Epsom 16:05 RESULTED
Class 4 31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Stanley Wootton Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Stanley Wootton Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race) · 1m2f17y

Official Result

Stanley Wootton Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Hello Cotai (IRE) Pat Cosgrave · Jim Boyle
    14/1
  2. 11/4F
  3. Third Hengest (GB)
    8/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Hengest silks
Hengest
Age 4 · 10-2
111890
80
72
83
4
10-2
10/1 8/1 17/2
Hengest boasts three wins in his last six starts, including back-to-back victories, and has run over today's trip before, while 37 days off should leave him fresh; the risk is that his last two outings have been unplaced efforts that suggest he may need things to fall right.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Almekarem silks
Almekarem
Age 4 · 10-2
64-172
80
80
81
4
10-2
10/3 3/1 10/3
Almekarem ran a cracker last time out, finishing second, and he landed a win three starts back to underline his ability; he has run over today's trip and a 19-day turnaround looks sharp enough, though that seventh two starts back is the form to dismiss.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Perfect Scoundrel silks
Perfect Scoundrel
Age 4 · 9-13
-86321
77
81
81
4
9-13
9/2 FCST 4/1
A winner last time out and placed in two of his three most recent starts, Perfect Scoundrel arrives in good nick though 46 days off the track raises a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before, but 139 lb is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Arthur's Realm silks
Arthur's Realm
Age 8 · 9-12
0077-5
76
70
97
8
9-12
14/1 16/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts, Arthur's Realm nonetheless carries a compelling profile into this — our ratings rank him clear of the field, and he has run over today's trip and going before, giving connections solid grounding; 87 days off is the one query.
AI verdict

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

5
Mao Shang Wong silks
Mao Shang Wong
Age 4 · 9-10
810275
74
60
82
4
9-10
16/1 12/1 16/1
Mao Shang Wong shaped well when second three starts back and arrives here on a sound 28-day break with experience of today's distance and going in his favour; the worry is that he has struggled to recapture that form since, finishing seventh and fifth in his last two outings.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Double Red silks
Double Red
Age 5 · 9-10
184425
74
77
80
5
9-10
4/1
Double Red has run over today's trip and going before and returns off a 25-day break, but his fifth last time out and only one win in his last six starts suggest he faces a stiff ask from 136 lb despite a draw from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Trio silks
Trio
Age 3 · 9-8
357114
79
79
80
3
9-8
6/1 5/1 6/1
Ranked eighth of ten on our figures and carrying 134 lb from stall ten, Trio faces a stiff ask, though she does bring winning form into this, scoring twice in her last six starts, and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Crystal Pier silks
Crystal Pier
Age 3 · 9-6
3-1257
77
65
80
3
9-6
16/1 11/1 14/1
SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Hello Cotai silks
Hello Cotai
Age 5 · 9-1
361344
65
59
75
5
9-1
14/1 FCST 12/1
Hello Cotai arrives ranked bottom but one on our figures and has managed just one win in his last six starts, with back-to-back fourths in his most recent outings giving little encouragement; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 21 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Sail On Sailor silks
Sail On Sailor
Age 3 · 8-9
231115
66
76
73
3
8-9
7/1 11/2 7/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and with a speed rating that gives little encouragement, Sail On Sailor is hard to fancy despite a productive recent run of form that includes three wins in his last six starts, most recently a fifth last time out after 39 days off.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Hengest 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
2 Almekarem 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Paddy Power
3 Perfect Scoundrel 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 9/2 Bet365
4 Arthur's Realm 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Mao Shang Wong 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 18/1 Paddy Power
6 Double Red 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
7 Trio 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 Bet365
8 Crystal Pier 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 16/1 Bet365
9 Hello Cotai 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
10 Sail On Sailor 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Double Red

Speculative

Double Red owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Henry Candy David Probert
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Trio

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

6/1 · Eve Johnson Houghton
✓ Value Signal

Hello Cotai

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Jim Boyle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Double Red
53.7 4/1
2 7. Trio
53.0 6/1
3 3. Perfect Scoundrel
52.4 9/2
4 2. Almekarem
50.8 10/3
5 10. Sail On Sailor
47.5 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Perfect Scoundrel
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 10-2
10/3
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-10
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-8
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 3 · 8-9
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 8 · 9-12
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

9
Age 5 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-10
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Age 3 · 9-6
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Perfect Scoundrel
Confidence: Speculative

Perfect Scoundrel (SR:81, 4/1, 9-13) is the highest-rated runner in the field and carries a weight advantage over joint top-weights Hengest and Almekarem (both 10-2), a meaningful 3lb edge on good to soft ground at Epsom. The course form is directly relevant — a W1P1 record at this track is a genuine specialist signal on a course that punishes strangers. The form string -86321 shows a progressive sequence into the last run with a clear upward trend, and stepping up one class is offset by the moderate SR ceiling in this field. Robert Havlin (13% career strike rate) is a solid booking and the 4/1 price represents fair value for the most credible combination of ratings, course form, and recent improvement. Each-way alternative: Double Red. Main danger: Double Red — Double Red (SR:77, 4/1, 9-10) has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's ground, carries 3lb less than Perfect Scoundrel, holds course form (W1P1 at Epsom), and the market has shortened 19% — money has come for this horse with a reason.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Amanda Perrett runs at just 7% strike rate (109 runners), one of the weakest yards in the field — a significant drag on win probability regardless of horse quality.
  • 46-day absence is the longest layoff in the competitive top half of the field; Perrett's low yard strike rate makes it harder to trust the horse returns cherry-ripe.
  • Trio (SR:79, W2P2 course record, 9-8 weight) has a superior course record of two wins from four visits and carries 6lb less — a substantial Epsom-specialist threat the primary analysis undersells.
  • MarkMv of +6 mirrors Almekarem's drift, suggesting the market has moved against Perfect Scoundrel relative to rivals despite the analyst framing 4/1 as fair value.
Shortlist Perfect Scoundrel, Double Red, Hengest, Almekarem
Each-way: Double Red Danger: Double Red

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f17y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Epsom Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade