Back-to-back wins give King Sharja solid recent momentum, though he carries 138 lb from stall 7 and his earlier efforts in this sequence — a sixth and fifth — are a mild caution; he has run over today's trip and going before, and our rating of 61 leaves him competitive without dominating this field.
Form last 6056211
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
69SR61RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Soames Forsyte was out just seven days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going, while his rating of 64 ranks him second of 14; the risk is that he remains winless in recent starts.
Form last 6506597
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR64RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Renewable Dream has finished third in each of his last two starts, showing consistent form despite being yet to win in his last five, though his draw at stall 12 is a neutral factor; he has experience over today's trip and conditions, and 23 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh enough to build on that placed double.
Form last 60-9833
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR61RPR56OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last three starts and ranked 13 of 14 on our figures, Roccapina faces a stiff ask from stall 13 carrying 133 lb, and a third last time out represents her best recent effort — the profile makes her hard to fancy at this level.
Form last 6643
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR54RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Arc La Shari faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns from a 55-day break potentially freshened up.
Form last 636-07
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
35SR54RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 35 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked well adrift of his rivals on our figures, Potters Prince faces a stiff ask here, though he does bring distance and going experience to the table and a return after 25 days suggests he arrives fresh.
Form last 65-5345
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
53SR57RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 12th of 14 on our figures, Danrana faces a stiff task, though she has run over today's trip before and 36 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh from stall two carrying 131 lb.
Form last 648-058
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
33SR56RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Ranked top of the field on our rating and carrying a manageable 131 lb from stall four, Ocean Force has experience over today's trip and going and has finished no better than fifth in his last five starts; yet to win in his last five, and a trainer firing at just 5% is the concern.
Form last 675566
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR65RPR54OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in his last six starts, Southern Warrior nonetheless brings distance and going experience to the table, is fit on a 21-day turnaround, and draws stall five carrying 131 lb; a fifth and a third in recent starts suggest ability worth respecting here.
Form last 6350808
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR61RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Starakova won last time out and has run over today's distance and going before, but a 49-day absence and a seventh three starts back temper enthusiasm, and her 131 lb burden from stall 10 adds further pressure on her chances.
Form last 6501731
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
68SR57RPR58OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last six starts, Cy Twombly does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and a fitness edge at just nine days since his latest outing, though a string of eighth and ninth-place finishes makes it hard to fancy him strongly from stall nine off 130 lb.
Form last 6894098
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
39SR58RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Mercurius Power has run over today's trip and going before, and a second two starts back offers some encouragement, but he remains winless in his last six starts and a mark of 52 suggests he faces a stiff task from stall 11 carrying 129 lb.
Form last 6678525
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR59RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hear The Drums arrives here in good heart after winning two starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going stands him in good stead; the chief concern is whether that third last time out represents a slight step back from his best.
Form last 6-08713
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR62RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Al Suil Eile does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and returns quickly on six days' rest, though a fourth last time out and a sixth two starts back suggest he remains frustratingly consistent without threatening at the finish.
Form last 6370-64
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
37SR62RPR51OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
King Sharja owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
4/1Ruth CarrJames Sullivan
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Starakova
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Warren Greatrex✓ Value Signal
Cy Twombly
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · John Mackie◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
King Sharja (SR 69, 7/2) carries top weight at 9-12 but is the clear SR leader in a very weak Class 6 field, and his recent form 056211 — two consecutive wins — confirms he is in the form of his life. His Course:W1P5 record at Southwell is outstanding for an AW specialist track, and while GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ are not ideal, his course familiarity more than compensates. The market has shortened 6% since opening, adding quiet confidence from connections, and trainer Ruth Carr (12% SR) has a solid record with in-form runners. The MarkMv:+5 is a minor concern but his SR lead of at least 1 point over the field's next-best (Starakova SR 68) and superior course record makes him the logical selection.
Each-way alternative: Starakova.
Main danger: Starakova — Starakova (SR 68, 9/2) has DistFit:+ at this trip — the only runner to show a proven win record at the distance — Course:W1P1 at Southwell, and jockey Billy Loughnane's 18% career strike rate is the strongest in the field, making her the most dangerous rival despite the 24% market drift.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Carries top weight of 9-12 in a 14-runner field — a 7lb+ burden over several rivals including Starakova (9-5) who is only 1 SR point behind and ridden by the in-form Billy Loughnane (18% SR, far supe…
Only 6 days since last run; his two wins came at days-6 intervals suggesting he may be being pressed hard — handicapper has already responded with MarkMv:+5, meaning he runs off a higher mark than wh…
GoingFit:~ and DistFit:~ flags indicate today's conditions or distance are not his optimum — with Soames Forsyte (MarkMv:-8) and Mercurius Power (MarkMv:-10) both dropping in class and well handicapp…
Starakova (SR 68, form 501731) is only 1 SR point behind, is 3 years younger, carries 7lb less, has a course win, and is trained by Warren Greatrex (14% SR) — she represents a stronger each-way threa…
ShortlistKing Sharja, Starakova, Soames Forsyte, Hear The Drums