Pontefract 14:07 RESULTED
Class 4 24 Sep 2026

Today Always Trying Racing Syndicate EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Always Trying Racing Syndicate EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m0f6y

Official Result

Always Trying Racing Syndicate EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Silverella (GB) Jason Watson · Marcus Tregoning
    1/2F
  2. 9/2
  3. 3/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 6 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Majestic Flame silks
Majestic Flame Non-Runner
Age 2 · 8-13
69
2
8-13
SP FCST 8/1
1
Rogue Crusader silks
Rogue Crusader
Age 2 · 9-8
1
155
2
9-8
13/8 7/4 6/5
SR 155 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 155 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.

2
Astral Crown silks
Astral Crown
Age 2 · 9-4
53
123
2
9-4
20/1 12/1 16/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Distant Sun silks
Distant Sun
Age 2 · 9-4
9
123
2
9-4
50/1 FCST 40/1
SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Silverella silks
Silverella
Age 2 · 9-0
51
160
2
9-0
4/5 10/11 8/11
Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Scrappetalene silks
Scrappetalene
Age 2 · 8-13
53
146
2
8-13
15/2 9/2 11/2
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Poppular silks
Poppular
Age 2 · 8-12
8
126
2
8-12
50/1 40/1 33/1
SR 126 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 126 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Skies The Spirit silks
Skies The Spirit
Age 2 · 8-12
6
124
2
8-12
50/1 FCST 33/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Special Operations silks
Special Operations
Age 2 · 8-12
40
125
2
8-12
80/1 FCST 50/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Meccapulco silks
Meccapulco
Age 2 · 8-10
5
125
2
8-10
66/1 50/1 40/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Majestic Flame 17/2 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 17/2 Bet365
1 Rogue Crusader 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 open 3.00 6/5 open 2.88 6/5 open 2.87 13/8 open 2.88 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 Bet365
2 Astral Crown 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 16/1 16/1 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
3 Distant Sun 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 Bet365
4 Silverella 4/5 open 2.25 8/11 open 1.91 4/5 open 2.10 4/5 open 2.10 8/11 open 2.10 4/5 open 1.91 4/5 Bet365
6 Scrappetalene 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 5.50 15/2 Bet365
7 Poppular 50/1 open 41.00 40/1 open 51.00 33/1 open 41.00 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 50/1 Bet365
8 Skies The Spirit 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 50/1 Bet365
9 Special Operations 80/1 open 51.00 66/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 80/1 Bet365
10 Meccapulco 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Silverella

High conviction

Silverella owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (89) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/5 Marcus Tregoning Jason Watson
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Rogue Crusader

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/8 · Peter Chapple-Hyam
✓ Value Signal

Poppular

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Tim Easterby
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
89 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Silverella
75.5 4/5
2 1. Rogue Crusader
74.5 13/8
3 6. Scrappetalene
65.2 15/2
4 2. Astral Crown
54.9 20/1
5 7. Poppular
52.4 50/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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🤖 AI view
Silverella
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 2 · 9-0
4/5
★★★★☆ SR 160 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 2 · 9-8
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

SR 155 backed by market confidence at 11/8 — a genuine contender.

6
Age 2 · 8-13
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 146 🐾

SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 2 · 9-4
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 123 🐾

SR 123 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Silverella
Confidence: Medium

Silverella (SR 160, 5/6) is the clear class standout in this field, rated 5 points above Rogue Crusader and 14+ above every other runner. Dropping two class tiers (ClassMv:↓2) into a Band B/C/D restricted novice, she carries a favourable 9-0 — 8lb lighter than Rogue Crusader — and has shortened 14% in the market to go odds-on, matching the same degree of market support as the main rival. Her form reads 51 (last run a win), suggesting she bounced back well from a fifth and arrives in improving trim. Marcus Tregoning's 8% trainer strike rate is modest but Jason Watson is a competent partner, and the class drop is the decisive factor here. Each-way alternative: Scrappetalene. Main danger: Rogue Crusader — Rogue Crusader (SR 155, 11/8) is unbeaten in one run, has shortened 14% in the market matching Silverella's move, and Peter Chapple-Hyam's 14% strike rate with Robert Havlin suggests genuine yard confidence — if Silverella has any inexperience on the day, Rogue Crusader is well placed to capitalise.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Scrappetalene (SR 146) is only 14 points below Silverella yet drifted out 28% in the market — if the market knows something negative about Silverella, Scrappetalene at 8/1 represents a credible alter…
  • Rogue Crusader has a perfect form figure of '1' (sole start a win), trained by Chapple-Hyam (14% strike rate vs Tregoning's 8%) with Havlin aboard — the unbeaten rival may be unexposed and capable of…
  • Silverella's form '51' shows she finished fifth before her win — that fifth place could indicate vulnerability when facing stronger pace or adverse conditions, and Pontefract's undulating track suits…
  • Tregoning's 8% trainer strike rate is notably below the field average and Jason Watson's 13% is similarly modest; in a competitive 2yo novice the training and riding combination is one of the weakest…
Shortlist Silverella, Rogue Crusader, Scrappetalene
Each-way: Scrappetalene Danger: Rogue Crusader

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m0f6y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Pontefract Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade