Sean Og has won twice in his last five starts, with a victory two starts back giving him strong recent claims, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the main concern is a hefty 169 lb to carry.
Form last 64-1414
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR110RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wasdell Dundalk shaped with promise when second three starts back, and returns here fit on 17 days' rest with experience of today's trip and going; winless in recent starts, but his rating of 118 marks him as the one to beat under a hefty 168 lb.
Form last 6-642P4
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
84SR118RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Inis Oirr arrives here with a solid recent profile — second two starts back and third last time out, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions. Carrying 166 lb after 74 days off is the chief concern for this consistent performer.
Form last 691-223
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
107SR113RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Juke Hill does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and 17 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; the concern is a weight of 163 lb and a profile that has yet to climb above fourth in recent outings.
Form last 67-8474
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR108RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sir Carnegie has winning form in recent starts — a winner last time out and two further wins in his last six — but ranked eighth of nine on our figures, he faces a stiff task, and 163 lb is a hefty burden to carry.
Form last 6311651
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
104SR103RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Consistent and placed in four of his last five starts, Another High Five has solid experience on today's going and a rating that marks him out as a genuine threat, though 149 days off the track is the one concern for connections.
Form last 623225-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
103SR108RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Upfordebate arrives on the back of a five-month absence, carrying a hefty 163 lb, and ranks seventh of nine on our figures — hard to fancy in this company despite a third two starts back and a win five starts back offering faint encouragement.
Form last 615538-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR105RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts, Midnight Moonshine at least has experience of today's trip and conditions to call upon, and 17 days between runs leaves him fresh enough; 158 lb on his back, however, is a significant ask for a gelding yet to score in recent starts.
Form last 6090565
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
84SR108RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked last on our figures, Judicial Review is hard to fancy here, especially returning just one day after his most recent outing; a second four starts back offers slim comfort, and the experience over today's going is the only other crumb for supporters.
Form last 67P2570
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
67SR86RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sir Carnegie owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Mickey BowenJames Bowen
70%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Another High Five
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore✓ Value Signal
Judicial Review
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · James Moffatt◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Sir Carnegie (SR:104, 3/1) is the class anchor of this field, carrying 11-9 and boasting the best course record of any genuine contender at W2P4 at Perth — a track where course specialists consistently outperform. His DistFit:+ confirms he handles today's demanding 2m7f trip, and his form string 311651 shows a horse that consistently competes at the sharp end — his last run was a win. Despite drifting 10% in the market, his price is likely the result of the blinkers headgear query rather than a fundamental form concern; Mickey Bowen/James Bowen as a yard-and-jockey combination runs at 16%/20% strike rates respectively, demonstrating a live, active operation. Inis Oirr is the each-way alternative; the danger is Inis Oirr who has genuine course form (W1P5) and the GoingFit:+ edge, and is being actively supported (Mkt:in7%).
Each-way alternative: Inis Oirr.
Main danger: Inis Oirr — Inis Oirr has the best going fit of any contender (GoingFit:+), strong course form (W1P5), is dropping in class (ClassMv:↓1), and is being backed into 6/1 from a higher opening price (Mkt:in7%), suggesting connections believe conditions suit — though the 74-day layoff and the Russell/Scudamore yard's modest 5% strike rate are reasons to keep it to second choice.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Sir Carnegie is wearing blinkers today (HG:b) — a first-time or significant headgear change at a track where he has existing form creates a genuine behavioural unknown over 2m7f, a trip that punishes…
The market has drifted 10% on Sir Carnegie while Inis Oirr (SR:107, higher raw rating) is being actively supported in at 7% — market money is moving away from the pick and toward the primary danger,…
Inis Oirr holds a superior SR (107 vs 104), a GoingFit:+ edge, and course form (W1P5), meaning Sir Carnegie is not actually the top-rated horse in the field and faces a rival whose profile fits today…
Sir Carnegie's form string 311651 contains a '6' and a '5' in recent starts — he is not consistently dominating, and the last win may flatter given the quality of opposition; his MarkMv of only +4 su…
ShortlistSir Carnegie, Inis Oirr, Sean Og, Another High Five