Ripon 14:30 RESULTED
Class 4 31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Harrogate Theatre Panto Tickets Now On-sale Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Harrogate Theatre Panto Tickets Now On-sale Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race) · 1m2f190y

Official Result

Harrogate Theatre Panto Tickets Now On-sale Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Feelin' Free (GB) Connor Beasley · Jack Jones
    9/2
  2. 1/3F
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Masterly silks
Masterly
Age 5 · 9-12
3/
129
5
9-12
14/1 7/1 11/1
SR 129 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 129 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Time Thief silks
Time Thief
Age 3 · 9-11
1
155
3
9-11
1/3 10/11 3/10
SR 155 backed by market confidence at 4/5 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 155 backed by market confidence at 4/5 — a genuine contender.

3
Peace Belle silks
Peace Belle
Age 5 · 9-5
442
102
104
102OR
5
9-5
3/1 2/1 11/4
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Why Not Me silks
Why Not Me
Age 4 · 9-5
2-4
138
4
9-5
12/1 6/1 10/1
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Feelin' Free silks
Feelin' Free
Age 3 · 8-11
25
152
3
8-11
9/2 10/3 7/2
Favourable weight of 8-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Masterly 14/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 10.00 16/1 Coral
2 Time Thief 1/3 open 2.63 1/3 open 2.00 3/10 open 2.25 3/10 open 2.25 4/11 open 2.25 1/3 open 1.91 4/11 William Hill
3 Peace Belle 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 3/1 open 3.25 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 Bet365
4 Why Not Me 12/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Feelin' Free 9/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Time Thief

High conviction

Time Thief owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

1/3 Tom Clover David Egan
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Feelin' Free

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Jack Jones
✓ Value Signal

Why Not Me

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Stuart Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Time Thief
73.0 1/3
2 5. Feelin' Free
66.7 9/2
3 4. Why Not Me
63.1 12/1
4 3. Peace Belle
60.5 3/1
5 1. Masterly
59.1 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Time Thief
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-11
1/3
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

SR 155 backed by market confidence at 4/5 — a genuine contender.

3
Age 5 · 9-5
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 8-11
9/2
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 4 · 9-5
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 138 🐾

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 9-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 129 🐾

SR 129 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Time Thief
Confidence: High

Time Thief (SR:155, 4/5) is the class standout in this five-runner novice, sitting 3lb clear of Feelin' Free (SR:152) and 17lb above Why Not Me (SR:138) on the Saturday Rating scale. The market has spoken loudly — a 21% inward move to 4/5 from a Tom Clover yard running at 14% strike rate with David Egan booked (14%, 580 career rides) confirms strong connections confidence. A winning debut (Form:1) at the same class (ClassMv:=) 26 days ago means this horse returns at peak freshness with proven ability, and the lighter 9-11 weight sits comfortably below top-weight Masterly's 9-12. With all runners sharing DistFit:? and GoingFit:?, no rival has a proven edge in those departments to offset Time Thief's clear SR and market superiority. Each-way alternative: Feelin' Free. Main danger: Feelin' Free — Feelin' Free (SR:152) is only 3lb behind Time Thief on the SR scale, carries a featherweight 8-11 — a full 14lb below top-weight — and a form figure of '5' last time out at the same class leaves room for improvement that could close the gap at a tempting 11/2.

Case against 3
  • Time Thief's sole form reference is a single winning debut — a one-run sample in a novice means rivals with multiple runs (Feelin' Free: 2 runs, Peace Belle: 3 recent runs) have demonstrated ability…
  • Feelin' Free carries 8-11, a full 14lb less than Time Thief's 9-11, and at 11/2 has not drifted dramatically — a 3lb SR gap (155 vs 152) could easily be overturned by that weight concession over a Ri…
  • At 4/5, Time Thief is priced to near-perfection; any minor setback (track configuration unfamiliarity, slow break) in a five-runner field with no room for error could make this short price look very…
Shortlist Time Thief, Feelin' Free, Why Not Me
Each-way: Feelin' Free Danger: Feelin' Free

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m2f190y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Ripon Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade