Follow @attheraces On Instagram Handicap Stakes · 1m4f98y
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 35 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Moon Sniper | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Rodoya | 28/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Clansman | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 4 L'Eagle Aid | 9/4 open 3.50 | 9/4 open 2.88 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 2/1 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 3.25 | 2/1 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 5 Junkyard Dog | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 9/2 open 5.00 | 5/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Jujubella | 11/2 open 4.00 | 6/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 4.33 | 13/2 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 13/2 Coral |
| 7 Mr Moonshine | 5/2 open 6.50 | 5/2 open 8.50 | 5/2 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Molinari | 12/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 | 12/1 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Sogniamo | 33/1 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Sophiesticate | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Beckon | 20/1 open 11.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mr Moonshine owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 60 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mr Moonshine (SR:79, 7/2, Wgt:9-10) is the clear SR leader in this field and carries the lightest competitive weight, giving him a genuine lbs edge over L'Eagle Aid (SR:75, 10-2) — a 6lb advantage. Crucially, his DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm he is proven at today's trip and on this going, which are the two conditions most likely to expose inexperienced rivals. The market has shortened 27% since opening — meaningful money coming for a horse whose last run (form rightmost digit '0') on a tight 13-day turnaround might concern casual punters, but connections are clearly happy to run him quickly again. At 7/2 with the best SR in the field, proven distance and going credentials, and strong market support, the case is multi-signal. Each-way alternative: Jujubella. Main danger: L'Eagle Aid — L'Eagle Aid (SR:75, 11/4) is rated second in the field and carries a MarkMv:-5 drop in mark, meaning the handicapper has handed connections a potential opportunity; despite the 12% drift, the drop in class mark and Course:W1P1 record at Newcastle give him every chance of reversing form with Mr Moonshine if the pace scenario suits.