clarets
50.2 6/1
3 5. Sole Spirit
48.7 12/1
4 11. Thunderous Love
48.5 15/2
5 2. Hierarchy
46.6 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Dicko The Legend
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 6 · 9-5
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-9
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 5 · 9-2
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-5
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 9-1
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 7 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 9-3
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Dicko The Legend
Confidence: Speculative

Dicko The Legend (SR:75, 3/1) is joint-top on ability alongside Classy Clarets but carries the lightest weight of the two (9-5 vs 9-9), giving a meaningful 4lb advantage. The market has firmed 9% since opening — meaningful in a 12-runner Class 5 handicap — and Billy Loughnane (19% strike rate, 1,811 career rides) is a significant jockey booking for a yard that runs just 5% winners, signalling this is Liam Bailey's intended number one. The form string 634563 is consistent without being flashy but shows a horse that competes every time, and Course:W0P3 at Southwell confirms he handles the track. GoingFit:~ is the only reservation, but good ground is not hostile to him. Each-way alternative: Thunderous Love. Main danger: Classy Clarets — Classy Clarets (SR:75, 7/1) carries the joint-best SR in the field and a near-perfect recent form string of 511112, with GoingFit:+ confirming it handles today's good ground — the 27% drift is odd given the form, and if it reflects only the MarkMv:+12 concern, the raw ability could still see it win.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 634563 shows six consecutive races without a win — a horse that 'competes every time' but never converts, and Course:W0P3 at Southwell confirms the same pattern of placing without winning…
  • Trainer Liam Bailey runs at just 5% — one of the weakest yards in the field — meaning even with Loughnane booked, the stable's raw conversion rate severely undermines the 'intended number one' narrat…
  • Cairdeas (SR:73, 9-6) has drifted INTO the market by 42% suggesting strong stable confidence, and Sole Spirit (SR:74, 9-6) carries 1lb less than Dicko having returned from a 354-day absence — both re…
  • At 3/1 in a 12-runner Class 5 handicap, Dicko The Legend is priced as if the 4lb weight pull over Classy Clarets is decisive, yet his mark has moved +0 (MarkMv not listed as positive shift) while Thu…
Shortlist Dicko The Legend, Classy Clarets, Thunderous Love
Each-way: Thunderous Love Danger: Classy Clarets

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade