Christmas Party Nights At Perth Racecourse Novices' Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race) · 2m4f20y
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tamarind Bay | 11/4 open 2.38 | 5/2 open 2.20 | 11/4 open 2.25 | 11/4 open 2.25 | 11/4 open 2.25 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 Betfred |
| 2 The Last Cloud | 9/4 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 5.00 | 9/4 open 4.50 | 7/4 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Spectacularsunrise | 2/1 open 6.50 | 7/4 open 5.00 | 15/8 open 5.50 | 15/8 open 5.50 | 7/4 open 5.00 | 13/8 open 4.00 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Walking On A Dream | 9/1 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 13/2 | 17/2 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Sleedagh | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Scalpnagoon | 10/1 open 9.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 | 13/2 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 9.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tamarind Bay owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (72) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 130 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 10-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Spectacularsunrise (SR:128, 5/2) has steamed in 37% from its opening price — the most significant market move in the race — and carries a manageable 10-12, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over top-weighted Tamarind Bay (11-10). The SR of 128 is second only to Tamarind Bay's 130 but the 12lb weight concession from the top-weight largely neutralises that gap. The Twiston-Davies yard may have a modest overall strike rate but Sam Twiston-Davies riding at 17% career record and the sharp market support suggest connections are confident on what is likely a first chase run at this trip (DistFit:? noted). The 5/2 price underestimates a horse the market has aggressively backed. Each-way alternative: The Last Cloud. Main danger: The Last Cloud — The Last Cloud (SR:120, 9/4) has steamed in 24%, boasts an outstanding Course:W3P3 record at Perth which is a specialist track, goes on the going (GoingFit:+), drops in class (ClassMv:↓1), and has Brian Hughes — the most experienced jockey in the field at 19%/947 runners — in the saddle, all of which make it the most obvious threat to the selection.