Navan 16:20 RESULTED
5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)

Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I) · 1m2f10y

Official Result

Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 19th Handicap (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner African Affair (IRE) Robbie Colgan · Ms Sheila Lavery
    40/1
  2. 13/8F
  3. 10/1
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Settled
  • 23 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Oh I Do Declare silks
Oh I Do Declare Non-Runner
Age 3 · 9-4
0-09
54
49
3
9-4
33/1 FCST 25/1
Winless in his last three starts, the most recent of which came 143 days ago, Oh I Do Declare heads into this off the back of a ninth and two unplaced efforts, and our rating of 48 ranks him 19th of 24 — though he has run over today's trip before.
1
Albatala silks
Albatala
Age 7 · 10-2
269/41
60
52
61
7
10-2
9/1 6/1 9/1
Albatala won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, giving her a balanced profile, though 55 days off the track introduces a fitness query and she faces 23 rivals carrying 142 lb from stall 9.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Katherine silks
Katherine
Age 9 · 10-2
7/60-8
60
24
60
9
10-2
66/1 50/1 66/1
Winless in her last four starts, Katherine arrives here on a quick ten-day turnaround carrying 142 lb from stall one, and while she has run over today's trip before, her recent string of unplaced efforts makes improvement essential.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

3
Pallatine Hills silks
Pallatine Hills
Age 4 · 10-2
50-605
60
45
72
4
10-2
16/1 13/2 16/1
Pallatine Hills brings strong claims here, ranked second of 24 on our rating with a speed figure of 76 to his name, and he has run over today's trip and going before; the concern is that he is winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

4
God Knows silks
God Knows
Age 7 · 9-13
-09070
57
33
77
7
9-13
33/1 25/1 33/1
Winless in her last five starts, God Knows nonetheless carries a rating of 77 — top of 24 runners — and returns on a quick 13-day turnaround with experience of today's distance and going to call on; she maps as the one to beat despite her recent struggles.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Make The Tide silks
Make The Tide
Age 3 · 9-10
866901
53
60
62
3
9-10
7/4 7/4 31/19
Make The Tide rates 62 on our figures, fourth-best of these, and bounced back to score last time out, giving her strong claims fresh from just three days ago; the main concern is whether that quick turnaround blunts her finishing effort here.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Neon Eyes silks
Neon Eyes
Age 3 · 9-10
-40429
60
51
66
3
9-10
11/1 FCST 10/1
Neon Eyes shaped with promise when a close second two starts back, and she has experience over today's trip and going in her favour, but a 73-day absence combined with a trainer hitting only 5% in the last 14 days makes confidence harder to hold.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

7
African Affair silks
African Affair
Age 3 · 9-7
0-08
57
27
57
3
9-7
40/1 FCST 33/1
Winless in his last three starts and absent for 110 days, African Affair arrives short of recent encouragement, though he has run over today's distance and going before and carries a manageable 133 lb from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
Alto Sax silks
Alto Sax
Age 5 · 9-7
192592
51
57
59
5
9-7
5/1 6/1 4/1
Second last time out and a winner six starts back, Alto Sax brings distance and going experience to the table and his our rating edges above his official mark, but that ninth two starts back is a concern and 133 lb is no featherweight ask.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Jazz Forever silks
Jazz Forever
Age 6 · 9-7
483000
51
27
57
6
9-7
40/1 33/1 40/1
Jazz Forever has run over today's trip and going before, but winless in his last six starts with three consecutive unplaced efforts weighing against him; third four starts back offers some encouragement, and at 133 lb from stall three he has conditions to work with.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

10
Mare Crisium silks
Mare Crisium
Age 3 · 9-7
594465
57
41
61
3
9-7
20/1 9/1 16/1
Winless in her last six starts, Mare Crisium has nonetheless shown consistency with a pair of fourths in recent outings and has experience of today's trip and conditions; 133 lb from stall 14 is the challenge as she tries to edge forward from seventh in the ratings.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

11
Nephin Mountain silks
Nephin Mountain
Age 3 · 9-7
051651
57
58
55
3
9-7
7/1 FCST 6/1
Nephin Mountain won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but carrying 133 lb from stall 19 and an official rating of 57 with patchy recent form — two wins and three disappointing efforts in his last six starts — suggests he is not without risks.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Wipeawayyourtears silks
Wipeawayyourtears
Age 3 · 9-7
-23190
57
34
57
3
9-7
40/1 FCST 33/1
Won three starts back and filled the frame twice in recent starts, but she comes into this unplaced last time out, just five days on, and a high weight of 133 lb from stall 23 tests her stamina in a competitive 24-runner field.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

13
Calamint silks
Calamint
Age 6 · 9-6
76-283
50
47
61
6
9-6
9/1 10/1 9/1
SR 47 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

15
Chloe's Boy silks
Chloe's Boy
Age 3 · 9-3
00600
53
24
48
3
9-3
40/1 FCST 33/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 20th of 24 on our figures, Chloe's Boy faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick nine-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

16
Kingcharles silks
Kingcharles
Age 3 · 9-3
08808
53
48
58
3
9-3
9/1 22/1 15/2
Winless in his last five starts, Kingcharles has struggled for consistency, though he has run over today's distance and going before and returns on a quick nine-day turnaround from stall five carrying 129 lb; our rating of 58 suggests a shade more ability than his official mark of 53 implies.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

17
Churchill Gale silks
Churchill Gale
Age 4 · 9-0
79468-
44
25
55
4
9-0
50/1 33/1 40/1
Winless in her last five starts and absent for over 300 days, Churchill Gale faces a stiff task from stall 20 carrying 126 lb, and her finishing positions offer little encouragement — though she has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

18
De Songbird silks
De Songbird
Age 3 · 8-13
760770
49
27
56
3
8-13
66/1
Winless in her last six starts, De Songbird has struggled for consistency, though she has run over today's distance and going before and comes here on a sharp 14-day turnaround; carrying 125 lb from stall 11, she remains one to watch rather than follow blindly at this stage.
AI verdict

SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

19
Cause I Like You silks
Cause I Like You
Age 3 · 8-12
652152
48
56
54
3
8-12
8/1 6/1 7/1
Ranked 18th of 24 on our figures, Cause I Like You faces a stiff task on these ratings, though she was a winner three starts back and filled the runner-up spot last time out, suggesting some residual form to cling to; the return after just six days is the main query.
AI verdict

SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

20
Miss Ivor silks
Miss Ivor
Age 3 · 8-10
0-0900
46
23
48
3
8-10
100/1 80/1 100/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Miss Ivor faces a stiff task here; she does return on a short turnaround with going experience in her favour, but her recent string of unplaced efforts makes it hard to fancy her chances.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

21
Capall Cuain silks
Capall Cuain
Age 3 · 8-7
000
43
15
29
3
8-7
100/1 80/1 100/1
Winless in her last three starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Capall Cuain faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's going before and 18 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 15 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 100/1.

22
Bang Po silks
Bang Po
Age 6 · 8-10
900600
Reserve 1
40
20
42
6
8-10
40/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 23 of 24 on our figures, Bang Po faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and returns on a relatively quick turnaround of 11 days, but little else in his recent profile invites confidence.
AI verdict

SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

23
Haeret In Pectore silks
Haeret In Pectore
Age 5 · 8-10
05-506
Reserve 2
40
19
42
5
8-10
14/1 20/1 14/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 22 of 24 on our figures, Haeret In Pectore arrives 125 days between runs and faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip and going before and retains a featherweight 122 lb.
AI verdict

SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

24
Giselles Defence silks
Giselles Defence
Age 6 · 9-8
059050
Reserve 3
52
36
61
6
9-8
28/1 16/1 28/1
Winless in his last six starts and back just three days after his most recent unplaced effort, Giselles Defence faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a rating of 61 offers a sliver of encouragement from stall 15 carrying 134 lb.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Oh I Do Declare 33/1 40/1 open 26.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 25/1 40/1 Paddy Power
1 Albatala 9/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 Paddy Power
2 Katherine 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 open 51.00 66/1 Bet365
3 Pallatine Hills 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 Bet365
4 God Knows 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Make The Tide 7/4 open 3.00 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 open 2.75 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 13/8 open 2.75 7/4 Bet365
6 Neon Eyes 11/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 11/1 Bet365
7 African Affair 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
8 Alto Sax 5/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
9 Jazz Forever 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
10 Mare Crisium 20/1 open 17.00 16/1 open 10.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 20/1 Bet365
11 Nephin Mountain 7/1 open 7.50 6/1 6/1 6/1 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 7/1 Bet365
12 Wipeawayyourtears 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 33/1 40/1 Bet365
13 Calamint 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 Paddy Power
15 Chloe's Boy 40/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 40/1 Bet365
16 Kingcharles 9/1 open 23.00 17/2 open 34.00 8/1 open 29.00 8/1 open 29.00 15/2 open 29.00 8/1 open 29.00 9/1 Bet365
17 Churchill Gale 50/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 50/1 Bet365
18 De Songbird 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 66/1 Bet365
19 Cause I Like You 8/1 open 8.50 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 8/1 Bet365
20 Miss Ivor 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365
21 Capall Cuain 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 open 81.00 100/1 Bet365
22 Bang Po 40/1 50/1 open 67.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 40/1 open 51.00 50/1 Paddy Power
23 Haeret In Pectore 14/1 open 26.00 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 18/1 William Hill
24 Giselles Defence 28/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 21.00 40/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Alto Sax

Speculative

Alto Sax owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (32) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/1 Peter Fahey Reese Holohan(7)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Make The Tide

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · W McCreery
✓ Value Signal

Bang Po

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Liam McAteer
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +12.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
77 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +16.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.5 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.2 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Alto Sax
47.7 5/1
2 5. Make The Tide
46.6 7/4
3 11. Nephin Mountain
46.2 7/1
4 19. Cause I Like You
42.6 8/1
5 1. Albatala
41.1 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

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Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

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🤖 AI view
Make The Tide
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-10
7/4
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 9-7
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-7
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
Age 3 · 8-12
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 10-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 6 · 9-6
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

16
Age 3 · 9-3
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

6
Age 3 · 9-10
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

23
Age 5 · 8-10
14/1
J: Reserve 2
T: A. J. Martin
★☆☆☆☆ SR 19 🐾

SR 19 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

3
Age 4 · 10-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.

10
Age 3 · 9-7
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 41 🐾

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Make The Tide
Confidence: Speculative

Make The Tide (SR:60, 6/4) is the clear SR leader in this field by a margin of 3 points over the next best, carries a competitive 9-10, and the last-run '1' in the form string shows a win just 3 days ago — suggesting peak fitness and a yard happy to run them back quickly in confidence. Trainer W McCreery (9% strike rate, 422 runners) pairs with W J Lee (14%, 828 runners), the strongest jockey booking in the race. The MarkMv:-2 means the mark has barely shifted from the last win, so no punishing rise. GoingFit:~ on today's good ground is the one caveat, but with no DistFit data to condemn the trip and a 6-point SR advantage over the field, this is the standout selection in a modest €6,000 handicap. Each-way alternative: Alto Sax. Main danger: Nephin Mountain — Nephin Mountain (SR:58, 15/2) sits only 2 points below Make The Tide on SR, has confirmed good-ground form (GoingFit:+), showed a win last time out in a recent 051651 sequence, and trainer Mulvany runs at an 11% strike rate — the slight drift of 8% is a concern but the going fit is the strongest of any rival in the field.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Running back just 3 days after a win is an aggressive turnaround; 3-day bounce-back horses in Irish handicaps often fail to replicate the effort as fatigue sets in mid-race.
  • GoingFit:~ means no confirmed record on today's good ground — if Make The Tide's recent win came on a different surface, today's conditions are an untested variable.
  • Nephin Mountain (SR:58, 15/2) also won recently (form ending '1', Days:9, Stable:1) and carries only 9-7 vs 9-10, giving it a meaningful weight advantage in a 22-runner cavalry charge.
  • In a wide-open 22-runner €6,000 handicap, the 6/4 favourite price leaves almost no margin for error — any traffic trouble or slow break in a big field and the value is simply not there.
Shortlist Make The Tide, Nephin Mountain, Alto Sax, Cause I Like You
Each-way: Alto Sax Danger: Nephin Mountain

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m2f10y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
23 Confirmed runners
Navan Track and setting