Cartmel 16:19 RESULTED
Class 3 31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Wicks Group Cavendish Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Wicks Group Cavendish Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 3m1f107y

Official Result

Wicks Group Cavendish Cup Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tommie Beau (IRE) Benjamin Macey · Jeff Mullins
    4/1
  2. 15/8F
  3. 11/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Southwell (AW)

13:32–17:35 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:45–17:45 · 8 races

Epsom

13:50–17:15 · 7 races

Ripon

13:55–17:50 · 8 races

Downpatrick

14:12–17:39 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:35–17:30 · 6 races

Roscommon

16:50–19:55 · 7 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Grand Clermont silks
Grand Clermont
Age 10 · 12-0
612412
132
122
131
10
12-0
5/1 4/1 5/1
Grand Clermont arrives on the back of a win one start back and a second last time out, bringing solid recent form into this; he carries a hefty 168 lb, which is the principal concern against this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Breizh River silks
Breizh River
Age 8 · 11-13
1-3213
131
127
131
8
11-13
10/3 4/1 10/3
Breizh River arrives here in excellent nick, a winner one start back and third last time out, with two wins from his last five starts and experience of today's going working in his favour; the main query is whether 44 days between runs leaves him short of peak sharpness under a hefty 167 lb.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tamarind Bay silks
Tamarind Bay
Age 6 · 11-10
23-11U
128
121
125
6
11-10
4/1 FCST 10/3
Tamarind Bay unseated last time out, which tempers the enthusiasm somewhat, though he had won two of the three starts before that, most recently a winner two starts back and again three starts back. Has run over today's going and returns fit on a 16-day turnaround, but 164 lb is a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Tommie Beau silks
Tommie Beau
Age 11 · 11-9
86-124
127
117
135
11
11-9
13/2 8/1 6/1
Tommie Beau has mixed recent form, winning three starts back before a runner-up finish two starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and going. Carrying 163 lb after 44 days off is the one query, but his rating of 135 marks him as the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 117 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Caughtinyourtrance silks
Caughtinyourtrance
Age 7 · 11-7
P-2211
125
131
130
7
11-7
9/4 3/1 9/4
Caughtinyourtrance arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and has run over today's trip and going, making him a serious player under 161 lb — the burden he carries is the one thing that could halt his momentum.
AI verdict

SR 131 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Stratagem silks
Stratagem
Age 10 · 11-6
4-3131
124
122
124
10
11-6
8/1 6/1 15/2
Ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Stratagem faces a stiff ask under 160 lb, yet he arrives with a lively recent profile — a winner last time out and two wins in his last five starts — and has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Fairlawn Flyer silks
Fairlawn Flyer
Age 10 · 10-8
P-4343
112
120
122
10
10-8
9/2 13/2 7/2
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Fairlawn Flyer faces a stiff task here, though a pulled-up effort aside he has placed consistently and returns with distance and going experience to call on after 55 days off carrying 148 lb.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Grand Clermont 5/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 Paddy Power
2 Breizh River 10/3 open 5.50 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.50 7/2 Coral
3 Tamarind Bay 4/1 4/1 open 4.33 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 4/1 Bet365
4 Tommie Beau 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 10.00 6/1 open 10.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 10.00 13/2 Bet365
5 Caughtinyourtrance 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 Bet365
6 Stratagem 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 8.00 8/1 Bet365
7 Fairlawn Flyer 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Breizh River

Live signal

Breizh River owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (71) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Tristan Davidson Harry Reed
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Caughtinyourtrance

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · James Moffatt
✓ Value Signal

Tommie Beau

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

13/2 · Jeff Mullins
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
71 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +26.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +5.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Breizh River
67.5 10/3
2 5. Caughtinyourtrance
67.2 9/4
3 1. Grand Clermont
64.9 5/1
4 3. Tamarind Bay
64.2 4/1
5 4. Tommie Beau
62.7 13/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Caughtinyourtrance
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 7 · 11-7
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 131 🐾

SR 131 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 11-13
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 127 🐾

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 121 🐾

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 10 · 10-8
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 120 🐾

Favourable weight of 10-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 10 · 12-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 122 🐾

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 11 · 11-9
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 117 🐾

SR 117 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 10 · 11-6
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 122 🐾

SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Caughtinyourtrance
Confidence: Speculative

Caughtinyourtrance (SR 131, 11/4) is the class leader in this field by a clear margin — 4 points ahead of the next-best Breizh River and 10+ clear of the majority. More tellingly, the horse arrives on a consistent recent run of P-2211, showing a sharp upward trajectory, is running off the same mark as its last win (MarkMv:=), and boasts an outstanding course record of W2P3 at Cartmel — the specialist track factor here is significant. Brian Hughes (16% career strike rate) is a strong booking, the weight of 11-7 is fair, and there is no drift in the market to suggest stable or veterinary concerns. Each-way alternative: Fairlawn Flyer. Main danger: Fairlawn Flyer — Fairlawn Flyer has steamed in 22% in the market — the sharpest market move in the race — carries a lenient weight of 10-8 (the lightest in the field), is on a mark 4lb below its last win (MarkMv:-4), and shares the course record W2P4 with stablemate Stratagem; Mickey Bowen will run this as his number-one given the weight advantage, market support, and four-star AI rating.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer James Moffatt runs at only 12% strike rate from just 66 runners — a small, northern yard that may lack the Cartmel-specific local knowledge of Mickey Bowen's powerful three-pronged stable att…
  • 44 days off track with headgear (tp) — returning from a break in a competitive handicap at a tight, specialist track like Cartmel where sharpness from the outset is critical.
  • Top weight by comparison to in-form Tamarind Bay (only 16 days since last run, SR 121, MarkMv+5, Stable flag suggesting yard confidence) who arrives race-fit and fresh off back-to-back wins.
  • Fairlawn Flyer (5/1) has been noticeably backed in 22% in the market today despite a lower SR — market money moving away from the favourite's yard and toward Mickey Bowen's team is a concrete signal…
Shortlist Caughtinyourtrance, Fairlawn Flyer, Breizh River, Tamarind Bay
Each-way: Fairlawn Flyer Danger: Fairlawn Flyer

🗺 The Course Class 3

3m1f107y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade