Feel The Need shaped with promise when second last time out, just 13 days ago, and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a solid situational claim here; winless in his last six starts, though our rating of 82 marks him out as the one to beat in this field.
Form last 6200672
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR82RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Thapa VC's back-to-back wins three and four starts back show he can win in this grade, and his experience over today's trip and going is a clear asset carrying 139 lb from stall 2; the risk is that his last two outings have been a sixth and an eighth.
Form last 6251186
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR77RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A long absence of 129 days and a rating ranking of seventh of nine make Profit Street hard to fancy, despite back-to-back wins earlier in this sequence; seventh last time out is the latest evidence, and the lengthy layoff adds further doubt, though he has distance and going experience to call on.
Form last 6112357
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
52SR70RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
King of York has run over today's trip and going, and a second five starts back offers some encouragement, but he returns after 152 days off carrying 135 lb from stall 8 behind a trainer without a winner in 23 recent attempts — tough ask.
Form last 6126508
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
46SR70RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Phoenix of Dreams shaped with promise when third last time out and has experience of both today's trip and conditions, while his rating of 72 puts him among the stronger threats from stall one; the chief concern is a 149-day absence since that effort.
Form last 6531473
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR72RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Enpassant faces a stiff ask, and a trainer without a winner in 23 attempts over the past fortnight does little to inspire confidence; he has run over today's trip and going before, and returns on a reasonable 19-day break having finished third last time out.
Form last 6177143
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
66SR70RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tactical Blitz showed his best when third four starts back and a winner five starts back, and he arrives here fit on 21 days' rest with experience of today's distance and going; the worry is that his last three runs have yielded three finishes outside the places.
Form last 6213887
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR79RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Because We Can landed a win three starts back but has finished fifth and ninth since and comes here after a 181-day absence, which tempers confidence; he has run over today's trip and going, and a rating of 71 offers a slender edge over his official mark.
Form last 655-159
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR71RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Shades of May won last time out and has twice more won in his last six starts, and he has experience of today's trip and going, but ranked bottom of nine on our figures with a speed rating of 55, he faces a stiff ask at the weights carrying 130 lb.
Form last 6118341
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR62RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Feel The Need owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Michael HerringtonSean Levey
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Thapa VC
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Mark Rimell✓ Value Signal
Tactical Blitz
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Liam Bailey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Feel The Need (SR:82, 15/8) is the clear SR leader in this field and has steamed in 20% in the market, the strongest market move of any runner — the money is firmly on. The 6lb weight edge over Thapa VC and Phoenix of Dreams at 9-13 is a concern, but at SR:82 it is meaningfully clear of the next best (Thapa VC at SR:79, Phoenix of Dreams at SR:77). The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are the main cautions — this horse has a poor record at 7f on good going at Southwell — but Course:W1P4 shows it knows the track well, MarkMv:-4 means it is running off a lowered mark, and the trainer/jockey combination of Herrington (14%) and Levey (13%) is workmanlike but capable at this level. The 20% market move since opening is the decisive additional signal that outweighs the distance and going concerns.
Each-way alternative: Phoenix of Dreams.
Main danger: Shades of May — Shades of May (SR:69, 11/2) carries the lightest weight at 9-4, has a strong course record (W2P2), a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's going bucket, and recent form of 118341 shows it is in good order — the class rise (↑1) and elevated mark (+8) are the only drags.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are both present — Feel The Need has a poor record specifically at 7f on good going at Southwell AW, the exact conditions today, undermining the Course:W1P4 track famil…
Form string 200672 shows a sequence ending in a 2nd, two defeats (0,0), a 6th, a 7th — only one placed run in last five outings, suggesting current form is fragile despite the market move.
MarkMv:-4 means the handicapper has already dropped it 4lb recently, implying the assessor views Feel The Need as a horse in declining form, not one about to bounce back.
Phoenix of Dreams (SR:77) at 4/1 carries 4lb less and has fresh legs at 149 days off — Feel The Need at 13 days must peak again quickly with the going/distance flags already stacked against it.
ShortlistFeel The Need, Phoenix of Dreams, Shades of May, Thapa VC