Roscommon 19:55 RESULTED
31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap

Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap · 1m4f17y

Official Result

Roscommon Racecourse On Facebook Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Priorstown (IRE) Ben Coen · J P Murtagh
    9/2
  2. 4/1J
  3. 25/1
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Settled
  • 19 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Glen Echo silks
Glen Echo
Age 3 · 10-2
070033
59
57
68
3
10-2
7/1 11/2 7/1
Twice placed third in recent starts, Glen Echo arrives here 38 days fresh and has run over today's trip and going before, giving him a solid fitness and conditions profile; yet to score in his last six, but our rating of 68 marks him out as one to respect here.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Nathema silks
Nathema
Age 3 · 10-2
8-8482
59
52
67
3
10-2
17/2 15/2 8/1
Winless in her last five starts, Nathema does bring distance and going experience to the table, and that second last time out shows she can threaten, though 142 lb is a stiff ask for a filly rated 59 officially.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.

3
Priorstown silks
Priorstown
Age 3 · 10-2
6070
59
60
71
3
10-2
5/1 3/1 5/1
Rated highest in the field and carrying 142 lb, Priorstown has experience of today's going and arrives fresh after 31 days off, though he is winless in his last four starts and faces a trainer who has drawn a blank in 28 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Wipeawayyourtears silks
Wipeawayyourtears
Age 3 · 10-2
6-2319
59
38
65
3
10-2
14/1 FCST 12/1
Won a start back two runs ago and showed a placed effort three starts back, but that ninth last time out clouds her recent form picture; has run over today's trip and going, and at 142 lb she faces a stiff weight task.
AI verdict

SR 38 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sir Trancealot silks
Sir Trancealot
Age 3 · 10-1
077350
58
33
67
3
10-1
14/1 18/1 9/1
Rated 67 and ranked fourth of nineteen, Sir Trancealot brings distance and going experience and returns from a 49-day break looking to build on a third three starts back, though he remains winless in recent starts and a trainer in the depths of a cold run is the main concern.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Oh I Do Declare silks
Oh I Do Declare
Age 3 · 9-13
0-09
56
26
52
3
9-13
28/1 22/1 25/1
Oh I Do Declare has been winless in his last three starts, with a ninth and two unplaced efforts, and returns after a 138-day absence carrying 139 lb; ranked 16 of 19 on our figures, he is difficult to fancy on current form.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Ravens Can Fly silks
Ravens Can Fly
Age 3 · 9-13
0048
56
27
55
3
9-13
28/1 33/1 25/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 12 of 19 on our ratings, Ravens Can Fly does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, though a 51-day absence and a 139 lb ask make improvement hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Canon Law silks
Canon Law
Age 3 · 9-12
066251
55
54
57
3
9-12
13/2 7/2 13/2
Canon Law won last time out and shapes as a lively threat on a workable mark, though a fifth two starts back and a pair of sixths in recent starts reveal some inconsistency; he has run over today's trip and going, and 26 days between runs leaves him reasonably fresh.
AI verdict

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Premier Princess silks
Premier Princess
Age 3 · 9-11
5068
54
25
57
3
9-11
40/1 18/1 33/1
Winless in her last four starts and returning after a 91-day absence, Premier Princess faces a stiff ask off 137 lb, though she has experience of today's going and a rating of 57 offers modest encouragement that she retains some ability.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Captain Con silks
Captain Con
Age 3 · 9-10
-00670
53
49
67
3
9-10
11/1 7/1 10/1
Winless in his last five starts, Captain Con nonetheless catches the eye on our rating — ranked third of 19 rivals — and returns with experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour; the risk is that his recent finishes offer little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Ellens Bay silks
Ellens Bay
Age 3 · 9-10
0-003
53
38
55
3
9-10
20/1 11/1 20/1
Winless in her last four starts, Ellens Bay does at least return to familiar ground having run over today's going before, and a third last time out offers a crumb of encouragement, though her official mark of 53 and ranking towards the foot of the field make it hard to see her turning things around here.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

12
Augusta Rock silks
Augusta Rock
Age 3 · 9-8
08-852
51
55
59
3
9-8
4/1 3/1 7/2
Winless in his last five starts, Augusta Rock at least brings distance and going experience to the table, and that runner-up finish last time out hints at returning form — though 45 days off the track and 134 lb on his back are both factors to weigh against him.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Flagstone Lady silks
Flagstone Lady
Age 3 · 9-8
80608
51
29
60
3
9-8
33/1 33/1 25/1
Winless in her last five starts and beaten into the top half on each occasion, Flagstone Lady returns after 49 days off carrying 134 lb, though she has run over today's distance and going before and our rating of 60 suggests she retains more ability than her official mark of 51 implies.
AI verdict

SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

14
Nosmokewithoutfire silks
Nosmokewithoutfire
Age 3 · 9-7
0-7000
50
25
48
3
9-7
80/1 66/1 50/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 18 of 19 on our figures, Nosmokewithoutfire makes little appeal here, though he has run over today's going before and 37 days between runs at least suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

15
Tintinabulla silks
Tintinabulla
Age 3 · 9-6
0870
49
24
48
3
9-6
22/1 66/1 16/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Tintinabulla has little recent form to recommend her, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns after a 49-day break carrying 132 lb.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

16
Minella Buoy silks
Minella Buoy
Age 3 · 9-2
696-6
45
62
54
3
9-2
11/4 5/1 11/4
Winless in his last four starts, with a sequence of sixths and a ninth doing little to inspire confidence, Minella Buoy faces a stiff task at the foot of the rankings here, though a return just 11 days ago at least confirms he is fit and ready to run.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

17
Princess Rosie silks
Princess Rosie
Age 3 · 9-10
0806-0
TBA
53
30
61
3
9-10
50/1
Winless in her last five starts, Princess Rosie at least returns on familiar going and a 26-day break gives connections cause for optimism, though a weight of 136 lb makes life harder for a filly ranked seventh of nineteen.
AI verdict

SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

18
Elzaam Express silks
Elzaam Express
Age 3 · 9-2
5007
TBA
45
26
52
3
9-2
25/1
Winless in his last four starts and ranked 15th of 19 on our figures, Elzaam Express is hard to fancy at the weights, though he has run over today's going before and returns after a 26-day break with a hint of fitness in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

19
Curious Jane silks
Curious Jane
Age 3 · 9-0
-00955
TBA
43
36
49
3
9-0
16/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 17 of 19 on our figures, Curious Jane faces a stiff task here, though she has run over today's going before and 26 days between runs leaves her reasonably fresh.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Glen Echo 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 7/1 open 8.50 17/2 William Hill
2 Nathema 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 17/2 open 9.00 8/1 9/1 Paddy Power
3 Priorstown 5/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.00 6/1 Paddy Power
4 Wipeawayyourtears 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 26.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Sir Trancealot 14/1 open 29.00 11/1 open 26.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 26.00 9/1 open 34.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Oh I Do Declare 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 31.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 23.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 29.00 28/1 Bet365
7 Ravens Can Fly 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 41.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Canon Law 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 4.50 15/2 open 4.50 15/2 open 5.00 8/1 open 5.00 13/2 open 7.00 8/1 William Hill
9 Premier Princess 40/1 open 26.00 35/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 29.00 40/1 Bet365
10 Captain Con 11/1 11/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 11/1 Bet365
11 Ellens Bay 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 Paddy Power
12 Augusta Rock 4/1 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 4/1 open 4.50 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
13 Flagstone Lady 33/1 open 41.00 30/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 41.00 33/1 Bet365
14 Nosmokewithoutfire 80/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 50/1 open 81.00 80/1 Bet365
15 Tintinabulla 22/1 open 81.00 18/1 open 67.00 16/1 open 67.00 16/1 open 67.00 18/1 open 67.00 16/1 open 81.00 22/1 Bet365
16 Minella Buoy 11/4 open 6.50 11/4 open 7.50 11/4 open 7.50 11/4 open 7.50 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.00 11/4 Bet365
17 Princess Rosie 50/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 67.00 66/1 Paddy Power
18 Elzaam Express 25/1 33/1 28/1 open 34.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Paddy Power
19 Curious Jane 16/1 25/1 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 26.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 25/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Augusta Rock

Speculative

Augusta Rock owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (31) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 Joseph Patrick O'Brien Declan McDonogh
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Minella Buoy

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · John J Nallen
✓ Value Signal

Premier Princess

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Denis Gerard Hogan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +11.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 12. Augusta Rock
47.9 4/1
2 16. Minella Buoy
47.8 11/4
3 8. Canon Law
46.6 13/2
4 2. Nathema
45.2 17/2
5 3. Priorstown
45.1 5/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Minella Buoy
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

16
Age 3 · 9-2
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 10-2
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-12
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 10-2
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 10-2
17/2
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.

10
Age 3 · 9-10
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 10-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 10-1
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 33 🐾

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

19
Age 3 · 9-0
16/1
J: TBA
T: Ciaran Murphy
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Age 3 · 9-10
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 38 🐾

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Minella Buoy
Confidence: Speculative

Minella Buoy (SR:62, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries the lightest weight among the top-rated contenders at 9-2, a significant lbs advantage over rivals like Priorstown (9-10 lighter but SR only 60) and Glen Echo (10-2 for SR:57). The GoingFit:+ confirms proven ability on today's good ground — the only runner in the field with a positive going flag — and the market has steamed 27% from its opening price, indicating genuine stable confidence. The headgear change (hood) and a recent run just 11 days ago suggests the yard is targeting this race specifically, while trainer John J Nallen's 14% strike rate with only 44 runners signals a small, selective yard that runs to win. Each-way alternative: Priorstown. Main danger: Priorstown — Priorstown (SR:60, 3/1) has steamed 23% in the market, is ridden by Ben Coen (the stronger booking over stablemate Sir Trancealot), and represents JP Murtagh's yard's clear #1 runner — at the shortest price in the field, the market is making a strong case that this horse is peaking.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads 696-6 — four consecutive finishes of 6th or worse, including after a break, suggesting this horse has a consistent habit of underperforming regardless of conditions.
  • Priorstown (SR:60, 3/1) has steamed in 23% and is shorter in the market despite lower SR, indicating market money is splitting and Priorstown's connections have strong confidence today.
  • Augusta Rock (SR:55) is trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien (15% strike rate, 1643 runners) — a major yard dwarfing Nallen's 44-runner operation — and carries 9-8, just 6lbs more than Minella Buoy desp…
  • Headgear change to hood for first time is an unknown quantity — if the horse needed hood to settle or focus, it signals a behavioural issue that may not be resolved first time in unfamiliar headgear.
Shortlist Minella Buoy, Priorstown, Augusta Rock, Glen Echo
Each-way: Priorstown Danger: Priorstown

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f17y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
19 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting