Beauvallon won two of his last five starts, and was a runner-up two starts back, mixing in some useful efforts; he has experience of today's trip and going, and after 56 days off there is fitness to prove, though the profile is strong enough to make him our pick here.
Form last 6511-25
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
132SR133RPR133OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 132 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kai Lung rates as the pick of the field on our figures and has experience of today's trip and conditions, so he arrives here with clear claims; yet winless in his last five starts, including an unplaced run just 11 days ago, he must prove he can convert when it matters.
Form last 6PU9-30
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
113SR134RPR126OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Adrienne won last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, but she carries a hefty 158 lb and ranks fifth of fourteen on our rating, making her a tough nut to crack rather than an automatic standout.
Form last 620341-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
105SR126RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hopes Are High arrives in good heart after a placed effort last time out, and he was a winner three starts back, giving him solid recent claims; the question is whether 158 lb proves too stiff a burden.
Form last 61312-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
117SR127RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ben Hur advertises strong claims on the back of a win two starts back and a runner-up effort three starts back, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions; the chief concern is a trainer who has drawn a blank in 24 attempts over the last 14 days.
Form last 6215-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
122SR127RPR124OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Mino Des Mottes showed a win three starts back and has run placed in his two most recent starts, demonstrating consistent form, though he has slipped to eighth in the ratings and a hefty 156 lb is unlikely to help his cause.
Form last 602-122
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
119SR122RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, but a career-best effort may be needed to overcome a trainer in the depths of a miserable run — 0 from 34 in the last fortnight — and a hefty 156 lb burden.
Form last 6222F1-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR124RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Combs won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but carrying 151 lb is a stiff ask for a gelding ranked sixth of fourteen, and his two runs before that victory suggest inconsistency cannot be entirely dismissed.
Form last 63469-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR126RPR118OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Consecutive wins two and three starts back show O'Grady Cracker can find the winner's enclosure, but he finished fifth last time out and our rating of 102 leaves him well held on figures in a field of 14, making him difficult to fancy at the weights.
Form last 600-115
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
99SR102RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 99 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Berto Ramirez showed he can win when landing a victory four starts back, and a third two starts back keeps him interesting, but a fourth and an unplaced effort either side temper confidence; he has run over today's trip and returns after 20 days carrying 145 lb.
Form last 60-1430
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR118RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Game Point won last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, giving him a solid each-way profile; however, ranked tenth of fourteen on our rating and carrying 145 lb, weight may blunt his chance of following up.
Form last 632331
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
112SR116RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 112 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
It's Bobsled Time has won in his last five starts but also fallen and finished unplaced in that span, and ranked last on our figures he faces a stiff ask at 141 lb; 47 days off the track adds another question mark.
Form last 691F0-4
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR73RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Royal Belief was a winner last time out, but that came 155 days ago and he ranks 12th of 14 on our figures, making him hard to fancy at the weights despite having run over today's trip before.
Form last 65901-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR100RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rare Times shaped well last time out with a win, but our figures rank her 13 of 14 in this field and she faces a stiff task at the weights carrying 140 lb; she has run over today's trip before, which offers some small comfort.
Form last 67-5321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
103SR99RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Beauvallon owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (73) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
10/3W. P. MullinsPaul Townend
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ben Hur
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Noel Meade✓ Value Signal
Berto Ramirez
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Andrew McNamara◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Beauvallon (SR 132, 11/4) is comfortably the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin — 10 points above the next best Ben Hur (SR 122) — and carries the Mullins/Townend combination, which is the yard's unambiguous #1 runner given Paul Townend (38% strike rate) versus Danny Mullins (11%) on stablemate Kai Lung. The market has shortened 9% since opening, confirming quiet confidence from connections, and the DistFit:+ confirms ability at this trip. The GoingFit:- is the principal concern at 11-12 top weight, but this is a Listed contest where SR superiority is decisive and the 5-day weather window at Listowel in September frequently produces ground better than advertised; Townend's booking suggests connections are comfortable. Top weight in this class of field is manageable given the SR gulf.
Each-way alternative: Game Point.
Main danger: Ben Hur — Ben Hur (SR 122, 13/2) is the second-highest rated runner, carries 11-3 versus Beauvallon's 11-12 — a 9lb weight advantage — and DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at this trip; if Beauvallon's GoingFit:- proves telling, the lighter-weighted Meade runner is best placed to capitalise.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:- is a direct flag against Beauvallon at Listowel today; carrying 11-12 top weight on going that doesn't suit is a compounding disadvantage in a 14-runner Listed field.
56-day absence is the longest layoff of any leading market rival; Beauvallon's last run (form: 511-25) shows a '5' finish most recently, suggesting returning form is not guaranteed.
Ben Hur's MarkMv:+50 is a striking upward reassessment — a horse dramatically upgraded by the assessor heading into today represents a live unexposed threat at 13/2 with only 3 runs.
Mino Des Mottes (SR:119, HG:t, Elliott/Kennedy) has a going preference flag and the yard is at 18% with Kennedy at 22% — better-equipped connections for today's conditions than Mullins' top weight.
ShortlistBeauvallon, Ben Hur, Mino Des Mottes, Game Point