Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hunstanton owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (84) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4George BougheyBilly Loughnane
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Castlerock Girl
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Clive Cox✓ Value Signal
Without Diamond
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
100/1 · Joey Ramsden◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Hunstanton (SR 151, 3/1) is the Boughey yard's #1 runner, confirmed by the booking of Billy Loughnane (18%, 3,038 career rides — the stable's go-to jockey) over Pat Cosgrave on stablemate Arthur Carrot. The market has shortened 12% into 3/1, indicating quiet but meaningful support, while Boughey's 18% yard strike rate is among the strongest in the field. As a debutant, the SR of 151 ranks second-highest in the race, and the yard's pattern of running well-prepped juveniles on the Southwell AW surface is well-established. Arthur Carrot (SR 146) is the obvious stablemate consideration, but a 34% outward drift, a modest recent form line of 2-6, and the yard's clear preference for Hunstanton via jockey booking relegate him to second string.
Each-way alternative: Castlerock Girl.
Main danger: Castlerock Girl — Castlerock Girl (SR 154, 2/1) is the market leader, carries the lightest weight at 9-2 giving her a 5lb pull on all rivals, and is trained by Clive Cox (17% strike rate, 1,076 runners) — a yard that routinely lands juvenile debutants at short prices on the AW.
⚖Case against3clamped▾
Hunstanton (SR 151) is outrated by both Castlerock Girl (SR 154, 2/1 market leader) and Lady Henshaw (SR 155), meaning on tissue values alone the pick is not the highest-rated debutant in the race.
Palms Oasis (SR 141) is trained by Roger Varian (20% strike rate — higher than Boughey's 18%) and is also a debutant, representing a yard whose AW juvenile runners frequently run well fresh despite t…
As a debutant with no form line, Hunstanton's SR of 151 is purely a pre-race tissue/home-work figure; Castlerock Girl at 2/1 (SR 154) has attracted stronger market confidence and carries less weight…
ShortlistHunstanton, Castlerock Girl, Lady Henshaw, Palms Oasis