Southwell (AW) 18:30 24 Sep 2026
Class 4 24 Sep 2026

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  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Hunstanton Speculative Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 8 hours, 37 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Arthur Carrot silks
Arthur Carrot
Age 2 · 9-7
26
146
2
9-7
15/2 9/2 15/2
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Blue Fox silks
Blue Fox
Age 2 · 9-7
65
127
2
9-7
66/1 28/1 50/1
SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Champion Crown silks
Champion Crown
Age 2 · 9-7
5
129
2
9-7
11/1 18/1 15/2
SR 129 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 129 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Greenlander silks
Greenlander
Age 2 · 9-7
30
123
2
9-7
28/1 18/1 20/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Hunstanton silks
Hunstanton
Age 2 · 9-7
151
2
9-7
11/4 11/4 9/4
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Palms Oasis silks
Palms Oasis
Age 2 · 9-7
141
2
9-7
14/1 15/2 14/1
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Pulse of Fire silks
Pulse of Fire
Age 2 · 9-7
73
138
2
9-7
16/1 15/2 16/1
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
The Stony Baker silks
The Stony Baker
Age 2 · 9-7
9
123
2
9-7
250/1 100/1 200/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Without Diamond silks
Without Diamond
Age 2 · 9-7
121
2
9-7
100/1 33/1 100/1
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Castlerock Girl silks
Castlerock Girl
Age 2 · 9-2
154
2
9-2
11/4 7/4 11/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

11
Lady Henshaw silks
Lady Henshaw
Age 2 · 9-2
72
155
2
9-2
11/4 10/3 11/4
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Arthur Carrot 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 5.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 Coral
2 Blue Fox 66/1 open 81.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 67.00 50/1 open 29.00 66/1 Bet365
3 Champion Crown 11/1 open 23.00 17/2 open 34.00 17/2 open 29.00 17/2 open 29.00 9/1 open 29.00 15/2 open 19.00 11/1 Bet365
4 Greenlander 28/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 20/1 28/1 Bet365
5 Hunstanton 11/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 3.75 11/4 Bet365
6 Palms Oasis 14/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 Paddy Power
7 Pulse of Fire 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Bet365
8 The Stony Baker 250/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 126.00 250/1 Bet365
9 Without Diamond 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365
10 Castlerock Girl 11/4 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.00 7/2 open 2.75 7/2 open 2.75 11/4 open 3.00 7/2 open 2.75 7/2 Coral
11 Lady Henshaw 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.50 11/4 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hunstanton

Live signal

Hunstanton owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 George Boughey Billy Loughnane
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Castlerock Girl

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/4 · Clive Cox
✓ Value Signal

Without Diamond

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · Joey Ramsden
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +31.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Hunstanton
70.7 11/4
2 10. Castlerock Girl
69.5 11/4
3 11. Lady Henshaw
68.5 11/4
4 1. Arthur Carrot
66.0 15/2
5 3. Champion Crown
60.1 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Hunstanton
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-7
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 2 · 9-2
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

11
Age 2 · 9-2
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-7
15/2
★★★★☆ SR 146 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 129 🐾

SR 129 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 2 · 9-7
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 141 🐾

SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
16/1
★★★☆☆ SR 138 🐾

SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Hunstanton
Confidence: Speculative

Hunstanton (SR 151, 3/1) is the Boughey yard's #1 runner, confirmed by the booking of Billy Loughnane (18%, 3,038 career rides — the stable's go-to jockey) over Pat Cosgrave on stablemate Arthur Carrot. The market has shortened 12% into 3/1, indicating quiet but meaningful support, while Boughey's 18% yard strike rate is among the strongest in the field. As a debutant, the SR of 151 ranks second-highest in the race, and the yard's pattern of running well-prepped juveniles on the Southwell AW surface is well-established. Arthur Carrot (SR 146) is the obvious stablemate consideration, but a 34% outward drift, a modest recent form line of 2-6, and the yard's clear preference for Hunstanton via jockey booking relegate him to second string. Each-way alternative: Castlerock Girl. Main danger: Castlerock Girl — Castlerock Girl (SR 154, 2/1) is the market leader, carries the lightest weight at 9-2 giving her a 5lb pull on all rivals, and is trained by Clive Cox (17% strike rate, 1,076 runners) — a yard that routinely lands juvenile debutants at short prices on the AW.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Hunstanton (SR 151) is outrated by both Castlerock Girl (SR 154, 2/1 market leader) and Lady Henshaw (SR 155), meaning on tissue values alone the pick is not the highest-rated debutant in the race.
  • Palms Oasis (SR 141) is trained by Roger Varian (20% strike rate — higher than Boughey's 18%) and is also a debutant, representing a yard whose AW juvenile runners frequently run well fresh despite t…
  • As a debutant with no form line, Hunstanton's SR of 151 is purely a pre-race tissue/home-work figure; Castlerock Girl at 2/1 (SR 154) has attracted stronger market confidence and carries less weight…
Shortlist Hunstanton, Castlerock Girl, Lady Henshaw, Palms Oasis
Each-way: Castlerock Girl Danger: Castlerock Girl

🗺 The Course Class 4

6f17y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade