Listowel 17:25 24 Sep 2026
24 Sep 2026

Today Kevin McManus Bookmaker Flat Race

Kevin McManus Bookmaker Flat Race · 2m0f0y

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  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Berkstar Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 36 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Berkstar silks
Berkstar
Age 4 · 11-10
2-
93
4
11-10
4/9 2/3 7/16
Unexposed and yet to score, Berkstar shaped with promise when runner-up last time out and, returning after 187 days off carrying 164 lb, he remains an open proposition with room to improve.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Bravemans Call silks
Bravemans Call
Age 4 · 11-10
3
60
81
4
11-10
14/1 11/2 14/1
Bravemans Call shaped with real promise when third last time out, and he has experience over today's trip to call upon; the main concern is the 70-day absence, though connections will have had plenty of time to ready him for this.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

3
Catalunya silks
Catalunya
Age 4 · 11-10
57
4
11-10
80/1 33/1 50/1
Unexposed on debut, Catalunya arrives here as a complete unknown, but that lightly raced profile leaves him open to improvement; carrying 164 lb, he merits close watching as connections reveal their hand for the first time.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Days Go By silks
Days Go By
Age 4 · 11-10
2-
62
4
11-10
22/1 8/1 18/1
Unexposed and open to improvement, Days Go By shaped with promise when runner-up last time out, and that sole recent start leaves plenty to build on; returning after 228 days and carrying 164 lb, he remains one to keep onside as he develops.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

5
Monegasque silks
Monegasque
Age 4 · 11-10
58
4
11-10
66/1 33/1 40/1
Unexposed on debut, Monegasque arrives unraced and open to any amount of improvement, with connections yet to show their hand; carrying 164 lb, he is one to watch as his true ability remains unknown.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

6
Paulin silks
Paulin
Age 4 · 11-10
58
4
11-10
50/1 16/1 33/1
Unexposed and making his debut, Paulin is a fascinating unknown quantity who heads straight into the unknown at 164 lb, with whatever potential he holds entirely untapped and open to improvement.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

7
Sierrascope silks
Sierrascope
Age 4 · 11-10
4-
86
90
4
11-10
3/1 2/1 5/2
Winless in his last start but Sierrascope has run over today's distance and going before, and a rating of 90 tops this nine-runner field; 164 lb is a stern ask after 149 days off, yet his speed figure of 111 marks him as the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Veales Cross silks
Veales Cross
Age 4 · 11-10
84
4
11-10
13/2 4/1 5/1
Unexposed on debut, Veales Cross arrives with his record a blank canvas and every question still to answer, carrying 164 lb as he steps into the unknown.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Real Lark silks
Real Lark
Age 4 · 11-3
4
60
4
11-3
66/1 33/1 40/1
Unexposed and open to improvement after just the one start, Real Lark was fourth last time out and returns here quickly on 13 days' rest, carrying 157 lb — a lightly raced filly yet to win but with plenty more to offer.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Berkstar 4/9 open 2.00 4/9 open 2.38 1/2 open 2.00 1/2 open 2.00 1/2 open 2.00 1/2 open 1.67 1/2 Coral
2 Bravemans Call 14/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 9.50 18/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 Paddy Power
3 Catalunya 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
4 Days Go By 22/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 9.00 18/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 22/1 Bet365
5 Monegasque 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
6 Paulin 50/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 17.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 29.00 50/1 Bet365
7 Sierrascope 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.00 5/2 5/2 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.75 3/1 Bet365
8 Veales Cross 13/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 8.00 5/1 5/1 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.00 13/2 Bet365
9 Real Lark 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Berkstar

Live signal

Berkstar owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/9 W. P. Mullins Mr P W Mullins
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sierrascope

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Henry de Bromhead
✓ Value Signal

Monegasque

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Augustine Leahy
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Berkstar
60.7 4/9
2 7. Sierrascope
56.3 3/1
3 8. Veales Cross
52.3 13/2
4 2. Bravemans Call
42.9 14/1
5 4. Days Go By
40.2 22/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Berkstar
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 4 · 11-10
4/9
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 11-10
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 4 · 11-10
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 11-10
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Berkstar
Confidence: Medium

Berkstar (SR 93, 1/2) is unambiguously the class standout in this field of bumper horses, with a SR of 93 that dwarfs the next-best Sierrascope (SR 86) and leaves the rest of the field (SR 57-62) firmly out of their depth. The Mullins yard operates at a 26% career strike rate with 2,894 runners — the dominant jumps operation in Ireland — and Patrick Mullins aboard (33% strike rate, 463 rides) is the most experienced amateur in the business, specifically retained for the yard's most fancied bumper runners. The market has steamed in 27% to 1/2, reflecting strong stable confidence with no ambiguity; this is not a drifter masquerading as a favourite. With every runner carrying level weights (11-10), the SR advantage is unencumbered. Each-way alternative: Sierrascope. Main danger: Sierrascope — Sierrascope (SR 86) is trained by Henry de Bromhead (16% strike rate, 2,307 runners) and ridden by Mr J L Gleeson (19%), giving it the second-strongest connections package in the race, and its SR of 86 is the only number that could realistically exploit any overconfidence in the Mullins camp.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Berkstar's form reads '2-' — a single second place followed by an unknown blank, offering almost no evidence of a winning performance to justify 1/2 favouritism in open company.
  • Veales Cross (SR 84, 11/2) is an unknown quantity with a completely blank form line, trained by Queally whose amateur Derek O'Connor (21% strike rate) is a serious pilot — an unexposed improver could…
  • Sierrascope (SR 86, 7/2) has been off 149 days and is now drifting 23% out in the market, yet still holds a competitive SR with the de Bromhead yard behind it — if Berkstar underperforms at a very sh…
Shortlist Berkstar, Sierrascope, Veales Cross
Each-way: Sierrascope Danger: Sierrascope

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Listowel Track and setting