Navan Racing Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Handicap · 5f
SR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 29 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 43 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 47 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 45 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Agostino | 5/1 open 15.00 | 9/2 open 26.00 | 9/2 open 17.00 | 9/2 open 17.00 | 7/2 open 15.00 | 9/2 open 17.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Irish Rumour | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 9.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Rosato | 7/1 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 7.50 | 8/1 William Hill |
| 4 Surpass And Shine | 33/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Asdana | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Lethimfly | 16/1 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 William Hill |
| 7 Simmering Seas | 15/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 5.00 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 17/2 open 5.50 | 15/2 open 5.50 | 17/2 William Hill |
| 8 Steel Magnolia | 11/2 open 5.00 | 6/1 open 4.00 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 13/2 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 13/2 William Hill |
| 9 One Cool Bear | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Glen Breeze | 18/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 William Hill |
| 11 Caffu Zafeen | 18/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 14/1 open 23.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Cleopatra Dream | 50/1 open 17.00 | 100/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 26.00 | 100/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Monastere | 14/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Ballysax Lil' Mick | 9/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 17.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Step Back In Time | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 open 11.00 | 20/1 Betfred |
| 16 Kidd | 50/1 open 26.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 100/1 Paddy Power |
| 17 The Love Machine | 11/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 26.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Jackandthefox | 18/1 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 19 Lismacbryan | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Irish Rumour owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 47 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 57 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 45 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 37 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
The Love Machine (SR:45, 11/1, 8-12) carries the joint-lowest weight in the field, giving it a significant lbs advantage over the top-weights who all carry 10-0 or more. The standout signal here is the market move: a 34% inward drift from opening price is the strongest market support in the entire field, suggesting stable confidence in a horse that recorded a '9' last time — an unexpected form spike — after a string of zeros. Trainer Sean Davis has designated this as the yard's #1 runner (Stable:1) over stablemate Agostino, which itself has shortened 7% but carries 10-2 — a 14lb weight disadvantage at comparable SR levels. At 11/1, the market probability (~8%) sits below my estimated 22%, reflecting a genuine overlay if the market move is informed money. Each-way alternative: Ballysax Lil' Mick. Main danger: Irish Rumour — Irish Rumour (SR:57, 11/2) has shortened 11% in the market, is the joint-highest SR on the shortlist, has recent form (Days:14) showing competitive finishes, and apprentice Orla Tynan's 15% strike rate is strong for a claiming rider — if the DistFit:- concern is overstated by a single bad run, it represents a serious threat.