Southwell 16:00 RESULTED
Class 5 1 Oct 2026

Last Thursday 'smooth Radio - Always The Best Music' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race

'smooth Radio - Always The Best Music' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race · 3m0f60y

Official Result

'smooth Radio - Always The Best Music' Novices' Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Crafty Gael (IRE) Sean Bowen · Olly Murphy
    5/4F
  2. 14/1
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Maestrow silks
Maestrow Non-Runner
Age 4 · 10-6
079-59
79
—
79OR
4
10-6
—
—
SP
—
1
Jurassic Pet silks
Jurassic Pet
Age 6 · 12-0
1/430-
97
90
89
6
12-0
★★☆☆☆
—
9/2 11/2 4/1
Jurassic Pet followed a win four starts back with a fourth three starts ago and a third after that, and she's rated 89 by us, fourth of eight. The main risk is a 198-day absence, plus 168 lb on her back and an unplaced run last time out.
AI verdict

SR 90 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Crafty Gael silks
Crafty Gael
Age 7 · 11-12
08-321
95
91
89
7
11-12
★★★☆☆
—
6/4 10/11 18/13
Crafty Gael arrives in cracking heart, a winner last time out, then a second two starts back and a third three starts back, and 21 days since that win looks ideal for fitness. He has run on today's going, though 166 lb is a hefty burden, and our rating of 89 has him third of eight.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Ol Parson silks
Ol Parson
Age 5 · 11-12
2-4960
95
75
81
5
11-12
★★☆☆☆
—
11/2 5/1 11/2
Ol Parson is yet to win in his last five, with a second five starts back his best effort and a sixth and a ninth since, while a 64-day break adds fitness doubts. He has run on today's going, but 166 lb is a stiff ask off a mark of 95.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Daaris silks
Daaris
Age 7 · 11-8
334/83
91
77
91
7
11-8
★★☆☆☆
—
13/2 9/2 13/2
Daaris arrives fresh off a third last time out, having also finished third five starts back and again four starts back, and he's had 21 days to recover while showing he handles today's going. Yet to win in his last five, he still has to carry 162 lb, which is the one real concern.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Cappa Lass silks
Cappa Lass
Age 5 · 10-9
/67-8P
78
61
78OR
5
10-9
★☆☆☆☆
—
14/1 18/1 14/1
Cappa Lass is yet to win in her last four starts and was pulled up last time out, after an eighth and a seventh before that, so she has plenty to prove. Lightly raced and unexposed, she returns after 27 days carrying 149 lb, off an official mark of 78.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Captain Connor silks
Captain Connor
Age 4 · 10-8
-78273
81
76
89
4
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 17/2 14/1
Booked a third last time out just 11 days ago, Captain Connor is fit and has run on today's going, while our rating of 89 ranks him second of eight; the risk is he's yet to win in his last five starts and carries 148 lb.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Athena's Dream silks
Athena's Dream
Age 4 · 10-8
-23529
81
69
80
4
10-8
★★☆☆☆
—
16/1 12/1 16/1
Athena's Dream was beaten into ninth last time out and is winless in her last five, which makes her hard to fancy, though a second two starts back and a third four starts back show she can get involved. She has run over today's trip and going, but 148 lb is a big ask, and our figures rank her sixth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Could Be You silks
Could Be You
Age 6 · 10-7
0P9-F8
76
62
68
6
10-7
★★☆☆☆
—
15/2 17/2 5/1
Could Be You is hard to fancy, winless in his last five, with an eighth last time out, a fall two starts back and a pulled up four runs ago. He has run on today's going and returns after 21 days, but 147 lb looks a big ask off 76.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Maestrow — — — — — — —
1 Jurassic Pet 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 11.00 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
2 Crafty Gael 6/4 open 2.63 7/4 open 1.91 6/4 open 2.20 6/4 open 2.20 13/8 open 2.20 11/8 7/4 Paddy Power
3 Ol Parson 11/2 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 11/2 Bet365
4 Daaris 13/2 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 7/1 open 5.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 Paddy Power
5 Cappa Lass 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 open 21.00 16/1 Coral
6 Captain Connor 14/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 12.00 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 Paddy Power
7 Athena's Dream 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Could Be You 15/2 open 11.00 5/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 open 9.50 15/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Crafty Gael

Speculative

Crafty Gael owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Olly Murphy Sean Bowen
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jurassic Pet

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Sara Bradstock
✓ Value Signal

Athena's Dream

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Harriet Dickin
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Crafty Gael
56.5 6/4
2 1. Jurassic Pet
55.5 9/2
3 3. Ol Parson
52.7 11/2
4 4. Daaris
48.4 13/2
5 5. Cappa Lass
46.5 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jurassic Pet
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-12
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾 —

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 12-0
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 90 🐾 —

SR 90 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 5 · 11-12
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 7 · 11-8
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 10-7
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾 —

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 5 · 10-9
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾 —

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Age 4 · 10-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾 —

SR 76 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 10-8
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jurassic Pet
Confidence: Speculative

Jurassic Pet (SR:90, 4/1) leads the field on ability and carries the most compelling market signal — a 45% inward move from opening price is substantial and suggests stable confidence in a small 8-runner field. Despite top-weight at 12-0, the SR advantage over rivals is meaningful: only Crafty Gael (SR:91) matches it on that metric, but Crafty Gael has drifted 14% and is running off a mark +6lb above last win, creating a penalty problem. Sara Bradstock (22% strike rate, 40 runners) is a selective operator whose runners command attention when Nico de Boinville takes the ride — de Boinville books at 26% and doesn't waste his time on hopeless causes at Southwell. The form string 1/430- has a gap but the 45% market compression over a race run at 3m on Good ground at Class 5 is the dominant signal here. Each-way alternative: Crafty Gael. Main danger: Crafty Gael — Crafty Gael (SR:91, 13/8) is the highest-rated horse in the field, Olly Murphy's yard strikes at 24% with Sean Bowen aboard at 24%, and the recent form 08-321 shows a sharp upward trajectory — the drift from favourite may reflect the +6 mark penalty rather than stable doubt, and if the weight burden is manageable at 11-12, it retains a live chance.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 1/430- shows a blank last run (the '-' indicates a non-completion or pulled up) and the '430' sequence includes a fall/unseated — poor recent jumping form is a red flag over 3m at Southwe…
  • Top-weight of 12-0 in a Class 5 handicap is a concrete burden; conceding 6lb+ to most rivals including the favourite Crafty Gael (SR:91, better recent form 08-321) over a stamina-testing 3m.
  • The 'HG:t' headgear notation indicates a tongue-tie, suggesting the horse has had wind or breathing concerns that warranted intervention — not a sign of a horse in straightforward good health.
  • The 45% market move from a likely very wide opening price in an 8-runner field can reflect a single commission rather than broad market confidence; at 4/1 it still trails Crafty Gael (13/8) which the…
Shortlist Jurassic Pet, Crafty Gael, Ol Parson
Each-way: Crafty Gael Danger: Crafty Gael

🗺 The Course Class 5

3m0f60y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Southwell Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade