Newcastle (AW) 16:45 RESULTED
Class 6 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes

Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes · 2m56y

Official Result

Quinnbet Best Odds Guaranteed Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Niffler (GER) Poppy Scott · Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    1/4F
  2. Second Ada Rose (GB)
    9/2
  3. Third Lilykoy (GB)
    9/1
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Settled
  • 4 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Niffler silks
Niffler
Age 3 · 9-9
89011
58
70
64
3
9-9
3/10 FCST 5/17
Niffler arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and, with the trainer firing at 35% over the past fortnight, conditions look set up for another bold showing; he has run over today's going before and returns fit after just ten days off.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Ada Rose silks
Ada Rose
Age 3 · 9-8
739162
57
63
61
3
9-8
4/1 3/1 7/2
Ada Rose showed useful form when winning three starts back and was placed second last time out, carrying 134 lb today with experience over this trip and going; the risk is that just two days since her last run leaves her recovery time tight.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Star Of Markinch silks
Star Of Markinch
Age 10 · 9-6
044454
45
23
50
10
9-6
33/1 20/1 33/1
Consistent profile with her speed rating of 56 outstripping her official mark of 45, and she arrives fit on a nine-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and conditions; the concern is she has been winless in her last six starts and may need things to fall right.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

4
Lilykoy silks
Lilykoy
Age 3 · 8-10
-56834
45
49
49
3
8-10
9/1 6/1 17/2
Lilykoy shaped with promise when third two starts back and returns on a quick turnaround having run over today's trip and going, giving her a solid each-way profile at 122 lb; the risk is that she has been winless in her last five starts and may again find a few too good.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Niffler 3/10 open 1.50 2/7 2/7 open 1.33 2/7 open 1.33 2/7 open 1.36 2/7 open 1.33 3/10 Bet365
2 Ada Rose 4/1 open 4.00 7/2 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 Bet365
3 Star Of Markinch 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
4 Lilykoy 9/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 11.00 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 9.50 9/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Niffler

Speculative

Niffler owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/10 Sir Mark Prescott Bt Poppy Scott(7)
80% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ada Rose

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Kevin Philippart De Foy
✓ Value Signal

Star Of Markinch

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Gary Rutherford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.0 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
30 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 4 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Niffler
52.9 3/10
2 2. Ada Rose
46.1 4/1
3 4. Lilykoy
41.4 9/1
4 3. Star Of Markinch
29.2 33/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Niffler
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
3/10
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-8
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 8-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Niffler
Confidence: High

Niffler (SR 70, 2/5) is the class leader in a weak four-runner Class 6 field by a significant margin — 7 SR points clear of Ada Rose and 21 clear of Lilykoy. The form string 89011 shows two consecutive wins building into today's assignment, and GoingFit:+ confirms the good ground at Newcastle suits. Course:W1P1 adds proven course form, and Sir Mark Prescott's 20% career strike rate with a yard renowned for placing horses precisely makes connections supremely trustworthy. The MarkMv:+11 rise is a note of caution but the SR advantage in this tiny, weak field renders it manageable. Each-way alternative: Ada Rose. Main danger: Ada Rose — Ada Rose (SR 63, 7/2) ran just two days ago, showing Kevin Philippart De Foy is targeting this race deliberately, and her form includes a recent win (Form:739162 — rightmost digit 2 but a '1' third-back), sitting only 7 SR points behind Niffler at a favourable weight of 9-8 with Shane Gray's 12% strike rate aboard.

Case against 4
  • Poppy Scott holds a 7% conditional allowance claim but her raw strike rate is unspecified; in a 4-runner field every jockey error is magnified with no cover to recover.
  • MarkMv:+11 means Niffler steps up markedly in class/weight terms from its last two wins — those victories may have come against weaker opposition than even this Class 6 field suggests.
  • Only 10 days since last run; two consecutive wins in quick succession can leave a horse past its peak, and Ada Rose arrives on just 2 days' rest suggesting connections are confident she is at her abs…
  • At 2/5 in a 4-runner field the place margin for error is zero — Ada Rose's SR of 63 is only 7 points behind and her recent form 739162 shows a win and two places in last three, making her a live dang…
Shortlist Niffler, Ada Rose, Lilykoy
Each-way: Ada Rose Danger: Ada Rose

🗺 The Course Class 6

2m56y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
4 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade