Celebrate With Sponsorship At Southwell Racecourse Handicap Stakes · 6f16y
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 49 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 53 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Love Alive | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 0 Yes Waliim | 9/2 | 5/1 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 | — | 5/1 Paddy Power |
| 1 Surgeon Commander | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 7/2 Coral |
| 2 Taaklam | 3/1 open 10.00 | 11/4 open 7.50 | 11/4 open 8.50 | 11/4 open 8.50 | 11/4 open 8.50 | 5/2 open 6.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Harlequin Bay | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 23.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 22/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Masai Angel | 11/1 open 19.00 | 10/1 open 21.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 6 Rogue Federation | 33/1 open 23.00 | 30/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Based | 11/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Soul Warrior | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Great Success | 18/1 open 26.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Golden Harvest | 10/1 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Zonnebloem | 33/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 11.00 | 28/1 open 11.00 | 28/1 open 11.00 | 28/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 10.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Lope Y Linda | 11/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Society Charm | 10/1 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 10.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Taaklam owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 50 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 49 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Taaklam (SR:70, 7/2) leads the field on Saturday Rating alongside Surgeon Commander, but the decisive edge is the extraordinary market move — steaming in 47% from opening prices, the sharpest move in the race by a wide margin. Trainer Harriet Bethell runs at a 16% strike rate and jockey Tom Kiely-Marshall has course form (W0P1 at Southwell). The form string -32576 shows a horse that has been competitive at this class level, and running off the same class with DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ confirms no fitness or conditions concern. Against that, Surgeon Commander (SR:69, 3/1) has drifted a massive 26% — the market is clearly against it despite its top-of-field SR and Billy Loughnane booking — and Based (SR:68, 4/1) has a DistFit:- flag at 6f which is a meaningful concern given the data has enough evidence to say so. Each-way alternative: Lope Y Linda. Main danger: Based — Based (SR:68, 4/1) has steamed in 19% with Cieren Fallon booked — a top jockey for this level — and the 4lb weight advantage over Taaklam could offset the DistFit:- concern if the horse adapts to the shorter trip today.