Racing TV Nursery Handicap · 7f195y
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Cromane | 13/8 open 2.00 | 7/4 open 1.80 | 7/4 open 1.83 | 7/4 open 1.83 | 7/4 open 1.83 | 7/4 open 1.83 | 7/4 Paddy Power |
| 2 Ippy | 13/2 open 5.00 | 7/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 7/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Violet Be Humble | 6/1 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Scarlet Dream | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Green Sparkle | 4/1 open 10.00 | 7/2 open 13.00 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 7/2 open 9.00 | 10/3 open 9.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Sister Nancy | 4/1 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 8.50 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Dropping Dimes | 18/1 open 29.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 23.00 | 16/1 open 29.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cromane owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 60 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 10/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 56 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 30 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cromane (SR 74, 5/6) is the clear class leader in this field by a significant margin — 13 SR points clear of the next-best trio — and the form string 5701 is notably encouraging: a last-time-out win 14 days ago suggests peak freshness and current form. Top-weight of 10-2 is a concern in principle, but at 2yo nursery level the weight spread is modest and SR 74 simply dominates. The trainer Joseph G Murphy (12% strike rate, 387 runners) is a solid yard, and while jockey Carroll's 10% strike rate is workmanlike, the horse's ability level more than compensates. The market's 5/6 favouritism is justified by the SR dominance; the only caveat is MarkMv:+7 suggesting this run is off a 7lb higher mark than at last win, but given the class of opposition that rise is manageable. Each-way alternative: Green Sparkle. Main danger: Green Sparkle — Green Sparkle (SR 61, 13/2) has steamed in 36% in the market — the most significant market move in the field — trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien (16% strike rate, the strongest yard represented), carries a favourable 9-6, and the money arriving after a 44-day break suggests connections are confident the horse is cherry-ripe for this trip.