Southwell (AW) 17:30 24 Sep 2026
Class 5 24 Sep 2026

Today Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Download The At The Races App Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 7f15y

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  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Feel The Need Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 37 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Feel The Need silks
Feel The Need
Age 6 · 9-13
200672
70
82
82
6
9-13
7/4 32/17 31/19
Feel The Need shaped with promise when second last time out, just 13 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a solid situational claim here; winless in his last six starts, though our rating of 82 marks him out as the one to beat in this field.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Thapa VC silks
Thapa VC
Age 8 · 9-13
251186
70
79
77
8
9-13
9/2 6/1 7/2
Thapa VC's back-to-back wins three and four starts back show he can win in this grade, and his experience over today's trip and going is a clear asset carrying 139 lb from stall 2; the risk is that his last two outings have been a sixth and an eighth.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Profit Street silks
Profit Street
Age 5 · 9-10
112357
67
52
70
5
9-10
25/1 9/1 22/1
A long absence of 129 days and a rating ranking of seventh of nine make Profit Street hard to fancy, despite back-to-back wins earlier in this sequence; seventh last time out is the latest evidence, and the lengthy layoff adds further doubt, though he has distance and going experience to call on.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

4
King of York silks
King of York
Age 7 · 9-9
126508
66
46
70
7
9-9
28/1 12/1 28/1
King of York has run over today's trip and going, and a second five starts back offers some encouragement, but he returns after 152 days off carrying 135 lb from stall 8 behind a trainer without a winner in 23 recent attempts — tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

5
Phoenix of Dreams silks
Phoenix of Dreams
Age 5 · 9-9
531473
66
77
72
5
9-9
11/2 10/3 11/2
Phoenix of Dreams shaped with promise when third last time out and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, while his rating of 72 puts him among the stronger threats from stall one; the chief concern is a 149-day absence since that effort.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Enpassant silks
Enpassant
Age 5 · 9-9
177143
66
66
70
5
9-9
10/1 6/1 10/1
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Enpassant faces a stiff ask, and a trainer without a winner in 23 attempts over the past fortnight does little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and returns on a reasonable 19-day break having finished third last time out.
AI verdict

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Tactical Blitz silks
Tactical Blitz
Age 3 · 9-8
213887
68
53
79
3
9-8
28/1 14/1 25/1
Tactical Blitz showed his best when third four starts back and a winner five starts back, and he arrives here fit on 21 days' rest with experience of today's distance and going; the worry is that his last three runs have yielded three finishes outside the places.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

8
Because We Can silks
Because We Can
Age 3 · 9-7
55-159
67
66
71
3
9-7
12/1 8/1 11/1
Because We Can landed a win three starts back but has finished fifth and ninth since and comes here after a 181-day absence, which tempers confidence; he has run over today's trip and going, and a rating of 71 offers a slender edge over his official mark.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Shades of May silks
Shades of May
Age 6 · 9-4
118341
61
69
62
6
9-4
4/1 9/2 10/3
Shades of May won last time out and has twice more won in his last six starts, and he has experience of today's trip and going, but ranked bottom of nine on our figures with a speed rating of 55, he faces a stiff ask at the weights carrying 130 lb.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Feel The Need 7/4 open 4.00 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 3.75 7/4 open 3.75 13/8 open 3.75 7/4 open 2.88 7/4 Bet365
2 Thapa VC 9/2 open 8.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 4/1 open 7.50 7/2 open 7.50 9/2 Bet365
3 Profit Street 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 10.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 25/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 25/1 Bet365
4 King of York 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Paddy Power
5 Phoenix of Dreams 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.50 6/1 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.33 6/1 Coral
6 Enpassant 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 9.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 Paddy Power
7 Tactical Blitz 28/1 open 15.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
8 Because We Can 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 11/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
9 Shades of May 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Feel The Need

Speculative

Feel The Need owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Michael Herrington Sean Levey
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Thapa VC

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Mark Rimell
✓ Value Signal

Tactical Blitz

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Liam Bailey
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Feel The Need
54.6 7/4
2 2. Thapa VC
53.2 9/2
3 9. Shades of May
51.3 4/1
4 5. Phoenix of Dreams
48.5 11/2
5 8. Because We Can
45.9 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Feel The Need
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 9-13
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 9-4
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 9-13
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 9-9
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 3 · 9-7
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Feel The Need
Confidence: Speculative

Feel The Need (SR:82, 15/8) is the clear SR leader in this field and has steamed in 20% in the market, the strongest market move of any runner — the money is firmly on. The 6lb weight edge over Thapa VC and Phoenix of Dreams at 9-13 is a concern, but at SR:82 it is meaningfully clear of the next best (Thapa VC at SR:79, Phoenix of Dreams at SR:77). The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are the main cautions — this horse has a poor record at 7f on good going at Southwell — but Course:W1P4 shows it knows the track well, MarkMv:-4 means it is running off a lowered mark, and the trainer/jockey combination of Herrington (14%) and Levey (13%) is workmanlike but capable at this level. The 20% market move since opening is the decisive additional signal that outweighs the distance and going concerns. Each-way alternative: Phoenix of Dreams. Main danger: Shades of May — Shades of May (SR:69, 11/2) carries the lightest weight at 9-4, has a strong course record (W2P2), a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's going bucket, and recent form of 118341 shows it is in good order — the class rise (↑1) and elevated mark (+8) are the only drags.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are both present — Feel The Need has a poor record specifically at 7f on good going at Southwell AW, the exact conditions today, undermining the Course:W1P4 track famil…
  • Form string 200672 shows a sequence ending in a 2nd, two defeats (0,0), a 6th, a 7th — only one placed run in last five outings, suggesting current form is fragile despite the market move.
  • MarkMv:-4 means the handicapper has already dropped it 4lb recently, implying the assessor views Feel The Need as a horse in declining form, not one about to bounce back.
  • Phoenix of Dreams (SR:77) at 4/1 carries 4lb less and has fresh legs at 149 days off — Feel The Need at 13 days must peak again quickly with the going/distance flags already stacked against it.
Shortlist Feel The Need, Phoenix of Dreams, Shades of May, Thapa VC
Each-way: Phoenix of Dreams Danger: Shades of May

🗺 The Course Class 5

7f15y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade