Roscommon 19:25 RESULTED
31 Aug 2026

Monday 31 August Oran Handicap

Oran Handicap · 1m4f17y

Official Result

Oran Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Letiza (IRE) Andrew Slattery · Andrew Slattery
    7/1
  2. 7/1
  3. 12/1
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Southwell (AW)

13:32–17:35 · 8 races

Chepstow

13:45–17:45 · 8 races

Epsom

13:50–17:15 · 7 races

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13:55–17:50 · 8 races

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14:12–17:39 · 7 races

Cartmel

14:35–17:30 · 6 races

Roscommon

16:50–19:55 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 19 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Sea Eagle silks
Sea Eagle
Age 6 · 10-0
/600-0
80
46
88
6
10-0
33/1 22/1 33/1
Sea Eagle arrives here rated 88 by our assessors — top of a 19-runner field — has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a fresh 24-day break carrying 140 lb; the concern is that he has been winless in his last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Superficial silks
Superficial
Age 4 · 10-0
3-2610
80
66
85
4
10-0
16/1
Superficial won two starts back but has been unplaced on his most recent outing, and 140 lb is no small ask; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 84 offers some encouragement, though he must bounce back here.
AI verdict

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

3
Thyer silks
Thyer
Age 5 · 9-13
0-6532
79
79
85
5
9-13
5/1 5/1 9/2
Thyer has been knocking on the door, finishing second last time out and third two starts back, yet he remains winless in his last five starts and that lack of a killer blow is the concern; experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour, and he arrives here on a quick turnaround of 15 days looking fit enough.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Fratas silks
Fratas
Age 6 · 9-12
244-60
78
69
84
6
9-12
13/2 7/1 13/2
Winless in her last five starts, Fratas does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and her rating of 84 suggests she retains ability, though an unplaced effort last time and 138 lb to carry are the chief concerns.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Neptunes Staircase silks
Neptunes Staircase
Age 6 · 9-12
2671/9
78
49
87
6
9-12
20/1 20/1 18/1
Neptunes Staircase showed he retains winning ability with a victory two starts back, and has run over today's trip and going, with our rating of 87 marking him out as a serious threat in a wide field; the chief concern is that ninth last time out and 156 days off the track.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Royal Saxo silks
Royal Saxo
Age 6 · 9-12
2-9957
78
53
82
6
9-12
25/1 FCST 20/1
Royal Saxo has been struggling for form in his last four starts but does boast a second five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before, returning after 30 days off carrying 138 lb, yet to score in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

7
Merlin The Wizard silks
Merlin The Wizard
Age 6 · 9-10
811965
76
67
83
6
9-10
18/1 14/1 16/1
Merlin The Wizard won twice in his last six starts, two starts back showing a sixth and carrying 136 lb here after just 16 days, though consecutive below-par efforts at the end of that sequence give pause, even if he has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Zoffman silks
Zoffman
Age 7 · 9-8
0-6803
74
60
86
7
9-8
18/1 12/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts, Zoffman nonetheless catches the eye on a rating of 86 — well clear of his official mark — and returns in good time on 16 days' rest, having run over today's trip and going before; the risk is that elusive recent form.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Faro Island silks
Faro Island
Age 4 · 9-7
-41761
73
76
74
4
9-7
15/2 5/1 15/2
Faro Island won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but ranked sixteenth of nineteen on our figures he faces a stiff ask, and the two wins in his last five starts are sandwiched around a pair of poor efforts that make him difficult to trust.
AI verdict

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Flying Fortress silks
Flying Fortress
Age 4 · 9-7
0-5082
73
65
78
4
9-7
12/1 9/1 11/1
Winless in his last five starts and drawn from a midfield berth on a 62-day absence, Flying Fortress at least has experience of today's distance and going to call upon, and a rating of 78 offers a slim edge over his official mark of 73, though the weight of 133 lb is no help.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Youcansaythatagain silks
Youcansaythatagain
Age 3 · 9-7
715
82
76
80
3
9-7
8/1 7/1 13/2
Won two starts back but beaten into fifth last time out, Youcansaythatagain has going experience to call on and returns on a quick turnaround of 15 days; his official mark of 82 suggests he has ability, though he may need to find more from that latest disappointing effort.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Letiza silks
Letiza
Age 6 · 9-6
60-244
72
69
79
6
9-6
11/1 15/2 11/1
Letiza arrives here in good shape on a nine-day turnaround, and her second three starts back offers encouragement, yet she has been winless in her last five starts and a 132 lb burden may prove testing against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Stellar Moment silks
Stellar Moment
Age 3 · 9-3
6321
78
80
72
3
9-3
7/1 7/1 6/1
Ranked 17 of 19 on our figures, Stellar Moment faces a stiff ask, and a career-high 129 lb adds to the challenge; but she arrives a winner last time out, has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a fresh 31-day break.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Adel silks
Adel
Age 3 · 9-1
7-8710
76
55
80
3
9-1
20/1 11/1 20/1
Adel won two starts back but has been unplaced on his most recent outing, and 62 days off the track raises a fitness query; he has run over today's distance and going, and his rating of 80 gives him a slim edge over his mark.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

15
Lord Aus silks
Lord Aus
Age 3 · 9-0
805313
75
70
72
3
9-0
10/1 9/1 17/2
Third last time out and a winner two starts back, Lord Aus shows some recent consistency, but ranked 18 of 19 on our figures and saddled by a trainer without a winner in 28 attempts over the past fortnight, he is extremely hard to fancy here.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

16
Ryefield Dasher silks
Ryefield Dasher
Age 3 · 8-9
45-605
70
64
72
3
8-9
11/1 8/1 10/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Ryefield Dasher is hard to fancy, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns after a 35-day break with some freshness in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Summer Snow silks
Summer Snow
Age 6 · 9-3
905083
TBA
69
60
77
6
9-3
16/1 18/1 12/1
Winless in her last six starts, Summer Snow faces a stiff task from 14th in the rankings, and 129 lb is a hefty burden; that said, she returns on a quick turnaround showing some freshness, and does have experience of today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

18
Duke Of Leggagh silks
Duke Of Leggagh
Age 6 · 9-2
57-900
68
47
80
6
9-2
80/1 FCST 66/1
Winless in his last five starts, Duke Of Leggagh at least has experience of today's distance and going, and 13 days since his last outing suggests he is fresh; however, his recent run of unplaced efforts makes it hard to fancy him strongly from ninth in the rankings.
AI verdict

SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

19
L'Un Deux Trois silks
L'Un Deux Trois
Age 10 · 9-0
204/01
66
52
75
10
9-0
18/1 18/1 16/1
Ranked below the principals on our figures, L'Un Deux Trois makes the running difficult to advocate despite winning last time out — that sole victory in his last five starts is sandwiched around some disappointing efforts, and he sits 15th of 19 on our ratings here.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Sea Eagle 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 40/1 Paddy Power
2 Superficial 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365
3 Thyer 5/1 9/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.50 5/1 Bet365
4 Fratas 13/2 open 8.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 Paddy Power
5 Neptunes Staircase 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 20/1 20/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 26.00 20/1 Bet365
6 Royal Saxo 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 29.00 20/1 25/1 Bet365
7 Merlin The Wizard 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
8 Zoffman 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
9 Faro Island 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 Bet365
10 Flying Fortress 12/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
11 Youcansaythatagain 8/1 open 9.50 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.50 15/2 8/1 Bet365
12 Letiza 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
13 Stellar Moment 7/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 Bet365
14 Adel 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 Bet365
15 Lord Aus 10/1 open 12.00 17/2 open 10.00 9/1 9/1 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 12.00 10/1 Bet365
16 Ryefield Dasher 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 10/1 12/1 William Hill
17 Summer Snow 16/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
18 Duke Of Leggagh 80/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 80/1 Bet365
19 L'Un Deux Trois 18/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 19.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Stellar Moment

Speculative

Stellar Moment owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 John S O'Donoghue Rory Mulligan(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Faro Island

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · A Oliver
✓ Value Signal

Duke Of Leggagh

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

80/1 · Michael Mulvany
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 13. Stellar Moment
52.9 7/1
2 9. Faro Island
52.0 15/2
3 3. Thyer
48.9 5/1
4 11. Youcansaythatagain
48.4 8/1
5 4. Fratas
48.1 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Stellar Moment
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 9-13
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-12
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 9-3
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-7
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 9-7
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Age 3 · 9-0
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Age 6 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 3 · 8-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 4 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 10-0
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

17
Age 6 · 9-3
16/1
J: TBA
T: Peter Lawlor
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Age 6 · 9-10
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

8
Age 7 · 9-8
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Age 10 · 9-0
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 6 · 9-12
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Age 3 · 9-1
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Stellar Moment
Confidence: Speculative

Stellar Moment (SR:80, 7/1) carries the highest SR in the field and does so off the lowest weight among the leading contenders at just 9-3, a meaningful pounds advantage in a 19-runner handicap. The form string 6321 — reading right-to-left means last run was a win, prior a second, prior a third — shows a horse in career-best form and ascending. Running off the same mark as that last win (MarkMv:=) means the handicapper has not yet penalised the victory, and the market has nudged in 6% confirming quiet confidence. As a 3-year-old trained by John O'Donoghue (11% strike rate, 72 runners — a focused yard), this horse represents the classic profile of a progressive youngster whose rating has not yet caught up with its ability. Each-way alternative: Thyer. Main danger: Thyer — Thyer (SR:79, 5/1) is the joint-second highest SR in the field, has steamed 12% in the market, carries only 9-13, and showed a place last time out (form: 0-6532 reads as second most recent finish = third, last run = second) suggesting a horse finding its level — at 5/1 it represents the clearest market rival to the selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Thyer (SR:79, 5/1) is nearly as well-rated, carries only 10lbs more, is trained by a yard in form and has been backed 12% — a sharper market move than Stellar Moment's modest 6% nudge in a 19-runner…
  • Faro Island won last time off a mark now raised +7 and still drifted 12% out despite a 3-star rating and a hot stable — suggests market insiders are not piling into unexposed 3yo winners here, which…
  • Rory Mulligan (5) is a 7%-strike-rate claimer in a chaotic 19-runner Roscommon handicap; positioning and traffic luck are critical, and a junior rider with limited big-field experience is a tangible…
  • Lord Aus was raised +12lbs after recent win yet still commands respect at 12/1 with Ben Coen booked — if the handicapper has been lenient with Stellar Moment (mark unchanged), it may reflect a less i…
Shortlist Stellar Moment, Thyer, Faro Island, Youcansaythatagain
Each-way: Thyer Danger: Thyer

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f17y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
19 Confirmed runners
Roscommon Track and setting