Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse On 6th & 13th December Handicap · 5f
SR 96 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Erosandpsyche | 4/1 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 2 Thunderbear | 13/2 open 12.00 | 13/2 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 6/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Amiata | 6/1 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Namiid | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Allsortz | 15/2 open 8.00 | 6/1 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Moltophino | 3/1 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Gotta Catch'em All | 9/2 open 9.50 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Dandyville | 80/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Erosandpsyche owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Gotta Catch'em All (SR:86, 4/1) has steamed in 40% in the market — the strongest move in the field — which combined with Course:W1P1 at Navan, DistFit:+ at 5f, and a trainer (H Rogers) running at a 16% strike rate makes this a compelling multi-signal case. The form string 112935 shows recent inconsistency, but the '5' last time can be contextualised alongside a mark that has risen 6lb (MarkMv:+6), and the market is aggressively backing it regardless. At 8-7, it carries the joint-lowest weight in the field, giving it a 13lb advantage over top-weight Erosandpsyche — significant over a sharp 5f on good ground. The blinkers (HG:b) applied throughout its recent runs maintain consistency in headgear, so no new equipment risk here. Each-way alternative: Namiid. Main danger: Amiata — Amiata (SR:91, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, trained by G M Lyons (15% strike rate) with Colin Keane aboard (16%), and at only 9-4 carries a manageable weight — the 47% drift is a concern but the raw ability edge and top-yard connections could overcome the market's current pessimism.