Thorn Plant Hire Beginners Steeplechase · 2m6f0y
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.
SR 87 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 83 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
SR 98 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 200/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Barton Sky | 125/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Chanceawetmorning | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Fort Dino | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 I Will Be Baie | 10/3 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.25 | 10/3 open 3.00 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
| 5 Jarrive De Mee | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 5.50 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Largy Hill | 12/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Love Me Tender | 5/4 open 3.75 | 11/8 open 5.00 | 11/8 open 4.00 | 11/8 open 4.00 | 5/4 open 4.00 | 11/8 open 3.25 | 11/8 Paddy Power |
| 8 Our Soldier | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Rattledelatch | 50/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Tackletommywoowoo | 10/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Three County Star | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Will Do | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 12.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Ellens Pride | 250/1 open 201.00 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 200/1 | 250/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Love Me Tender owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (73) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 124 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Love Me Tender (SR:131, 6/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin over Largy Hill (SR:124) and I Will Be Baie (SR:121), and crucially carries the same weight as every rival at 11-12 — so the SR advantage translates directly without any weight offset. The Mullins yard is running four horses here, but this one is their #1 signal: it carries Harry Cobden (22% career strike rate, the most accomplished jockey in the race), has steamed in 38% in the market — the only horse in the field with meaningful market support — and at 5 years old it is the youngest and most likely to be progressive. The form string 3345-4 shows consistent placed efforts and this is its chase debut in a beginners' context where its hurdle ability (SR:131) should be class-superior. Mullins at 26% strike rate with a steamer ridden by Cobden is an extremely strong combination. Each-way alternative: Largy Hill. Main danger: I Will Be Baie — I Will Be Baie (SR:121, 10/3) has a form figure of '1' in its recent string and is the second Mullins runner with Paul Townend aboard (38% career strike rate), suggesting it is the yard's second string and capable of exploiting any jumping error from Love Me Tender on chase debut.