Chepstow 17:45 RESULTED
Class 6 31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August DragonBet Handicap Stakes

DragonBet Handicap Stakes · 1m2f

Official Result

DragonBet Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Zambezi Magic (GB) William Cox · Bernard Llewellyn
    20/1
  2. 15/8F
  3. 4/1
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Southwell (AW)

13:32–17:35 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:45–17:45 · 8 races

Epsom

13:50–17:15 · 7 races

Ripon

13:55–17:50 · 8 races

Downpatrick

14:12–17:39 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:35–17:30 · 6 races

Roscommon

16:50–19:55 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Liberate silks
Liberate
Age 4 · 10-0
055921
65
69
70
4
10-0
7/2 5/2 7/2
Liberate arrives on the back of a win last time out and a second two starts back, giving her a sharp profile of late, and her experience over today's trip and going adds further substance to her claims; the concern is that 140 lb represents a sizeable burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Ghost Story silks
Ghost Story
Age 5 · 9-9
3-3343
65
73
71
5
9-9
2/1 11/4 7/4
Consistently placing in recent starts, Ghost Story brings solid each-way claims here, finishing third three of her last four outings and fourth the other, with experience over today's trip and going an asset; winless in her last five, she remains one to side with from stall three on a solid 21-day break.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Meet Me In Meraki silks
Meet Me In Meraki
Age 5 · 9-5
787325
61
68
65
5
9-5
7/2 4/1 7/2
Meet Me In Meraki has been consistent in his last three starts — fifth last time, a second two back and a third three back — and his experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour; the risk is that he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Stipulation silks
Stipulation
Age 5 · 9-4
386762
60
57
64
5
9-4
15/2 7/2 7/1
Stipulation has run over today's trip and going, shapes with solid claims off stall one carrying 130 lb, and that runner-up finish last time out — his best recent effort — suggests he is building nicely; the concern is that he remains winless in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Zambezi Magic silks
Zambezi Magic
Age 9 · 9-2
5-7565
58
51
61
9
9-2
14/1 9/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts, Zambezi Magic has struggled to raise his game in recent outings, and at a rating of 61 ranked fifth of six he faces a stiff task here; experience over today's trip and going, plus a return after 39 days, offer slim grounds for optimism.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

6
Staywitherjohnny silks
Staywitherjohnny
Age 4 · 8-12
9-6395
54
64
59
4
8-12
11/4 11/4 9/4
Winless in her last five starts, with a ninth two runs back sandwiched around rare encouragement — a third three starts back — Staywitherjohnny has run over today's trip and returns after 23 days, but ranked last on our figures she faces a stiff task from stall six carrying 124 lb.
AI verdict

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Liberate 7/2 7/2 open 3.50 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.33 4/1 Coral
2 Ghost Story 2/1 open 4.00 7/4 open 4.33 15/8 open 4.00 15/8 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 7/4 open 3.75 2/1 Bet365
3 Meet Me In Meraki 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
4 Stipulation 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 4.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 8/1 Paddy Power
5 Zambezi Magic 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Staywitherjohnny 11/4 11/4 open 6.00 5/2 open 4.50 5/2 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.33 11/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ghost Story

Speculative

Ghost Story owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 John Butler Lewis Edmunds
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Meet Me In Meraki

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · David Evans
✓ Value Signal

Zambezi Magic

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Bernard Llewellyn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Ghost Story
54.1 2/1
2 3. Meet Me In Meraki
50.6 7/2
3 1. Liberate
50.0 7/2
4 6. Staywitherjohnny
49.5 11/4
5 4. Stipulation
42.7 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Ghost Story
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 5 · 9-9
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 8-12
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-0
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-5
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 5 · 9-4
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 9 · 9-2
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Ghost Story
Confidence: Speculative

Ghost Story (SR:73, 5/2, Wgt:9-9) is the class leader in this modest Class 6 field and arrives dropping down a tier (ClassMv:↓1), which is a meaningful advantage. The 17% market support — steaming in from what would have been around 3/1 — signals informed confidence, and John Butler's 15% yard strike rate is the best among the trainers represented. The form string 3-3343 shows consistent placing without quite winning, but the class drop combined with proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and a career-best SR suggests this is the assignment to break that duck. Running off a mark 4lb higher than last win (MarkMv:+4) is a modest concern but is outweighed by the class concession from rivals. Each-way alternative: Liberate. Main danger: Liberate — Liberate (SR:69, 10/3, Wgt:10-0) has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), ran just 7 days ago suggesting peak condition, and the Jim & Suzi Best yard's booking of Ashley Lewis — a 16% strike-rate jockey — on a horse running at the same class and mark as its last outing points to quiet confidence that this consistent runner can go one better.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 3-3343 shows a persistent pattern of placing without winning — four consecutive placed efforts without a victory suggests a horse that finds a way to lose rather than win when it matters.
  • Running off a mark 4lb above last winning mark at a track where no course win is recorded; Chepstow's undulations and stiff finish may not suit a horse whose form is flat-track consistent.
  • Staywitherjohnny (11/4) carries 11lb less and is also drifting inward 13% with Rossa Ryan aboard (16% strike rate, 1469 rides — strongest jockey in the race), representing serious pace and weight adv…
  • Meet Me In Meraki runs off a mark 4lb LOWER than last start (MarkMv:-4) with a fresh recent win in the form string ('5' latest but '2' penultimate), also steaming 13% — a rival with a genuinely impro…
Shortlist Ghost Story, Liberate, Meet Me In Meraki
Each-way: Liberate Danger: Liberate

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m2f Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade