Newcastle (AW) 17:20 RESULTED
Class 4 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Quinnbet Extra Place Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Quinnbet Extra Place Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 7f14y

Official Result

Quinnbet Extra Place Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Reformation (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Andrew Balding
    11/10F
  2. Second Hozam (IRE)
    5/1
  3. 66/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ceo Stealth Mode silks
Ceo Stealth Mode
Age 4 · 10-1
1-
128
4
10-1
22/1 14/1 22/1
SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 128 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Reformation silks
Reformation
Age 3 · 9-11
1
154
3
9-11
9/4 11/4 2/1
SR 154 backed by market confidence at 9/4 — a genuine contender.
AI verdict

SR 154 backed by market confidence at 9/4 — a genuine contender.

3
Rua Mor silks
Rua Mor
Age 4 · 9-8
0-55
120
4
9-8
40/1 25/1 40/1
SR 120 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 120 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Hozam silks
Hozam
Age 3 · 9-4
32
154
3
9-4
7/2 7/2 10/3
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
League Of Justice silks
League Of Justice
Age 3 · 9-4
64
122
3
9-4
33/1 25/1 28/1
SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 122 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Whatever Bruce silks
Whatever Bruce
Age 3 · 9-4
6
121
3
9-4
125/1 66/1 100/1
SR 121 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 121 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Foxy Night silks
Foxy Night
Age 3 · 8-13
433233
78
91
78OR
3
8-13
2/1 18/13 7/4
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Janora silks
Janora
Age 3 · 8-13
6
124
3
8-13
80/1 33/1 80/1
SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 124 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Regal Desire silks
Regal Desire
Age 3 · 8-13
22
158
3
8-13
4/1 5/2 4/1
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ceo Stealth Mode 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 15.00 22/1 Bet365
2 Reformation 9/4 open 4.00 2/1 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 Bet365
3 Rua Mor 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
4 Hozam 7/2 open 5.50 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
5 League Of Justice 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 28/1 33/1 Bet365
6 Whatever Bruce 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 67.00 125/1 open 67.00 100/1 open 67.00 125/1 Bet365
7 Foxy Night 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 7/4 open 2.38 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 Bet365
8 Janora 80/1 open 34.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 open 41.00 100/1 Paddy Power
9 Regal Desire 4/1 open 3.50 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 4/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Reformation

High conviction

Reformation owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Andrew Balding Alistair Rawlinson
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Hozam

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Kevin & Lauren Frost
✓ Value Signal

Whatever Bruce

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

125/1 · Gemma Tutty
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.5 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Reformation
73.5 9/4
2 4. Hozam
72.0 7/2
3 9. Regal Desire
68.3 4/1
4 7. Foxy Night
56.6 2/1
5 1. Ceo Stealth Mode
54.1 22/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Reformation
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 3 · 8-13
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-11
9/4
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

SR 154 backed by market confidence at 9/4 — a genuine contender.

4
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 154 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

9
Age 3 · 8-13
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾

Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Reformation
Confidence: Speculative

Reformation (SR 154, 9/4) is the standout selection. Andrew Balding's 19% career strike rate is comfortably the strongest training operation in this field, and the market has moved decisively in — shortening 16% since opening — signalling genuine confidence from connections. At 9-11 it carries a 7lb advantage over Regal Desire (SR 158, 8-13 looks lighter but Reformation's SR is just 4 points lower and the weight edge is negligible — actually Reformation is heavier by 12lb vs Regal Desire's 8-13, yet the SR near-parity and market steam tip Reformation). The sole career win shows a horse that has already demonstrated winning ability at this class, and Balding's yard regularly targets these novice spots with well-prepared horses. Foxy Night's market drift of 24% despite being the pre-race favourite on price further clears the path. Each-way alternative: Hozam. Main danger: Hozam — Hozam (SR 154, 7/2) matches Reformation on SR, has shortened 12% in the market, and at 9-4 carries 7lb less than Reformation — if Kevin & Lauren Frost have found improvement stepping up in class, that weight advantage could be decisive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Reformation's only career run is a single win (Form: '1') — no evidence it can handle competitive opposition; today's field includes Regal Desire (SR 158) and Hozam (SR 154) with more exposed form to…
  • Jockey Alistair Rawlinson holds only a 5% strike rate from 132 rides — well below the 10%+ benchmark — and is a 5lb claimer, potentially costing Reformation ground in a race where margins may be tigh…
  • Regal Desire carries 12lb less than Reformation and has a higher SR (158 vs 154) with two consecutive runner-up efforts showing consistent competitive form, making the weight-adjusted case for Reform…
  • 23 days since last run is a moderate absence but Reformation has only one career start; lack of race-fitness data means connections are essentially backing an unknown quantity to handle a step up in…
Shortlist Reformation, Hozam, Regal Desire
Each-way: Hozam Danger: Hozam

🗺 The Course Class 4

7f14y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade