Pontefract 15:52 24 Sep 2026
Class 3 24 Sep 2026

Today Simon Scrope Dalby Screw-Driver Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Simon Scrope Dalby Screw-Driver Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f5y

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  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Be Patient Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 36 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Noble Horizon silks
Noble Horizon
Age 4 · 10-2
3-7126
97
89
99
4
10-2
11/2 10/3 5/1
A winner three starts back and a runner-up two starts back, Noble Horizon arrives fit on 34 days' rest, has run over today's trip and going, and his overall profile makes him our pick despite the 142 lb burden from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dain Ma Nut In silks
Dain Ma Nut In
Age 5 · 10-2
170209
97
73
94
5
10-2
14/1 14/1 11/1
Ran well to finish second three starts back but has been out of the frame in his last two starts, and a winner six starts back suggests the consistency is the concern; has run over today's trip and going, and the quick seven-day turnaround from stall one at 142 lb makes this a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Circus of Rome silks
Circus of Rome
Age 4 · 9-13
6-5000
94
81
96
4
9-13
13/2 9/1 13/2
Winless in his last five starts, Circus of Rome nevertheless brings distance and going experience to the table and, rated 96, shapes as a genuine threat from stall two — the chief concern is his sequence of unplaced efforts, which must be reversed here.
AI verdict

SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Auld Toon Loon silks
Auld Toon Loon
Age 7 · 9-12
-83784
93
84
100
7
9-12
10/1 10/1 9/1
Auld Toon Loon catches the eye as the top-rated runner in the field, and his experience over today's distance and going is a solid foundation, but he arrives winless in his last five starts and connections will need that fourth last time out to signal a return to the third he posted four starts back.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Wahdan silks
Wahdan
Age 5 · 9-1
663447
82
77
95
5
9-1
14/1 11/1 12/1
Wahdan's pair of fourths earlier in this sequence show consistent engagement at this level, and he has run over today's distance and going, while a rating of 95 makes him a serious threat; the concern is he remains yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Per Contra silks
Per Contra
Age 5 · 9-1
804831
82
83
86
5
9-1
13/2 9/2 6/1
Per Contra won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, lending some confidence, though he was a well-beaten eighth three starts back and ranks sixth of ten on ratings, suggesting he faces a stiff enough task from stall four off 127 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Jez Bomb silks
Jez Bomb
Age 5 · 9-1
912175
82
63
80
5
9-1
22/1 14/1 22/1
Jez Bomb has back-to-back defeats since a win three starts back, and ranked ninth of ten on our figures he faces a stiff task at the weights, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a reasonable 25-day break.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Hollywell Stream silks
Hollywell Stream
Age 3 · 9-1
-62512
87
90
83
3
9-1
5/1 5/2 9/2
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Be Patient silks
Be Patient
Age 3 · 8-13
31-123
85
95
83
3
8-13
7/2 4/1 7/2
Ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Be Patient is hard to fancy at these weights, though his recent form does include two wins in his last five starts — the most recent of which came three starts back — and he has run over today's trip, drawing a shade of encouragement from that third last time out.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Keep An Eye On It silks
Keep An Eye On It
Age 3 · 8-4
-52312
76
84
78
3
8-4
10/1 15/2 8/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Keep An Eye On It is hard to fancy, though he does bring some genuine recent form — a winner two starts back and placed last time out — and has run over today's going before.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Noble Horizon 11/2 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 Bet365
2 Dain Ma Nut In 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 26.00 11/1 open 23.00 11/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 14/1 Bet365
3 Circus of Rome 13/2 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 13.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 Paddy Power
4 Auld Toon Loon 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 17.00 10/1 10/1 Bet365
5 Wahdan 14/1 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 14/1 Bet365
6 Per Contra 13/2 open 5.50 6/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 open 5.50 13/2 Bet365
7 Jez Bomb 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 Paddy Power
8 Hollywell Stream 5/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 3.50 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 3.75 9/2 open 4.33 5/1 Bet365
9 Be Patient 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 6.50 7/2 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Paddy Power
10 Keep An Eye On It 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 9.00 8/1 8/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 9.50 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hollywell Stream

Speculative

Hollywell Stream owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Jane Chapple-Hyam Kevin Stott
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Noble Horizon

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Oli Rix
✓ Value Signal

Jez Bomb

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Sam England
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Hollywell Stream
55.3 5/1
2 1. Noble Horizon
55.2 11/2
3 9. Be Patient
53.4 7/2
4 4. Auld Toon Loon
53.2 10/1
5 6. Per Contra
50.8 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Be Patient
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

9
Age 3 · 8-13
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-1
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-2
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-13
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 5 · 9-1
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 9-12
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 8-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 10-2
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Age 5 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Be Patient
Confidence: Speculative

Be Patient (SR 95, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and carries a favourable 8-13 — a 7lb+ advantage over Noble Horizon and Hollywell Stream on comparable SR levels, making that class-adjusted ability gap even more pronounced. The form string 31-123 shows consistent, progressive form including a recent second at this class, and trainer Edward Bethell runs at an excellent 18% strike rate from over 1,000 runners — a top-tier yard with genuine clout. The market has shortened 19% since opening, indicating informed support, and while distance and going fitness are marked '?' (insufficient sample as a 3-year-old), the step up to 1m2f is a natural progression for a maturing type from a trainer who places horses intelligently. Each-way alternative: Hollywell Stream. Main danger: Hollywell Stream — Hollywell Stream (SR 90, 9/2) is the second-highest SR in the field, carries only 9-1 with DistFit:+ confirmed, and trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam runs at 13% with a strong jockey booking in Kevin Stott — the market drift is the one concern, but its age (3) and light weight give it every chance to outrun the SR gap.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both distance (1m2f) and going fitness are unproven — '?' on both counts for a 3-year-old stepping up in trip, a material double-unknown at Pontefract's stiff, undulating track that exposes stamina q…
  • Hollywell Stream (SR 90) has drifted out 37% in the market today, which could indicate stable confidence has softened, but Be Patient's modest 19% inward move from 7/2 still leaves it favourite in a…
  • A 35-day absence combined with unproven form at this trip means Be Patient arrives ring-rusty for a test at a uniquely demanding course where fitness and track-specific experience matter — Jez Bomb a…
  • Form string 31-123 shows a third last time out prior to the second, suggesting a dip in consistency; at 7/2 favourite there is limited margin for error if the step to 1m2f on an unknown going surface…
Shortlist Be Patient, Hollywell Stream, Noble Horizon, Keep An Eye On It
Each-way: Hollywell Stream Danger: Hollywell Stream

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m2f5y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade