Newcastle (AW) 20:00 RESULTED
Class 5 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 7f14y

Official Result

Free Tips On Attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Finn Ironside (GB) Elle-May Croot · Ivan Furtado
    15/2
  2. 7/1
  3. 5/4F
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Anthropologist silks
Anthropologist
Age 4 · 9-9
164843
70
69
71
4
9-9
11/2 7/2 11/2
Third last time out, and a winner six starts back, Anthropologist brings distance-and-going experience to the table, but his last six starts show only one win and he hasn't run for 44 days, making fitness a mild query at 135 lb from stall 6.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Benacre silks
Benacre
Age 6 · 9-9
550545
70
68
79
6
9-9
15/2 8/1 7/1
Benacre arrives here 47 days fresh, carrying 135 lb from stall two, and his experience over today's trip and going is a useful foundation; yet to score in his last six starts, he nevertheless rates above the field on our figures and looks the one to be interested in.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Jesmond Dawn silks
Jesmond Dawn
Age 5 · 9-8
235150
69
64
66
5
9-8
18/1 12/1 16/1
Jesmond Dawn rates below his official mark on our figures and has been unplaced on his latest two outings, with his sole recent win coming three starts back; experience over today's trip and going offers some comfort, but he looks hard to fancy ranked eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Red Mirage silks
Red Mirage
Age 8 · 9-7
366842
68
63
76
8
9-7
22/1 9/2 20/1
Red Mirage arrives here just 22 days fresh, has experience of today's trip and conditions, and a runner-up last time out underlines his current form — our rating of 76 marks him as a clear threat; the risk is he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
War Howl silks
War Howl
Age 4 · 9-6
000097
67
73
66
4
9-6
6/4 4/1 3/2
War Howl has been winless in his last six starts, finishing no better than seventh in that run, and ranked last on our figures here, he looks hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 21 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Blazing Son silks
Blazing Son
Age 8 · 9-3
698530
64
67
72
8
9-3
9/1 11/1 17/2
Blazing Son bounced back to land third two starts back after a difficult run through the card, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions — the main worry is that he has been winless in his last six starts and comes into this off a 44-day break.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Coramento silks
Coramento
Age 5 · 9-3
1-6691
64
63
67
5
9-3
10/1 7/2 9/1
Coramento won last time out but sits seventh of nine on our figures, and that speed rating of 57 underlines the scale of the task; the fact he has run over today's trip and going, plus a further win in his last five, offer faint encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Gressington silks
Gressington
Age 5 · 9-1
807474
62
60
71
5
9-1
11/1 6/1 11/1
Gressington has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 71 puts him ahead of his official mark — a pair of fourths in recent starts hint at consistency without a win, though his finishing record suggests punters will need faith before he converts.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Finn Ironside silks
Finn Ironside
Age 5 · 9-0
387452
61
65
69
5
9-0
7/1 6/1 13/2
Finn Ironside has shown some ability, finishing second last time out and third six starts back, yet he remains winless in his last six and his middle-period finishes tell a more mixed story; has run over today's trip and going, and 126 lb from stall nine gives him a fair shot at reversing recent inconsistency.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Anthropologist 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 Betfred
2 Benacre 15/2 open 12.00 8/1 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 8/1 open 11.00 8/1 Paddy Power
3 Jesmond Dawn 18/1 16/1 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 18/1 Bet365
4 Red Mirage 22/1 open 5.50 22/1 open 6.50 22/1 open 6.00 22/1 open 6.00 22/1 open 6.50 20/1 open 6.00 22/1 Bet365
5 War Howl 6/4 open 5.00 6/4 open 5.00 6/4 open 5.00 6/4 open 5.00 6/4 open 5.00 6/4 open 5.00 6/4 Bet365
6 Blazing Son 9/1 open 19.00 17/2 open 15.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 12.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Coramento 10/1 open 4.50 9/1 open 4.50 10/1 open 4.50 10/1 open 4.50 10/1 open 4.50 10/1 open 4.50 10/1 Bet365
8 Gressington 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 13.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 Bet365
9 Finn Ironside 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

War Howl

Speculative

War Howl owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Ben Haslam David Nolan
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Finn Ironside

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Ivan Furtado
✓ Value Signal

Red Mirage

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · John & Sean Quinn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. War Howl
51.7 6/4
2 9. Finn Ironside
47.0 7/1
3 2. Benacre
46.1 15/2
4 1. Anthropologist
46.1 11/2
5 7. Coramento
45.5 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
War Howl
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 4 · 9-6
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 9-9
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 5 · 9-0
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 6 · 9-9
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 8 · 9-3
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-3
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 9-1
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 9-8
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
War Howl
Confidence: Speculative

War Howl (SR:73, 6/4) is clearly the class leader in this field by SR and the market has aggressively supported that view, steaming in 47% from its opening price. The recent form string 000097 looks ugly at first glance but the '7' last time represents a sharp improvement — a near-win finish that explains the market confidence — and the horse runs off a mark 4lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-4), making the handicap mark accessible. Carrying just 9-6 as the second-lightest weight among the front-rank contenders gives it a genuine lbs advantage over Anthropologist (9-9, SR:69). The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are a genuine concern — the horse has not proven itself at this exact trip and going — but the market's 47% move in suggests connections are confident those concerns are manageable today. Each-way alternative: Jesmond Dawn. Main danger: Jesmond Dawn — Jesmond Dawn (SR:64, 12/1) has steamed in 24% in the market, boasts DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ — the only runner besides Coramento proven at this trip and on this going — and its form includes a recent win (235150, reading right-to-left shows a '1' two runs back), making it a well-handicapped each-way threat that is clearly being backed by someone who knows.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 000097 shows five consecutive finishes outside the placings before last run — sustained losing streak suggests the near-miss 7th may be a one-off rather than a genuine return to form.
  • DistFit:- and GoingFit:- both unproven at Newcastle AW tonight — no evidence horse handles this surface/trip combination, a critical unknown on a track that heavily favours course specialists (Benacr…
  • David Nolan's overall strike rate of 10% offers little confidence, and at 6/4 the margin for error is minimal — one place off the pace and the bet loses at a price where the horse needs to win to jus…
  • Jockey Ben Haslam's yard runs at only 13% and the horse is an unexposed 4yo stepping into a race where several rivals have strong course form and lower weights, meaning the handicapper's -4 mark adju…
Shortlist War Howl, Jesmond Dawn, Coramento, Anthropologist
Each-way: Jesmond Dawn Danger: Jesmond Dawn

🗺 The Course Class 5

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade