Albegone brings solid recent form to the table — a winner three starts back and second two starts back show he can perform at this level, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions with just nine days since his last run keeping him sharp; the ninth last time out is the one thing punters must forgive.
Form last 6265129
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
64SR59RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Jojo Rabbit nonetheless showed enough with a fourth two starts back to remain a live threat, and he arrives on a sharp 16-day turnaround with both distance and going experience in his favour; the main risk is that his recent ninth suggests consistency remains elusive.
Form last 6864049
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR58RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Danger Alert holds the highest rating in this field and shaped with promise when fourth three starts back, though he has been winless in recent starts and could only manage sixth last time; rated 59 officially, he arrives fit enough on 25 days' rest with experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 647-496
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR68RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent at his best, Golden Prosperity showed clear ability when finishing second three starts back and third on two further occasions in recent starts, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is a winless run of six and an unplaced effort last time out just 15 days ago.
Form last 6337270
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
54SR50RPR46OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bust A Moon has been consistent without threatening in recent starts, finishing fourth twice in his last two outings, yet to win in his last five starts; distance and going experience help, though an official rating of 45 gives connections a mountain to climb from stall eight.
Form last 6-03544
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR49RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Ziva's Star does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a second two starts back offers some encouragement, though eighth last time out is the more pressing concern heading into this off a 15-day break carrying 121 lb from stall six.
Form last 6376728
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
44SR48RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Tilsworth Turf faces a stiff task on his return from 105 days off, though he does have experience over today's distance and going, and that third last time out offers a rare crumb of encouragement.
Form last 69-0893
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
22SR33RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 22 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in her last six starts, with finishes of fourth and two fifths in recent outings, Nad Alshiba Snow is hard to fancy off an official mark of 43, though she has distance and going experience and returns fit enough after 29 days off.
Form last 6350554
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
30SR42RPR43OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jojo Rabbit owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Ruth CarrWilliam Pyle
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Albegone
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · Tim Easterby✓ Value Signal
Tilsworth Turf
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · J. R. Jenkins◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Jojo Rabbit (SR:63, 15/8) has steamed in 41% in the market — the strongest market move in this field by a wide margin — which is a significant signal in a Class 6 apprentice handicap where connections know their horse. The MarkMv:-4 means it's running off a mark 4lb below its last win, giving it a handicapping edge, and its Course:W1P2 record at Pontefract is a genuine asset on a specialist track that rewards course familiarity. At 9-8 it's just 1lb lighter than top-weight Albegone, whose GoingFit:- and a 22% market drift make it very hard to take at 11/4 despite its marginal SR lead.
Each-way alternative: Golden Prosperity.
Main danger: Albegone — Albegone holds the highest SR in the field at 64 and carries only 1lb more than Jojo Rabbit, and Tim Easterby's 11% strike rate with an apprentice booking at a manageable weight is a credible threat even with the going concern and market drift.
⚖Case against3clamped▾
Jojo Rabbit's recent form reads 864049 — that '9' and '0' (last two runs) suggest a horse running into poor form, not out of it, despite the handicap mark drop.
Jockey William Pyle wins at just 9% and is a 9lb claimer in an apprentice race — the weight benefit is reduced and the experience deficit at a tricky track like Pontefract is a real risk.
Ruth Carr's stable runs at only 12% overall; at 15/8 the market is pricing Jojo Rabbit as though connections have a near-certainty, leaving little margin if the stable form is not at its peak.