Downpatrick 16:29 RESULTED
31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Cosy Group Beginners Steeplechase

Cosy Group Beginners Steeplechase · 2m3f100y

Official Result

Cosy Group Beginners Steeplechase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Killeemore Lad (IRE) Philip Donovan · Andrew Slattery
    7/2
  2. Second Jabbar (IRE)
    5/2J
  3. Third Herja (IRE)
    7/2
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Barton Sky silks
Barton Sky
Age 8 · 11-12
/2P-50
65
93
8
11-12
SP
Barton Sky arrives winless in his last four starts, with a pulled-up effort three starts back doing little to inspire confidence, and he ranks last on our figures here — though a second four starts back shows he can compete, and 21 days off should leave him fresh.
AI verdict

SR 65 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at .

2
Jabbar silks
Jabbar
Age 7 · 11-12
/234-2
96
125
7
11-12
SP
Jabbar has been a model of consistency in recent starts, finishing second twice and third once in his last four, and with 24 days between runs he arrives fresh; the main risk is that he remains yet to win.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Kevin's Pride silks
Kevin's Pride
Age 7 · 11-12
/14-54
119
96
115
7
11-12
SP
Kevin's Pride landed a winner four starts back and has experience of today's trip and going to call on, making him a genuine threat at 166 lb; the main risk is that 52 days off the track leaves his current sharpness an open question.
AI verdict

SR 96 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Killeemore Lad silks
Killeemore Lad
Age 8 · 11-12
22/F22
116
92
124
8
11-12
SP
Consistent to a fault, Killeemore Lad has finished second in four of his last five completed starts and, fit from a run 18 days ago with experience over today's trip and conditions, his profile warrants plenty of respect despite being yet to score in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Robbies Rock silks
Robbies Rock
Age 5 · 11-12
8142/8
95
119
5
11-12
SP
Robbies Rock caught the eye with a second two starts back and knows today's going, giving him a solid platform at 166 lb; the worry is that eighth last time out suggests he can be frustratingly inconsistent.
AI verdict

SR 95 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Spinola Bay silks
Spinola Bay
Age 6 · 11-12
1136-7
85
108
6
11-12
SP
Spinola Bay showed a good turn of form when winning back-to-back three and four starts back, but has disappointed in his last two outings, and 41 days off the track plus a hefty 166 lb burden make him hard to fancy with confidence despite going experience and a rating of 108.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Herja silks
Herja
Age 6 · 11-5
2-3262
105
89
106
6
11-5
SP
Winless in her last five starts and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Herja is hard to fancy despite her consistency — three runner-up finishes in recent starts show she tries hard, and she has run over today's trip and going before, but 159 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but reflects a stiff ask in this field.

No bookmaker prices recorded yet for this race. Prices land after the first odds sync.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kevin's Pride

Speculative

Kevin's Pride owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (49). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

N/A John C McConnell Eoghan Finegan(5)
62% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jabbar

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

N/A · Gerard O'Leary
✓ Value Signal

Jabbar

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

N/A · Gerard O'Leary
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +10.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Live signal
69 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +7.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Kevin's Pride
55.8 N/A
2 2. Jabbar
55.6 N/A
3 7. Herja
53.0 N/A
4 4. Killeemore Lad
52.6 N/A
5 5. Robbies Rock
51.0 N/A
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jabbar
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jabbar
Confidence: Speculative

Jabbar (SR:96, Wgt:11-12) is joint-highest rated alongside Kevin's Pride but carries cleaner recent form — a consistent 2-3-4-2 sequence showing a horse that competes honestly and finishes, which matters enormously in a beginners' chase where jumping reliability is the primary concern. Kevin's Pride's form reads 1-4-5-4 rightmost, with a MarkMv:+5 suggesting he's now running off a higher mark after a win, and trainer John C McConnell strikes at only 3% — a significant red flag. Jabbar's trainer Gerard O'Leary at 7% is modest but the form line suggests a sound, consistent jumper rather than a fragile type, and in a 7-runner beginners' chase on good ground, continuity of jumping trumps raw SR. With no market data available, the consistent form is the deciding signal. Each-way alternative: Robbies Rock. Main danger: Robbies Rock — Robbies Rock (SR:95, Age:5) is the youngest horse in the field with GoingFit:+ confirmed on today's good ground, trained by Gavin Cromwell who strikes at 9% from a very large sample — the most credible training operation in this field — and a 5-year-old's scope for improvement in novice chasing makes him a live danger.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Jabbar's best recent finish is a 2nd; the form sequence 2-3-4-2 shows consistent placing but no win — a horse that keeps getting beaten may lack the finishing kick to seal a beginners' chase.
  • Trainer Gerard O'Leary strikes at only 7% from 119 runners — a small, low-conversion yard that rarely lands races; no evidence of a stable upturn to suggest this is a targeted run.
  • Robbies Rock (SR:95, Gavin Cromwell 9%) and Killeemore Lad (SR:92, Andrew Slattery 11%) are trained by handlers with materially higher strike rates and fresher angles — Jabbar's yard is outgunned in…
  • Spinola Bay is trained by Gordon Elliott (15% strike rate, 1767 runners) — the vastly superior handler presence in the race means market movers from that yard routinely steamroll 7%-yard picks at Dow…
Shortlist Jabbar, Robbies Rock, Killeemore Lad, Kevin's Pride
Each-way: Robbies Rock Danger: Robbies Rock

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m3f100y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Downpatrick Track and setting