Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 7f
SR 56 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 73 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Stanley Spencer | 33/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 28/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Obelix | 11/4 open 3.25 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Capital Guarantee | 8/1 open 11.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 17/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Midnight Strike | 12/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 9.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Mr King | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Imperial Guard | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Packetofbiscuits | 33/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Fiscal Policy | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 7/1 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Nyman | 10/3 open 8.00 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 7/2 William Hill |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Nyman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Nyman (SR:81, 7/2) has steamed in 25% from opening which is the most significant market move in this field and strongly suggests stable/market confidence. Despite stepping up one class (ClassMv:↑1), a mark that has dropped 8lb since last win (MarkMv:-8) gives him a compelling weight advantage — carrying only 8-13 against rivals rated similarly or higher on heavier weights. At 4 years old he is the youngest and potentially most progressive horse in the race, and Roger Fell/Joanna Mason (both 11% strike rates) represent a competent northern combination. The distance record (DistFit:-) is a concern but the 25% market move suggests connections believe he handles the step to 7f. Each-way alternative: Obelix. Main danger: Obelix — Obelix (SR:81, 11/4) is the joint-highest rated horse, carries proven distance fitness (DistFit:+), is ridden by Jason Hart who leads this field with a 14% career strike rate, and at 11/4 represents the market's preferred option — if Nyman's distance questions prove valid, Obelix is best placed to capitalise.